Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

291

Trades

727

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-17 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 59% +$50

Politics

5% 55% +$10

Other

1% 36% -$24

Sports

0% 56% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	-10	-$10	97¢	$-10	$0	10-13 03:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-6	-$3	39¢	$-2	+$1	10-13 03:30
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	-2	-$2	84¢	$-2	$0	10-13 07:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	9	$105	60	60	+0	Down	+$5	10-14 01:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	4	$95	65	65	+0	No	+$32	01-30 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:50 UTC	7	$75	59	35	+24	Down	+$9	10-14 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:05 UTC	8	$72	45	45	+0	Down	+$8	10-14 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$71	42	42	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$71	48	48	+0	Up	+$1	10-13 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$70	41	41	+0	Up	+$10	10-13 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	5	$69	45	45	+0	Up	+$9	10-13 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$69	49	49	+0	Up	+$19	10-13 06:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	4	$66	37	37	+0	Down	+$6	10-13 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$66	38	38	+0	Down	+$6	10-13 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	7	$63	47	47	+0	Up	+$9	10-14 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$62	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	10-13 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$62	61	36	+25	Up	+$2	10-13 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$61	44	44	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:35 UTC	4	$61	43	33	+10	Up	+$11	10-14 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:10 UTC	4	$60	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	10-14 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$60	62	33	+29	Up	$0	10-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:55 UTC	4	$60	36	36	+0	Up	+$10	10-14 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$58	36	36	+0	Up	+$8	10-13 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$57	44	44	+0	Up	+$7	10-13 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	6	$57	44	44	+0	Down	+$7	10-14 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:40 UTC	4	$56	48	40	+8	Up	+$6	10-14 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$55	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	10-13 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:55 UTC	6	$55	35	35	+0	Down	+$5	10-14 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:20 UTC	5	$54	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	10-13 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:50 UTC	4	$54	36	25	+11	Down	+$5	10-14 03:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	6	$54	32	32	+0	Up	+$4	10-13 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:55 UTC	3	$49	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	10-13 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	6	$48	43	37	+6	Down	+$4	10-14 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 03:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x02e4f8…
10-17 03:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1cd788…
10-17 03:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d6164…
10-17 03:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x646fe5…
10-17 02:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd722a2…
10-17 02:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf226a5…
10-16 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x2a914f…
10-16 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xb7031d…
10-16 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x441d12…
10-16 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf868a6…
10-16 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xedc673…
10-16 01:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xbbde35…
10-16 01:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9a6650…
10-16 01:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb8850e…
10-16 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87feff…
10-16 01:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc98631…
10-16 01:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c4504…
10-16 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x415833…
10-16 01:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa6deb8…
10-16 01:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xdf27a9…
10-16 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa7b759…
10-16 01:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x366397…
10-16 01:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa1a350…
10-16 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x63c303…
10-16 01:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x36d1c4…
10-16 01:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb0de76…
10-16 01:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4b3464…
10-16 01:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x052d22…
10-16 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x27c41a…
10-16 01:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xea01ab…
10-16 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcf7a76…
10-16 01:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xdecd02…
10-16 01:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6a6a8a…
10-16 01:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x805f43…
10-16 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x40bda8…
10-16 01:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4e4aa5…
10-16 01:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfe4432…
10-16 01:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5c4eff…
10-16 01:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2013c9…
10-16 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2716bd…
10-16 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdeb16a…
10-16 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5bfd00…
10-16 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7541fc…
10-16 01:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x52e2b9…
10-16 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x164625…
10-16 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66f17d…
10-16 00:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xdcbac0…
10-16 00:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7992bd…
10-16 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xba73e3…
10-16 00:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7549a3…
10-16 00:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd48888…
10-16 00:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5ba649…
10-16 00:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x34dab6…
10-16 00:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x639a0f…
10-16 00:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd02ccd…
10-16 00:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf6cf08…
10-16 00:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x36862e…
10-16 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe42f9c…
10-16 00:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x1294c9…
10-16 00:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa75bf1…
10-16 00:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x607696…
10-16 00:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2736a6…
10-16 00:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xaf422c…
10-16 00:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x191849…
10-16 00:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8acb5e…
10-15 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc09f3a…
10-15 23:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe73e3a…
10-15 23:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe95a1b…
10-15 22:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1d46ad…
10-15 22:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38bdbd…
10-15 22:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe20d3c…
10-15 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1b1329…
10-15 22:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x20221d…
10-15 21:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x60876d…
10-15 20:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8fb009…
10-15 20:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x98278f…
10-15 20:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x84231d…
10-15 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x59dd90…
10-15 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c320c…
10-15 19:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa2c99c…
10-15 19:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf28df4…
10-15 19:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xf0960b…
10-15 19:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x37af3a…
10-15 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x4a636d…
10-15 18:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf2533d…
10-15 18:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1fe120…
10-15 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8a6f49…
10-15 18:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf1cad3…
10-15 17:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xaf7d7b…
10-15 17:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x40b680…
10-15 17:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1c1888…
10-15 17:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x747da1…
10-15 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5ac105…
10-15 17:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x1ef718…
10-15 17:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x32696a…
10-15 17:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x53e364…
10-15 17:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb8e5f0…
10-15 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd089c8…
10-15 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xff63e4…
10-15 17:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xcae8dc…