Elastic-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$183

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved (30d)

3,000

Trades (30d)

297,870

812,708 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$772.9K

$1.94M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$365

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-07 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$1,729

Other

1% 51% -$182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 31067 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000		+1,000	$548	36¢	$365	-$183	06-06 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	357	$2.6K	5,092	300	+4,792	No	+$145	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1,115	$2.3K	4,641	0	+4,641	Down	+$16	10-02 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	505	$1.9K	0	3,950	-3,950	Down	-$31	11-06 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	500	$1.9K	0	3,894	-3,894	Up	+$30	11-06 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	906	$1.9K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	-$35	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	931	$1.9K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$45	10-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	851	$1.9K	3,626	0	+3,626	Up	-$29	10-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	519	$1.8K	0	3,741	-3,741	Up	-$60	11-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,541	0	+3,541	Up	+$25	10-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	879	$1.8K	3,565	0	+3,565	Up	-$3	10-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,555	0	+3,555	Down	+$21	10-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	815	$1.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	Up	+$1	10-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	889	$1.7K	3,668	0	+3,668	Up	+$59	10-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	638	$1.7K	3,553	0	+3,553	Up	+$36	10-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	830	$1.7K	3,463	0	+3,463	Down	+$42	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	765	$1.7K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	-$90	10-08 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	820	$1.7K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$29	10-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	316	$1.7K	3,229	0	+3,229	Up	-$22	10-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	350	$1.7K	3,179	0	+3,179	Up	+$107	10-27 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	797	$1.6K	3,256	0	+3,256	Down	-$15	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	815	$1.6K	3,525	0	+3,525	Down	+$67	10-12 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	408	$1.6K	0	3,141	-3,141	Up	+$43	11-06 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	440	$1.6K	0	3,399	-3,399	Up	-$151	11-06 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	751	$1.6K	3,205	0	+3,205	Down	+$49	09-30 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	575	$1.6K	3,457	0	+3,457	Down	+$107	10-27 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	439	$1.6K	0	3,172	-3,172	Up	-$40	11-06 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	825	$1.6K	3,395	0	+3,395	Down	+$78	10-13 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	420	$1.5K	0	3,156	-3,156	Up	-$86	11-06 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	745	$1.5K	3,144	0	+3,144	Down	+$21	10-13 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	747	$1.5K	3,077	0	+3,077	Down	+$26	10-16 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xba22f8…
11-07 21:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x034fff…
11-07 21:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x24f9f5…
11-07 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x3df54e…
11-07 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x179016…
11-07 21:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x87515f…
11-07 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1a940d…
11-07 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc9d964…
11-07 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x12f058…
11-07 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x079214…
11-07 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4c9730…
11-07 21:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x777291…
11-07 21:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e3579…
11-07 21:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0cebd8…
11-07 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf22dd0…
11-07 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe48c58…
11-07 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbac9c0…
11-07 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xb61a53…
11-07 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb29c7a…
11-07 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf9108c…
11-07 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x25597c…
11-07 21:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x23fff8…
11-07 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7acc7b…
11-07 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4884d1…
11-07 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b28f5…
11-07 21:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5aad53…
11-07 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc708d…
11-07 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6cd7f8…
11-07 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x42d60a…
11-07 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7721c9…
11-07 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x1e58b5…
11-07 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x197ec8…
11-07 21:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x591506…
11-07 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x94860f…
11-07 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3feaeb…
11-07 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8e527a…
11-07 21:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7a2d9d…
11-07 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5f445d…
11-07 21:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4b4c80…
11-07 21:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3f01fe…
11-07 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc43b6a…
11-07 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x23e142…
11-07 21:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x809fea…
11-07 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf89a03…
11-07 21:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x08da3a…
11-07 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfc389d…
11-07 21:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x93458f…
11-07 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x66f5ee…
11-07 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xf140c3…
11-07 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xe4e6ab…
11-07 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xb9fdbc…
11-07 21:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x7f3f79…
11-07 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb8d43c…
11-07 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x66e51a…
11-07 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x3f28f7…
11-07 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf6c514…
11-07 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcc3d03…
11-07 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x982b2a…
11-07 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e820f…
11-07 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x72fca4…
11-07 21:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x3d56c4…
11-07 21:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xedff5c…
11-07 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa8a92c…
11-07 21:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x129942…
11-07 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0084fd…
11-07 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x78704f…
11-07 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1e0357…
11-07 21:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xfbf30d…
11-07 21:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8add08…
11-07 21:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xea01d1…
11-07 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x950cca…
11-07 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3d08df…
11-07 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0e8478…
11-07 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x8435b3…
11-07 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf4f3fc…
11-07 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb8cc84…
11-07 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x859ecc…
11-07 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x76327f…
11-07 21:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x27b5f3…
11-07 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xfaec57…
11-07 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x55ec52…
11-07 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x285478…
11-07 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1426f5…
11-07 21:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xeaf619…
11-07 21:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbd77c9…
11-07 21:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x078027…
11-07 21:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa94686…
11-07 21:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x409fe4…
11-07 21:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2ecb4b…
11-07 21:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xaf8452…
11-07 21:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe9b229…
11-07 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc85d0d…
11-07 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbb5031…
11-07 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xf14dee…
11-07 21:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x9dc88e…
11-07 21:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x19b3a2…
11-07 21:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1393d4…
11-07 21:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc33f5f…
11-07 21:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x351901…
11-07 21:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcb9135…