Elastic-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$708

Unrealized P&L

-$248

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

5,705

Trades

672,525

lifetime

Volume

$1.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$300

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-26 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$708

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 30253 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000		+1,000	$548	30¢	$300	-$248	06-06 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	357	$2.6K	5,092	300	+4,792	No	+$145	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1,115	$2.3K	4,641	0	+4,641	Down	+$16	10-02 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	906	$1.9K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	-$35	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	931	$1.9K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$45	10-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	851	$1.9K	3,626	0	+3,626	Up	-$29	10-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,541	0	+3,541	Up	+$25	10-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	879	$1.8K	3,565	0	+3,565	Up	-$3	10-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,555	0	+3,555	Down	+$21	10-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	815	$1.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	Up	+$1	10-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	889	$1.7K	3,668	0	+3,668	Up	+$59	10-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	638	$1.7K	3,553	0	+3,553	Up	+$36	10-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	830	$1.7K	3,463	0	+3,463	Down	+$42	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	765	$1.7K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	-$90	10-08 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	820	$1.7K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$29	10-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	797	$1.6K	3,256	0	+3,256	Down	-$15	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	815	$1.6K	3,525	0	+3,525	Down	+$67	10-12 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	751	$1.6K	3,205	0	+3,205	Down	+$49	09-30 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	825	$1.6K	3,395	0	+3,395	Down	+$78	10-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	745	$1.5K	3,144	0	+3,144	Down	+$21	10-13 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	747	$1.5K	3,077	0	+3,077	Down	+$26	10-16 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	701	$1.5K	2,977	0	+2,977	Down	-$80	10-13 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	694	$1.5K	3,015	0	+3,015	Down	+$21	10-07 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	670	$1.5K	2,848	0	+2,848	Down	-$62	10-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	679	$1.5K	2,930	0	+2,930	Down	-$21	10-02 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	718	$1.4K	2,916	0	+2,916	Up	-$31	10-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	738	$1.4K	3,023	0	+3,023	Down	+$41	10-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	678	$1.4K	2,887	0	+2,887	Down	-$33	10-12 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	705	$1.4K	2,907	0	+2,907	Down	-$37	10-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	733	$1.4K	2,838	0	+2,838	Up	+$12	10-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	666	$1.4K	2,901	0	+2,901	Up	+$15	10-02 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xab71ee…
10-26 18:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe1af5f…
10-26 18:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcb093f…
10-26 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x2aa0c2…
10-26 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x79e20b…
10-26 18:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5fe303…
10-26 18:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x85c521…
10-26 18:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x7c7d09…
10-26 18:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x18532f…
10-26 18:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x7402ce…
10-26 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xb90433…
10-26 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x458add…
10-26 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x373dd3…
10-26 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x3255c3…
10-26 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xbde557…
10-26 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x75f35d…
10-26 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf3f943…
10-26 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe8024a…
10-26 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xd12201…
10-26 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcf2c06…
10-26 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9d7a4…
10-26 18:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe5142b…
10-26 18:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xa70af6…
10-26 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x2b6fb7…
10-26 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcbfc26…
10-26 18:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc36b35…
10-26 18:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb930b8…
10-26 18:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x609985…
10-26 18:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x2f3348…
10-26 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf039b4…
10-26 18:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x196b9a…
10-26 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x98f698…
10-26 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x2694d5…
10-26 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaae81e…
10-26 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x20fd37…
10-26 18:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa2dc03…
10-26 18:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xbe63fe…
10-26 18:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xb6fce3…
10-26 18:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x397489…
10-26 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x398037…
10-26 18:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xb967c7…
10-26 18:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x733f73…
10-26 18:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x49daf7…
10-26 18:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x34fe42…
10-26 18:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x51f8cb…
10-26 18:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x302498…
10-26 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd7b743…
10-26 18:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xd60ee6…
10-26 18:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa7bfea…
10-26 18:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x840bbf…
10-26 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xb5a148…
10-26 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x9625e7…
10-26 18:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x89aae4…
10-26 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xdfd76b…
10-26 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x69b6c6…
10-26 18:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x02f54e…
10-26 18:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x228adc…
10-26 18:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x03d4aa…
10-26 18:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x81f1ff…
10-26 18:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2ad9be…
10-26 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xcd9488…
10-26 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xaaea4a…
10-26 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x9245e6…
10-26 18:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xebe1d4…
10-26 18:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x27f076…
10-26 18:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xda7036…
10-26 18:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xfcb67f…
10-26 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xceff30…
10-26 18:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5564ae…
10-26 18:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf65590…
10-26 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x73fb8e…
10-26 18:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9b4f71…
10-26 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xe3d67f…
10-26 18:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe89fc6…
10-26 18:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xe7e5b5…
10-26 18:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x098bf3…
10-26 18:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xf0613a…
10-26 18:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x8c3a25…
10-26 18:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa89262…
10-26 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xebbf54…
10-26 18:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x5b78d1…
10-26 18:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6d847a…
10-26 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xfcbc20…
10-26 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x41da36…
10-26 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3f2a30…
10-26 18:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc2df3f…
10-26 18:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x5811fe…
10-26 18:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe600bf…
10-26 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x7ef241…
10-26 18:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x3425a5…
10-26 18:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x61be6d…
10-26 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xd5b956…
10-26 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbac2dd…
10-26 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4dc0c5…
10-26 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa6505e…
10-26 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9091f7…
10-26 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf80ff0…
10-26 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x4e6542…
10-26 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x1fc5a1…
10-26 18:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0ad21a…