Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$39,591
Trades
3,658
Unique wallets
707
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 17:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $18.4K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $35.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 162 | $3.4K | $18.6K | $15.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 199 | $1.2K | $6.8K | $5.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 203 | $1.4K | $2.7K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 143 | $238 | $697 | $459 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 150 | $3.2K | $15.2K | $12.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 88 | $257 | $2.5K | $2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 29 | $22 | $616 | $594 |
| Median | 48 | $120 | $129 | $9 |
| Below median | 150 | $527 | $1.8K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 84 | $469 | $1.6K | $1.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 92 | $630 | $3.1K | $2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 66 | $1.1K | $3.9K | $2.8K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe1ab…c079 | Up | +1,586 | $360 | $360 | 5 | 10-15 17:52 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,523 | $1,454 | $1,454 | 14 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xee6e…585f | Up | +1,436 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 10-15 17:52 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 13 | 10-15 17:54 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,198 | $186 | $186 | 82 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7711…a6c3 | Up | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-15 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c23…1092 | Up | +899 | $60 | $60 | 6 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +854 | $702 | $702 | 14 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +811 | $279 | $501 | 117 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +702 | $486 | $486 | 35 | 10-15 17:52 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +694 | $195 | $195 | 34 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x573f…e563 | Up | +671 | $40 | $40 | 10 | 10-15 17:52 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +652 | $570 | $570 | 17 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +643 | $115 | $115 | 22 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +642 | $468 | $468 | 25 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +640 | $443 | $443 | 7 | 10-15 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +639 | $235 | $235 | 4 | 10-15 17:52 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +627 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | +615 | $113 | $113 | 122 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Down | +603 | $489 | $489 | 98 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +596 | $106 | $106 | 15 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +591 | $490 | $490 | 20 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8718…ff8c | Down | +588 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xee8c…3a27 | Up | +544 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-15 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +516 | $503 | $503 | 12 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1988…7d42 | Down | +505 | $481 | $481 | 1 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Honorable-Pavement 0x383c…d1b8 | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +493 | $387 | $387 | 5 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7f7…4fb4 | Down | +488 | $458 | $458 | 4 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9446…bcaa | Down | +484 | $455 | $455 | 4 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +462 | $109 | $109 | 27 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Up | +452 | $90 | $90 | 18 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +442 | $114 | $114 | 17 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +441 | $291 | $1,447 | 64 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +420 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 10-15 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x074b…d7cd | Up | +419 | $112 | $112 | 17 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +418 | $101 | $101 | 23 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +415 | $41 | $41 | 19 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +409 | $330 | $330 | 34 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 8 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8036…c03e | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 4 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +400 | $389 | $389 | 4 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +386 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +386 | $72 | $72 | 35 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +382 | $96 | $96 | 12 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +378 | $253 | $253 | 23 | 10-15 17:51 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | +360 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 10-15 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +360 | $270 | $270 | 18 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +346 | $302 | $302 | 17 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +344 | $30 | $30 | 42 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +343 | $53 | $53 | 23 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +335 | $69 | $69 | 23 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | +329 | $289 | $289 | 17 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +323 | $52 | $52 | 22 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Down | +313 | $230 | $230 | 47 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x29e6…25b5 | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +291 | $232 | $232 | 10 | 10-15 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +289 | $224 | $224 | 12 | 10-15 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x18a9…c231 | Down | +288 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 10-15 17:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 17:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xc192…0366 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xadde86… |
| 10-15 17:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x628d…7c83 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xadde86… |
| 10-15 17:54:44 | (anonymous) 0xc192…0366 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7470e6… |
| 10-15 17:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x4da3…5cfa | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7470e6… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | Dry-Dill 0x5518…5451 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xc192…0366 | Down | BUY | 214 | 99¢ | $212 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x7711…a6c3 | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 360 | 99¢ | $356 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:35 | Noisy-Junker 0x515c…3e91 | Down | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $248 | 0x43d787… |
| 10-15 17:54:34 | Pessimistic-Blow 0xe64f…7d13 | Down | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xf1c940… |
| 10-15 17:54:34 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xf1c940… |
| 10-15 17:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x4151…ec5d | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8d4445… |
| 10-15 17:54:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8d4445… |
| 10-15 17:54:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x190b10… |
| 10-15 17:54:20 | (anonymous) 0xf385…ffce | Down | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x190b10… |
| 10-15 17:54:19 | (anonymous) 0xee8c…3a27 | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x21fa14… |
| 10-15 17:54:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x21fa14… |
| 10-15 17:54:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa31372… |
| 10-15 17:54:14 | (anonymous) 0xbf01…6d99 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa31372… |
| 10-15 17:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xa2a8…1c82 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x91ceaa… |
| 10-15 17:54:10 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x91ceaa… |
| 10-15 17:54:05 | (anonymous) 0xee4e…94f8 | Down | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x734932… |
| 10-15 17:54:05 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x734932… |
| 10-15 17:54:02 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 106 | 99¢ | $105 | 0x4e3f7a… |
| 10-15 17:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xee3e…f651 | Down | SELL | 106 | 99¢ | $105 | 0x4e3f7a… |
| 10-15 17:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xbd40…de69 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x57f52f… |
| 10-15 17:54:02 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x57f52f… |
| 10-15 17:53:59 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x11f2f5… |
| 10-15 17:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x6940…0955 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x11f2f5… |
| 10-15 17:53:58 | (anonymous) 0xf923…58e8 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe9724e… |
| 10-15 17:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x39b6…1222 | Down | SELL | 173 | 99¢ | $171 | 0x6c2f38… |
| 10-15 17:53:58 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe9724e… |
| 10-15 17:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x6c2f38… |
| 10-15 17:53:58 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 121 | 99¢ | $120 | 0x6c2f38… |
| 10-15 17:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x70f946… |
| 10-15 17:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xd4e0…b12e | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x70f946… |
| 10-15 17:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x42af1a… |
| 10-15 17:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x42af1a… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xf8cc5d… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0x3d15dd… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 325 | 99¢ | $322 | 0x73c53f… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xefde…d970 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Down | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x73c53f… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | BUY | 263 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1,229 | 99¢ | $1,217 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Crafty-Masonry 0x460f…c1fe | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 158 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3d15dd… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x2b7e…db5f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x07e2…11d0 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xf8cc5d… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8df…b365 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xa442…3b25 | Down | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x18a9…c231 | Down | BUY | 288 | 99¢ | $285 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Posh-Sake 0x62f4…c090 | Down | SELL | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x4089…714b | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xba31b2… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 56 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | SELL | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x1536…1cda | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Virtuous-Reef 0x5e30…1613 | Down | SELL | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xa716…301b | Up | BUY | 116 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8cc5d… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa42a67… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xba31b2… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x8036…c03e | Up | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x73c53f… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0 | Up | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xe405…f57e | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa42a67… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb0f765… |
| 10-15 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x49da…bfd0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a91c9… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xc95e…a9cb | Up | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 183 | 98¢ | $179 | 0xd10cf0… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3bf…5260 | Down | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1c2c9c… |
| 10-15 17:53:52 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1c2c9c… |
| 10-15 17:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x3503…f979 | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x356358… |
| 10-15 17:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x342a11… |
| 10-15 17:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xef49…cbca | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x342a11… |
| 10-15 17:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x356358… |
| 10-15 17:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x62b459… |