Elastic-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$726

Unrealized P&L

-$244

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

5,712

Trades

672,525

lifetime

Volume

$1.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$917

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-26 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$726

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 30253 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	—	+619	$477	98¢	$610	+$133	10-27 13:49
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000		+1,000	$548	30¢	$300	-$248	06-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	—	+632	$135	1¢	$6	-$129	10-27 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	357	$2.6K	5,092	300	+4,792	No	+$145	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1,115	$2.3K	4,641	0	+4,641	Down	+$16	10-02 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	906	$1.9K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	-$35	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	931	$1.9K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$45	10-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	851	$1.9K	3,626	0	+3,626	Up	-$29	10-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,541	0	+3,541	Up	+$25	10-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	879	$1.8K	3,565	0	+3,565	Up	-$3	10-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,555	0	+3,555	Down	+$21	10-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	815	$1.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	Up	+$1	10-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	889	$1.7K	3,668	0	+3,668	Up	+$59	10-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	638	$1.7K	3,553	0	+3,553	Up	+$36	10-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	830	$1.7K	3,463	0	+3,463	Down	+$42	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	765	$1.7K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	-$90	10-08 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	820	$1.7K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$29	10-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	797	$1.6K	3,256	0	+3,256	Down	-$15	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	815	$1.6K	3,525	0	+3,525	Down	+$67	10-12 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	751	$1.6K	3,205	0	+3,205	Down	+$49	09-30 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	825	$1.6K	3,395	0	+3,395	Down	+$78	10-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	745	$1.5K	3,144	0	+3,144	Down	+$21	10-13 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	747	$1.5K	3,077	0	+3,077	Down	+$26	10-16 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	701	$1.5K	2,977	0	+2,977	Down	-$80	10-13 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	694	$1.5K	3,015	0	+3,015	Down	+$21	10-07 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	670	$1.5K	2,848	0	+2,848	Down	-$62	10-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	679	$1.5K	2,930	0	+2,930	Down	-$21	10-02 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	718	$1.4K	2,916	0	+2,916	Up	-$31	10-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	738	$1.4K	3,023	0	+3,023	Down	+$41	10-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	678	$1.4K	2,887	0	+2,887	Down	-$33	10-12 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	705	$1.4K	2,907	0	+2,907	Down	-$37	10-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	733	$1.4K	2,838	0	+2,838	Up	+$12	10-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	666	$1.4K	2,901	0	+2,901	Up	+$15	10-02 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x158ec5…
10-27 13:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x311366…
10-27 13:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xacd3ac…
10-27 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd82267…
10-27 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x73ec72…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xf1aed6…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xed38c2…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xdf1467…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xced8ac…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x68c152…
10-27 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x33c52a…
10-27 13:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8be491…
10-27 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xd0cc8a…
10-27 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xc6b89c…
10-27 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa52e6d…
10-27 13:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc1f18f…
10-27 13:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5edaf3…
10-27 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf78b8c…
10-27 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x335b17…
10-27 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x2a8be1…
10-27 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1a491f…
10-27 13:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x092a97…
10-27 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x05a430…
10-27 13:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb613e9…
10-27 13:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4fc03e…
10-27 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8dbc42…
10-27 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1e08c7…
10-27 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf2f4b0…
10-27 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc5f24…
10-27 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x98af56…
10-27 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1d2669…
10-27 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf5563c…
10-27 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xe67dad…
10-27 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x628417…
10-27 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x0c8994…
10-27 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xfcd884…
10-27 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x6eefeb…
10-27 13:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xe9d19e…
10-27 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf5ef92…
10-27 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x84ba3d…
10-27 13:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x6e722d…
10-27 13:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xee35f3…
10-27 13:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x972026…
10-27 13:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8e0aef…
10-27 13:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4130e7…
10-27 13:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa485d1…
10-27 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc50dfd…
10-27 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc4ac78…
10-27 13:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5c481f…
10-27 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x2eaf14…
10-27 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x0b103d…
10-27 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x764fe6…
10-27 13:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4f9ec4…
10-27 13:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x74c334…
10-27 13:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xd54616…
10-27 13:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x250868…
10-27 13:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xbc8dde…
10-27 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xa23ecd…
10-27 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x04db86…
10-27 13:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x666a83…
10-27 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xece709…
10-27 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe14ac8…
10-27 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaeb891…
10-27 13:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x459b33…
10-27 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb79fca…
10-27 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9a81e8…
10-27 13:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x09ec7f…
10-27 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xbf7bff…
10-27 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x8dc34b…
10-27 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6aa7e1…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xde4e9f…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd51035…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9602df…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x55901f…
10-27 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x0efdc1…
10-27 13:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdd7030…
10-27 13:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x301a53…
10-27 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x26464e…
10-27 13:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9e8556…
10-27 13:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7b6edf…
10-27 13:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x31efff…
10-27 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x66795e…
10-27 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x01a968…
10-27 13:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x23fc39…
10-27 13:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1ea9bd…
10-27 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfdb964…
10-27 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x12ff6b…
10-27 13:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x4d365f…
10-27 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xab0aeb…
10-27 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x3ddb78…
10-27 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x21a176…
10-27 13:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x92b607…
10-27 13:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6111b5…
10-27 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x30eda2…
10-27 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x166dad…
10-27 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x37edac…
10-27 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x8e832a…
10-27 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x6a5045…
10-27 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x2f3200…
10-27 13:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1c2d94…