Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$40,338

Trades

3,964

Unique wallets

894

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

19¢

Latest NO mid

81¢

End date

2026-10-13

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-13 04:10

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Vague-Hourglass +1,861 Sweet-Rag +1,500 (anon) +1,264 Splendid-Cause +1,000 (anon) +1,000 Windy-Turban +804 Supportive-Matchmaker +764 (anon) +707

NO holders

(anon) +1,358 Adventurous-Parole +1,200 Vague-Hourglass +1,185 Periodic-Marketplace +1,010 (anon) +662 Moral-Roof +642 Supportive-Matchmaker +619 (anon) +589

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.8¢ (top1%: 15% YES on $20.3K vs crowd: 15% YES on $36.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	191	$3.3K	$19.8K	$16.5K
🐬 Dolphin	287	$1.8K	$8.3K	$6.5K
🐟 Fish	238	$460	$2.6K	$2.2K
🦐 Shrimp	178	$128	$579	$451

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	215	$3.0K	$17.4K	$14.4K
🏆 Top 5%	117	$685	$3.6K	$2.9K
✅ Top 10%	38	$39	$385	$346
Median	74	$9	$312	$302
Below median	182	$173	$1.5K	$1.3K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	96	$197	$1.5K	$1.3K
🔻 Bottom 5%	119	$586	$3.8K	$3.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	53	$1.0K	$2.8K	$1.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+1,861	$185	$185	71	10-13 04:09
Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff	Up	+1,500	$45	$45	36	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+1,358	$1,188	$1,188	44	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+1,264	$208	$208	50	10-13 04:09
Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f	Down	+1,200	$1,188	$1,188	10	10-13 04:08
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+1,185	$1,044	$1,044	47	10-13 04:09
Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e	Down	+1,010	$1,000	$1,000	2	10-13 04:09
Splendid-Cause 0x64e7…50d1	Up	+1,000	$86	$86	2	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x9bfb…dc47	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	1	10-13 04:08
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+804	$240	$240	49	10-13 04:07
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+764	$83	$83	34	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+707	$131	$131	59	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882	Down	+662	$545	$545	4	10-13 04:07
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+642	$510	$510	12	10-13 04:09
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+619	$504	$542	47	10-13 04:09
Agile-Valuable 0xd406…e83a	Up	+603	$300	$300	3	10-13 04:04
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+589	$490	$490	28	10-13 04:09
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+578	$366	$366	20	10-13 04:07
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	Up	+534	$58	$58	6	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x17ea…e98f	Down	+516	$495	$495	1	10-13 04:08
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Down	+500	$495	$495	10	10-13 04:10
(anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f	Up	+500	$5	$5	2	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Down	+500	$495	$495	1	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd	Up	+500	$20	$20	9	10-13 04:09
Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87	Down	+492	$337	$337	5	10-13 04:06
(anonymous) 0x3708…daf9	Down	+458	$410	$410	10	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x321e…b542	Down	+454	$449	$449	1	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0x5964…0031	Down	+434	$390	$390	14	10-13 04:07
Sleepy-Consulting 0xba3c…7d7d	Up	+410	$250	$250	1	10-13 04:05
(anonymous) 0x239e…1c10	Down	+402	$326	$326	16	10-13 04:07
(anonymous) 0x239e…1c10	Up	+402	$34	$34	11	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e	Up	+401	$4	$4	7	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0x688b…2157	Down	+400	$396	$396	1	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc	Down	+389	$385	$385	3	10-13 04:08
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	Down	+383	$328	$328	5	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+371	$311	$311	11	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x119c…cd04	Down	+357	$300	$300	1	10-13 04:06
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+356	$59	$59	13	10-13 04:08
Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79	Down	+346	$342	$342	1	10-13 04:10
(anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0	Down	+337	$286	$286	5	10-13 04:09
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+329	$259	$259	14	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279	Down	+321	$318	$318	4	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Down	+312	$275	$275	23	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0xddfa…915d	Up	+309	$29	$29	6	10-13 04:07
Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2	Down	+308	$279	$279	3	10-13 04:07
(anonymous) 0x7612…0073	Up	+306	$30	$30	8	10-13 04:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+305	$259	$259	3	10-13 04:09
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+302	$19	$19	6	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0xaef6…134f	Down	+300	$294	$294	14	10-13 04:08
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+300	$3	$3	4	10-13 04:08
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+300	$6	$6	9	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Up	+294	$32	$32	27	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83	Up	+291	$23	$23	45	10-13 04:09
(anonymous) 0x7743…fb42	Up	+274	$164	$164	13	10-13 04:05
(anonymous) 0xa576…ac6b	Up	+273	$44	$44	9	10-13 04:06
(anonymous) 0xd844…5908	Up	+262	$56	$56	4	10-13 04:08
Sniveling-Curd 0x691f…877a	Up	+258	$11	$11	33	10-13 04:08
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Up	+256	$39	$39	27	10-13 04:09
Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2	Up	+254	$42	$42	3	10-13 04:06
Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7	Up	+250	$21	$21	6	10-13 04:08