Deep-Sunbonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

59,643

Trades

540,296

lifetime

Volume

$4.70M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-26 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$57,073

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 7171 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	—	+24	$17	99¢	$24	+$7	10-27 00:22
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	—	+10	$3	98¢	$10	+$6	10-27 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	—	+20	$7	2¢	$0	-$6	10-27 00:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	168	$3.4K	5,537	+5,537	Up	-$639	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	64	$2.7K	3,916	+3,916	Down	+$1,021	07-21 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:55 UTC	71	$2.4K	3,998	+3,998	Up	+$27	07-20 15:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	87	$2.2K	3,000	+3,000	Up	-$722	08-27 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	51	$2.1K	3,128	+3,128	Up	+$131	07-21 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:20 UTC	43	$2.0K	2,749	+2,749	Down	-$437	07-22 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:50 UTC	40	$2.0K	3,151	+3,151	Up	-$1,067	07-22 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	57	$2.0K	3,285	+3,285	Down	-$1,314	07-21 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:45 UTC	35	$2.0K	2,722	+2,722	Up	-$371	07-22 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:30 UTC	52	$2.0K	3,469	+3,469	Up	+$118	07-22 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	37	$2.0K	3,391	+3,391	Up	-$976	06-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	99	$1.9K	4,251	+4,251	Down	-$208	05-29 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:10 UTC	26	$1.8K	2,652	+2,652	Down	+$430	07-21 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:35 UTC	36	$1.8K	2,785	+2,785	Down	+$497	07-21 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:40 UTC	49	$1.8K	2,952	+2,952	Up	+$26	07-21 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	70	$1.8K	3,313	+3,313	Up	-$74	09-03 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:55 UTC	99	$1.7K	2,868	+2,868	Up	-$183	06-10 14:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	91	$1.7K	2,745	+2,745	Up	-$67	08-27 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:30 UTC	76	$1.7K	3,644	+3,644	Up	+$103	07-16 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:40 UTC	38	$1.6K	2,324	+2,324	Down	-$142	07-20 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	59	$1.6K	2,610	+2,610	Up	-$127	07-17 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:35 UTC	91	$1.6K	3,098	+3,098	Down	+$44	07-22 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	95	$1.6K	3,036	+3,036	Down	-$448	06-01 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:50 UTC	43	$1.6K	2,234	+2,234	Up	-$1,095	07-24 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:10 UTC	26	$1.6K	2,256	+2,256	Down	-$331	07-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:10 UTC	51	$1.6K	2,607	+2,607	Up	-$487	07-14 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:30 UTC	27	$1.6K	3,056	+3,056	Down	+$49	07-16 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:20 UTC	49	$1.5K	2,464	+2,464	Down	-$185	08-07 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:50 UTC	85	$1.5K	3,273	+3,273	Down	-$679	07-22 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:30 UTC	71	$1.5K	3,143	+3,143	Down	-$31	08-12 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xecb9ef…
10-27 00:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x76201b…
10-27 00:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x531f54…
10-27 00:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xcb8cf9…
10-27 00:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x96115f…
10-27 00:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27a5d2…
10-27 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe85fe3…
10-27 00:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2fccdb…
10-27 00:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x32bb4c…
10-27 00:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x833b71…
10-27 00:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x3a50be…
10-27 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xf05b76…
10-27 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc22fa6…
10-27 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xa3d682…
10-27 00:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0edb07…
10-27 00:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x872602…
10-27 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0357df…
10-27 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x003ac1…
10-27 00:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xdb8f39…
10-27 00:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x960aab…
10-27 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe8303b…
10-27 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xcb914a…
10-27 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x69b9fe…
10-27 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xb36220…
10-27 00:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xf9279d…
10-27 00:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0xe1c615…
10-27 00:16:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x41b228…
10-27 00:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0x017762…
10-27 00:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x938805…
10-27 00:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9053a0…
10-27 00:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x19017a…
10-27 00:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdbec35…
10-27 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0xd8ef64…
10-27 00:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x4d3751…
10-27 00:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2586d9…
10-27 00:05:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe6a3f5…
10-27 00:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0xb6393d…
10-27 00:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x49faf3…
10-27 00:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc4d6e0…
10-27 00:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb8e606…
10-27 00:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa8e396…
10-27 00:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe41769…
10-27 00:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc633a4…
10-27 00:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7db820…
10-27 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6e8808…
10-27 00:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfd4f60…
10-27 00:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x98be7e…
10-27 00:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x65b02f…
10-27 00:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x39b0d5…
10-27 00:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xea8ad8…
10-27 00:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x179c20…
10-27 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe12add…
10-27 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb5fc1e…
10-27 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9435f1…
10-27 00:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c50ea…
10-27 00:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xf0f175…
10-27 00:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd2c84f…
10-27 00:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe1d1c1…
10-27 00:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc9bcc1…
10-27 00:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8c8cba…
10-27 00:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x19be42…
10-27 00:01:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x563da8…
10-27 00:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x057686…
10-26 23:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd6a43c…
10-26 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb79720…
10-26 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7d4697…
10-26 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x7b2f0e…
10-26 23:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7f3f2e…
10-26 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x372753…
10-26 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x102470…
10-26 23:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x006c34…
10-26 23:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd25b8f…
10-26 23:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xfb0eb5…
10-26 23:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x72b7f4…
10-26 23:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9620d9…
10-26 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf2a76c…
10-26 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2edd6d…
10-26 23:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe227c9…
10-26 23:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb6ca91…
10-26 23:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8fc1af…
10-26 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x94294a…
10-26 23:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x63c56b…
10-26 23:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x32c547…
10-26 23:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2ddd64…
10-26 23:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x6a0d9f…
10-26 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xfa0e50…
10-26 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x1a2a6a…
10-26 23:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x71c5ba…
10-26 23:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xd77a5b…
10-26 23:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x851a79…
10-26 23:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x71f419…
10-26 23:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x70baa5…
10-26 23:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd3321c…
10-26 23:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x065292…
10-26 23:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x207da3…
10-26 23:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb0b91b…
10-26 23:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x767e75…
10-26 23:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc4adac…
10-26 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbb3508…
10-26 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xc7769e…