Elastic-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$417

Unrealized P&L

-$188

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved (7d)

784

Trades (7d)

58,959

722,478 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$185.3K

$1.69M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$360

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-31 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$1,201

Other

0% 52% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 30253 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000		+1,000	$548	36¢	$360	-$188	06-06 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	357	$2.6K	5,092	300	+4,792	No	+$145	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1,115	$2.3K	4,641	0	+4,641	Down	+$16	10-02 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	906	$1.9K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	-$35	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	931	$1.9K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$45	10-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	851	$1.9K	3,626	0	+3,626	Up	-$29	10-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,541	0	+3,541	Up	+$25	10-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	879	$1.8K	3,565	0	+3,565	Up	-$3	10-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,555	0	+3,555	Down	+$21	10-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	815	$1.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	Up	+$1	10-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	889	$1.7K	3,668	0	+3,668	Up	+$59	10-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	638	$1.7K	3,553	0	+3,553	Up	+$36	10-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	830	$1.7K	3,463	0	+3,463	Down	+$42	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	765	$1.7K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	-$90	10-08 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	820	$1.7K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$29	10-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	316	$1.7K	3,229	0	+3,229	Up	-$22	10-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	350	$1.7K	3,179	0	+3,179	Up	+$107	10-27 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	797	$1.6K	3,256	0	+3,256	Down	-$15	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	815	$1.6K	3,525	0	+3,525	Down	+$67	10-12 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	751	$1.6K	3,205	0	+3,205	Down	+$49	09-30 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	575	$1.6K	3,457	0	+3,457	Down	+$107	10-27 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	825	$1.6K	3,395	0	+3,395	Down	+$78	10-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	745	$1.5K	3,144	0	+3,144	Down	+$21	10-13 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	747	$1.5K	3,077	0	+3,077	Down	+$26	10-16 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	701	$1.5K	2,977	0	+2,977	Down	-$80	10-13 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	694	$1.5K	3,015	0	+3,015	Down	+$21	10-07 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	670	$1.5K	2,848	0	+2,848	Down	-$62	10-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	679	$1.5K	2,930	0	+2,930	Down	-$21	10-02 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:35 UTC	718	$1.4K	2,916	0	+2,916	Up	-$31	10-13 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	738	$1.4K	3,023	0	+3,023	Down	+$41	10-12 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	678	$1.4K	2,887	0	+2,887	Down	-$33	10-12 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcae474…
10-31 21:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x95c63d…
10-31 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2727f2…
10-31 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8342a5…
10-31 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x201bfa…
10-31 21:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x80cec8…
10-31 21:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x5ebdef…
10-31 21:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x60e11d…
10-31 21:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x01860e…
10-31 21:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x96f2af…
10-31 21:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x62a4c3…
10-31 21:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x46e77d…
10-31 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xbe4b1a…
10-31 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x58208e…
10-31 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7aa9d4…
10-31 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x25d6d4…
10-31 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xff9454…
10-31 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xb76f50…
10-31 21:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xac15ce…
10-31 21:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa0870a…
10-31 21:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x406ffb…
10-31 21:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x56a5d4…
10-31 21:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x2666e0…
10-31 21:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x431fad…
10-31 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa9ebc6…
10-31 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9b29e3…
10-31 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9a370c…
10-31 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x942e62…
10-31 21:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8fa8de…
10-31 21:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd8f9c2…
10-31 21:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa34e02…
10-31 21:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3af7a0…
10-31 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf90e1f…
10-31 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xca8f6a…
10-31 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xc85abe…
10-31 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x3aa0fc…
10-31 21:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff939a…
10-31 21:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe880e…
10-31 21:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x60d90c…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xd7603a…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbff446…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x9ab679…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9a3d22…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x967e24…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6aab56…
10-31 21:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x44b22e…
10-31 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xcc9484…
10-31 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x312089…
10-31 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf7be79…
10-31 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x399822…
10-31 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1e81d1…
10-31 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd208f5…
10-31 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc7f973…
10-31 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x571da0…
10-31 21:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x322bfa…
10-31 21:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd62a09…
10-31 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbd5de3…
10-31 21:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xadf48a…
10-31 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbd56c5…
10-31 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb3d01b…
10-31 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5b5465…
10-31 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x417e80…
10-31 21:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xc8ee72…
10-31 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd14ed3…
10-31 21:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x0b0792…
10-31 21:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x58dbe6…
10-31 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe07e52…
10-31 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xabc0a7…
10-31 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e9a7e…
10-31 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2c0415…
10-31 21:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x82f403…
10-31 21:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x09961c…
10-31 21:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd017be…
10-31 21:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xba923f…
10-31 21:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1aeb90…
10-31 21:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xff5e55…
10-31 21:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xabfa73…
10-31 21:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x603bb2…
10-31 21:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2dea08…
10-31 21:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf72ba7…
10-31 21:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7ed685…
10-31 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6f3526…
10-31 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3b952e…
10-31 21:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc161a…
10-31 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf64d23…
10-31 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x96ae98…
10-31 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x901dcd…
10-31 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x28722b…
10-31 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0af096…
10-31 21:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xcf02c3…
10-31 21:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9a3ca4…
10-31 21:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7de76b…
10-31 21:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x94db60…
10-31 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd1c74a…
10-31 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb09391…
10-31 21:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x578f10…
10-31 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe9e051…
10-31 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xad273b…
10-31 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xdbddbe…
10-31 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb73b32…