Elastic-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$103

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

8,616

Trades

941,073

lifetime

Volume

$2.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$595

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-13 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% -$1,711

Other

1% 51% -$182

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 42471 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$1,000		+1,000	$548	45¢	$450	-$98	06-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	—	-145	-$121	100¢	$-144	-$23	11-13 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	—	-125	-$18	0¢	$-0	+$18	11-13 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	357	$2.6K	5,092	300	+4,792	No	+$145	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	498	$2.4K	0	4,217	-4,217	Down	+$256	11-10 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1,115	$2.3K	4,641	0	+4,641	Down	+$16	10-02 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	505	$1.9K	0	3,950	-3,950	Down	-$31	11-06 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	500	$1.9K	0	3,894	-3,894	Up	+$30	11-06 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	906	$1.9K	3,822	0	+3,822	Down	-$35	10-13 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	296	$1.9K	0	3,436	-3,436	Down	+$116	11-09 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:25 UTC	931	$1.9K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$45	10-13 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	851	$1.9K	3,626	0	+3,626	Up	-$29	10-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	296	$1.8K	0	3,531	-3,531	Up	+$84	11-10 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	519	$1.8K	0	3,741	-3,741	Up	-$60	11-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	593	$1.8K	0	3,655	-3,655	Down	-$3	11-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	300	$1.8K	0	3,391	-3,391	Up	+$154	11-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,541	0	+3,541	Up	+$25	10-02 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	879	$1.8K	3,565	0	+3,565	Up	-$3	10-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	816	$1.8K	3,555	0	+3,555	Down	+$21	10-09 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	815	$1.7K	3,471	0	+3,471	Up	+$1	10-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	889	$1.7K	3,668	0	+3,668	Up	+$59	10-09 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	638	$1.7K	3,553	0	+3,553	Up	+$36	10-14 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	291	$1.7K	0	3,620	-3,620	Down	-$121	11-10 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	830	$1.7K	3,463	0	+3,463	Down	+$42	10-02 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	765	$1.7K	3,166	0	+3,166	Down	-$90	10-08 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	820	$1.7K	3,470	0	+3,470	Down	+$29	10-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	316	$1.7K	3,229	0	+3,229	Up	-$22	10-30 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	350	$1.7K	3,179	0	+3,179	Up	+$107	10-27 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	797	$1.6K	3,256	0	+3,256	Down	-$15	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	815	$1.6K	3,525	0	+3,525	Down	+$67	10-12 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	408	$1.6K	0	3,141	-3,141	Up	+$43	11-06 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	440	$1.6K	0	3,399	-3,399	Up	-$151	11-06 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	751	$1.6K	3,205	0	+3,205	Down	+$49	09-30 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 18:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdead10…
11-13 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8ab321…
11-13 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb57666…
11-13 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa57ca4…
11-13 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x99ca9d…
11-13 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4e3e19…
11-13 18:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x56ad2c…
11-13 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x8166a0…
11-13 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x6681f5…
11-13 18:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x381cda…
11-13 18:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xd02f99…
11-13 18:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x5a5250…
11-13 18:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x2c7c42…
11-13 18:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x0c28c2…
11-13 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x87b1d9…
11-13 18:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xb55dbd…
11-13 18:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x498cd2…
11-13 18:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x4187b7…
11-13 18:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x944833…
11-13 18:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x9d67e5…
11-13 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x987b16…
11-13 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x6826f1…
11-13 18:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x5bfd5a…
11-13 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x9f07b9…
11-13 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x2c274a…
11-13 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x2b74e0…
11-13 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x48bdc0…
11-13 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf8a61c…
11-13 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x7fbc78…
11-13 18:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xaf079f…
11-13 18:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xbfeceb…
11-13 18:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x3f6468…
11-13 18:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xb262a4…
11-13 18:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8fc417…
11-13 18:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd971ab…
11-13 18:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xb426d9…
11-13 18:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x60387e…
11-13 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd4980c…
11-13 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xa0aa2a…
11-13 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x38082b…
11-13 18:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x81ac86…
11-13 18:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x3f5e5f…
11-13 18:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5a8b36…
11-13 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd199fc…
11-13 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xcec829…
11-13 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xbbb05a…
11-13 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xab838e…
11-13 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x994a97…
11-13 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x8679d3…
11-13 18:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x195935…
11-13 18:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x2a24e8…
11-13 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xd5be2e…
11-13 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xafbdbd…
11-13 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x9dcdc2…
11-13 18:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xbab745…
11-13 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdae0f8…
11-13 18:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa7cc60…
11-13 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe5a4e4…
11-13 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xe57203…
11-13 18:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x8df7b8…
11-13 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xe691ca…
11-13 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x3508f0…
11-13 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x0f7093…
11-13 18:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x9b1780…
11-13 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x1d8bb4…
11-13 18:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc1691d…
11-13 18:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x8948cc…
11-13 18:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xf88e5d…
11-13 18:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf93c1e…
11-13 18:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x22f79c…
11-13 18:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x1a8879…
11-13 18:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x704a8a…
11-13 18:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x52bd0d…
11-13 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xfb3231…
11-13 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xdbbdc8…
11-13 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd2a24f…
11-13 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x685404…
11-13 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x3d597e…
11-13 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xfb876b…
11-13 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x990ba1…
11-13 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x8485a5…
11-13 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x833b92…
11-13 18:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x3144f4…
11-13 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x0b0af9…
11-13 18:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xe4c8b0…
11-13 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xc36fe0…
11-13 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa3336c…
11-13 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x876612…
11-13 18:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x94b3eb…
11-13 18:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe40655…
11-13 18:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf469b9…
11-13 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd66aa1…
11-13 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xb098cb…
11-13 18:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x618f43…
11-13 18:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x40b003…
11-13 18:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf04722…
11-13 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x506b69…
11-13 18:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xdb5537…
11-13 18:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x052a48…
11-13 18:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x439d21…