Pessimistic-Blow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,000

lifetime

Volume

$46.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% $-369

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$254

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 11 4pm et	40	$1.2K	1,632	1,226	+406	open	—	01-11 21:55
bitcoin up or down january 11 5pm et	25	$791	802	760	+42	open	—	01-11 22:52
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 6pm et	10	$774	1,041	1,041	+0	open	—	06-16 22:59
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 5pm et	25	$638	961	961	+0	open	—	06-16 21:55
bitcoin up or down january 12 4am et	33	$529	526	356	+171	open	—	01-12 09:59
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	5	$475	620	463	+156	open	—	05-19 21:15
bitcoin up or down january 11 3pm et	26	$463	642	642	+0	open	—	01-11 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	6	$409	435	250	+185	open	—	05-20 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	9	$405	427	244	+183	open	—	05-20 11:51
bitcoin up or down january 12 5am et	27	$386	441	254	+186	open	—	01-12 10:50
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	12	$375	417	227	+190	open	—	05-20 11:52
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	12	$374	413	213	+200	open	—	05-20 11:51
bitcoin up or down january 11 2pm et	24	$369	605	325	+281	open	—	01-11 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	10	$340	388	208	+180	open	—	05-20 19:19
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 12pm et	14	$333	365	195	+170	open	—	06-16 17:00
bitcoin up or down january 12 3am et	24	$323	348	214	+134	open	—	01-12 08:36
xrp up or down june 16 2026 6pm et	8	$320	414	290	+124	open	—	06-16 22:21
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	7	$318	334	216	+118	open	—	06-16 18:56
xrp up or down june 16 2026 8pm et	13	$309	384	154	+230	open	—	06-17 01:11
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 11am et	14	$301	333	317	+15	open	—	04-23 15:57
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 4pm et	5	$299	292	179	+113	open	—	06-16 20:48
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 9pm et	5	$297	710	118	+593	open	—	06-17 01:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	4	$288	321	169	+153	open	—	05-20 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	4	$274	328	170	+158	open	—	05-19 09:35
bitcoin up or down january 11 7pm et	25	$269	421	300	+121	open	—	01-12 00:59
bitcoin up or down january 12 6am et	11	$266	951	569	+383	open	—	01-12 11:42
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	24	$256	214	174	+40	open	—	05-22 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	15	$244	415	115	+300	Up	$-14	05-10 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	3	$238	417	104	+313	open	—	05-19 21:15
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	5	$237	185	185	+0	open	—	05-29 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:21:53	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe2d39a…
06-29 23:20:07	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x29eec0…
06-29 23:05:11	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x1f9a9a…
06-29 23:05:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c88cd…
06-29 23:01:58	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x18b56f…
06-29 22:51:52	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xea721d…
06-29 22:21:20	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1b66ce…
06-29 22:21:01	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xb13f58…
06-29 22:01:37	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb090b5…
06-29 21:48:59	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x770553…
06-29 21:02:01	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe22cdb…
06-29 18:46:43	btc updown 15m 1782758700	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xbc9505…
06-29 16:48:58	btc updown 15m 1782751500	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x89ce60…
06-29 10:02:49	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xaa54d7…
06-29 10:01:20	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0d69da…
06-29 09:56:47	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa10c29…
06-29 09:02:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4e4cd0…
06-29 02:16:47	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc99dd6…
06-29 02:02:53	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x730de4…
06-29 02:02:46	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0x0b2705…
06-29 01:03:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x52afe7…
06-29 01:00:35	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2fd65…
06-29 00:23:43	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x81a3d4…
06-29 00:13:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e4a97…
06-29 00:12:58	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xc6bbf1…
06-29 00:12:46	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x478eb2…
06-29 00:01:41	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb9ddaf…
06-28 22:18:35	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa64547…
06-28 22:07:44	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xaa7b17…
06-28 21:54:56	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x9fe63e…
06-28 21:05:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x51293d…
06-28 21:04:53	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xacadc9…
06-28 20:28:43	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xff27d7…
06-28 20:01:52	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbfcf66…
06-28 17:06:34	xrp up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x51e841…
06-28 17:06:20	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x813235…
06-28 16:01:41	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7dffb9…
06-28 16:01:32	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb5c819…
06-28 08:03:17	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1746ef…
06-28 08:03:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x584542…
06-28 07:05:20	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8dba8d…
06-28 07:03:07	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xf30a78…
06-28 07:00:49	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x80afe6…
06-28 06:07:56	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x716f8a…
06-28 06:03:26	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5005b3…
06-28 05:14:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb7f8d1…
06-28 05:14:02	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0fd9e5…
06-28 05:02:23	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc88049…
06-28 05:02:10	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda3430…
06-28 05:02:04	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x26f660…
06-25 13:07:13	xrp updown 5m 1782392700	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe8862d…
06-25 12:01:44	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf7f73f…
06-25 11:30:53	btc updown 5m 1782387000	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe869db…
06-25 11:21:53	eth updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc3828a…
06-25 11:21:43	btc updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8d6d2f…
06-25 11:21:38	btc updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x65c076…
06-25 11:21:23	eth updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1351d4…
06-25 11:21:20	eth updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf8f092…
06-25 11:17:35	eth updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa6def6…
06-25 11:17:23	btc updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe18f50…
06-25 11:17:19	btc updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb8752…
06-25 11:16:46	btc updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x975d57…
06-25 11:16:31	eth updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2092d1…
06-25 11:16:14	btc updown 5m 1782386100	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdf257d…
06-25 09:55:17	eth updown 5m 1782381000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x646227…
06-25 09:51:50	eth updown 5m 1782381000	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x067983…
06-25 07:05:07	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb77bc2…
06-25 07:04:56	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf923ab…
06-25 07:04:53	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb48f94…
06-25 07:04:31	btc updown 5m 1782370800	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfdfdb5…
06-24 14:58:26	eth updown 5m 1782312900	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc1ebe1…
06-24 14:57:37	eth updown 5m 1782312900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfabd78…
06-24 05:45:14	xrp updown 5m 1782279600	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe08dc6…
06-24 05:41:46	xrp updown 5m 1782279600	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x639a40…
06-24 01:52:02	xrp updown 5m 1782265800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc6ce18…
06-24 01:51:43	xrp updown 5m 1782265800	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4b67ba…
06-23 21:39:04	eth updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdf8f26…
06-23 21:39:04	eth updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6f55a6…
06-23 21:38:11	xrp updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1d8fba…
06-23 21:38:05	xrp updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe89cbf…
06-23 21:38:05	xrp updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x77b1b4…
06-23 21:37:44	xrp updown 5m 1782250500	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x899430…
06-23 21:31:34	xrp updown 5m 1782250200	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6bbe9f…
06-23 21:31:34	xrp updown 5m 1782250200	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1e6e67…
06-23 21:29:29	xrp updown 5m 1782249900	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xddd957…
06-23 21:26:29	xrp updown 5m 1782249900	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x617e19…
06-23 21:26:14	xrp updown 5m 1782249900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc3ad6…
06-23 21:21:29	xrp updown 5m 1782249600	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1f95a4…
06-23 21:17:02	xrp updown 5m 1782249300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd5a4b5…
06-23 21:16:20	xrp updown 5m 1782249300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa7d39b…
06-23 21:16:20	xrp updown 5m 1782249300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6a268b…
06-23 21:06:20	xrp updown 5m 1782248700	Up	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x99f965…
06-23 21:06:14	xrp updown 5m 1782248700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xde5777…
06-23 21:06:14	xrp updown 5m 1782248700	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b182f…
06-23 21:06:14	xrp updown 5m 1782248700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x26d80d…
06-23 20:53:44	xrp updown 5m 1782247800	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb9e35…
06-23 20:52:43	xrp updown 5m 1782247800	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd7baa5…
06-23 20:43:28	eth updown 5m 1782247200	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xe5ce16…
06-23 20:42:53	xrp updown 5m 1782247200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x43b091…
06-23 20:41:25	xrp updown 5m 1782247200	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x790ca5…