Pessimistic-Blow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,441

lifetime

Volume

$36.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% $-369

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$254

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 11 4pm et	40	$1.2K	1,632	1,226	+406	open	—	01-11 21:55
bitcoin up or down january 11 5pm et	25	$791	802	760	+42	open	—	01-11 22:52
bitcoin up or down january 12 4am et	33	$529	526	356	+171	open	—	01-12 09:59
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	5	$475	620	463	+156	open	—	05-19 21:15
bitcoin up or down january 11 3pm et	26	$463	642	642	+0	open	—	01-11 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	6	$409	435	250	+185	open	—	05-20 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	9	$405	427	244	+183	open	—	05-20 11:51
bitcoin up or down january 12 5am et	27	$386	441	254	+186	open	—	01-12 10:50
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	12	$375	417	227	+190	open	—	05-20 11:52
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	12	$374	413	213	+200	open	—	05-20 11:51
bitcoin up or down january 11 2pm et	24	$369	605	325	+281	open	—	01-11 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	10	$340	388	208	+180	open	—	05-20 19:19
bitcoin up or down january 12 3am et	24	$323	348	214	+134	open	—	01-12 08:36
ethereum up or down april 23 2026 11am et	14	$301	333	317	+15	open	—	04-23 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	4	$288	321	169	+153	open	—	05-20 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	4	$274	328	170	+158	open	—	05-19 09:35
bitcoin up or down january 11 7pm et	25	$269	421	300	+121	open	—	01-12 00:59
bitcoin up or down january 12 6am et	11	$266	951	569	+383	open	—	01-12 11:42
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	24	$256	214	174	+40	open	—	05-22 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	15	$244	415	115	+300	Up	$-14	05-10 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	3	$238	417	104	+313	open	—	05-19 21:15
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	5	$237	185	185	+0	open	—	05-29 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5PM ET	2	$235	149	149	+0	open	—	05-20 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	7	$233	215	135	+81	open	—	05-22 08:20
bitcoin up or down january 11 8pm et	23	$232	322	188	+134	open	—	01-12 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	9	$228	243	156	+87	Down	+$82	05-05 22:58
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	5	$226	150	150	+0	open	—	05-22 08:20
bitcoin up or down january 12 7am et	18	$223	340	340	+0	open	—	01-12 12:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	10	$218	390	133	+257	open	—	05-18 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET	6	$218	234	149	+85	open	—	04-24 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xccb88b…
06-01 18:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xaf29fe…
05-31 16:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	236	33¢	$79	0x667755…
05-31 13:59:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0xb29cf7…
05-30 13:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xfed643…
05-30 10:05:08	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x1bbbf9…
05-29 21:02:25	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x8ca913…
05-29 20:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa9bc1a…
05-29 20:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbdfe1c…
05-29 20:04:45	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x7123a5…
05-29 20:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xdb6b17…
05-29 16:27:26	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	46	71¢	$33	0x350989…
05-29 16:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	43	79¢	$34	0x2900a2…
05-29 16:26:56	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	46	73¢	$34	0x8d5faf…
05-29 16:26:21	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xaf002e…
05-29 16:25:48	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	76	75¢	$58	0x69c711…
05-29 16:25:48	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x37c988…
05-29 16:04:21	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x17613f…
05-29 16:04:06	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xfb3709…
05-29 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x88c85b…
05-26 15:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xce0977…
05-26 14:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x6291b4…
05-26 12:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x1ea564…
05-26 12:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x7c79cc…
05-26 12:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xb3f004…
05-26 12:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xcc174f…
05-25 13:16:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	88	62¢	$55	0xb29494…
05-24 14:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x84ce56…
05-24 13:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0xdb0106…
05-24 04:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe20112…
05-23 20:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xe81207…
05-23 20:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0cf426…
05-23 20:04:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x228541…
05-23 14:08:15	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4734cc…
05-23 14:07:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xb84602…
05-23 12:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	186	20¢	$37	0x3b286a…
05-23 12:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	186	52¢	$97	0x5e6dde…
05-23 11:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	113	88¢	$99	0x33c052…
05-23 11:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	113	48¢	$54	0x06af48…
05-23 08:19:58	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xc464c1…
05-23 02:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	99	26¢	$26	0x4a48ae…
05-23 02:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xdf5a08…
05-22 13:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	137	40¢	$55	0xe883ab…
05-22 12:37:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	248	22¢	$55	0x3677ba…
05-22 12:27:22	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x13ca02…
05-22 12:27:08	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x01545c…
05-22 09:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x8a376d…
05-22 09:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	266	54¢	$144	0x40573c…
05-22 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf722c9…
05-22 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xd2335f…
05-22 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x2170e4…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xf8ff54…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xf03022…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xd03967…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc4942e…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0xb2f6ea…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x94bbc3…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x82ffe2…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x72f01f…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x6b193a…
05-22 08:30:03	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x30ba75…
05-22 08:29:49	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd2b34b…
05-22 08:29:43	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xdf30f8…
05-22 08:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xe62e7d…
05-22 08:27:36	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x667ad4…
05-22 08:26:50	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x0c2f52…
05-22 08:21:00	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x9d9d21…
05-22 08:20:55	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xc0fbdc…
05-22 08:20:53	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xc3e45b…
05-22 08:20:34	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x100777…
05-22 08:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	68	80¢	$55	0x1afcf8…
05-22 08:20:29	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xe9eafc…
05-22 08:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0xbb2ab9…
05-22 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x18ff57…
05-22 08:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x4ddf88…
05-22 08:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0xeb8f43…
05-22 08:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x8f7d18…
05-22 08:16:29	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x81c006…
05-22 08:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	48	75¢	$36	0x7f108b…
05-22 08:15:54	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	37	85¢	$32	0xc77e14…
05-22 08:15:35	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	75	80¢	$60	0x53b9cf…
05-22 08:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x90e418…
05-22 08:06:02	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x25dd43…
05-22 08:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x1f2035…
05-22 08:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4158d2…
05-22 08:03:51	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x122f6f…
05-22 08:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x35c3b2…
05-22 08:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xb9540d…
05-22 08:03:39	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xfbb426…
05-22 06:39:18	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xa84bff…
05-22 06:16:24	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x5d6a18…
05-22 06:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeaa979…
05-22 06:14:51	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xa899b2…
05-21 15:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc297b9…
05-21 15:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	387	52¢	$200	0x15338d…
05-21 14:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x6b5f56…
05-21 14:33:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x6da5d6…
05-21 14:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x071094…
05-21 09:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	121	56¢	$68	0xa1308a…
05-21 07:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb2fc7a…