Deep-Sunbonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$18.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved (90d)

28,480

Trades (90d)

231,394

549,112 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.92M

$4.75M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$146

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-30 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$58,427

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 7171 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	—	+146	$73	99¢	$144	+$71	10-30 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	—	+161	$94	1¢	$2	-$93	10-30 12:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	—	+7	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-30 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	168	$3.4K	5,537	+5,537	Up	-$639	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	64	$2.7K	3,916	+3,916	Down	+$1,021	07-21 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:55 UTC	71	$2.4K	3,998	+3,998	Up	+$27	07-20 15:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	87	$2.2K	3,000	+3,000	Up	-$722	08-27 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	51	$2.1K	3,128	+3,128	Up	+$131	07-21 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:20 UTC	43	$2.0K	2,749	+2,749	Down	-$437	07-22 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:50 UTC	40	$2.0K	3,151	+3,151	Up	-$1,067	07-22 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	57	$2.0K	3,285	+3,285	Down	-$1,314	07-21 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:45 UTC	35	$2.0K	2,722	+2,722	Up	-$371	07-22 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:30 UTC	52	$2.0K	3,469	+3,469	Up	+$118	07-22 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	37	$2.0K	3,391	+3,391	Up	-$976	06-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	99	$1.9K	4,251	+4,251	Down	-$208	05-29 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:10 UTC	26	$1.8K	2,652	+2,652	Down	+$430	07-21 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:35 UTC	36	$1.8K	2,785	+2,785	Down	+$497	07-21 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:40 UTC	49	$1.8K	2,952	+2,952	Up	+$26	07-21 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	70	$1.8K	3,313	+3,313	Up	-$74	09-03 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:55 UTC	99	$1.7K	2,868	+2,868	Up	-$183	06-10 14:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:15 UTC	91	$1.7K	2,745	+2,745	Up	-$67	08-27 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:30 UTC	76	$1.7K	3,644	+3,644	Up	+$103	07-16 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:40 UTC	38	$1.6K	2,324	+2,324	Down	-$142	07-20 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:50 UTC	59	$1.6K	2,610	+2,610	Up	-$127	07-17 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:35 UTC	91	$1.6K	3,098	+3,098	Down	+$44	07-22 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	95	$1.6K	3,036	+3,036	Down	-$448	06-01 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:50 UTC	43	$1.6K	2,234	+2,234	Up	-$1,095	07-24 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:10 UTC	26	$1.6K	2,256	+2,256	Down	-$331	07-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:10 UTC	51	$1.6K	2,607	+2,607	Up	-$487	07-14 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:30 UTC	27	$1.6K	3,056	+3,056	Down	+$49	07-16 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 16:20 UTC	49	$1.5K	2,464	+2,464	Down	-$185	08-07 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 19:50 UTC	85	$1.5K	3,273	+3,273	Down	-$679	07-22 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:30 UTC	71	$1.5K	3,143	+3,143	Down	-$31	08-12 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x8648a6…
10-30 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xf1ba7b…
10-30 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc78653…
10-30 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x489f91…
10-30 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x21a36d…
10-30 12:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x4a51f3…
10-30 12:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xd4f3c6…
10-30 12:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x700276…
10-30 12:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb94f1d…
10-30 12:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x39ee56…
10-30 12:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x1119fc…
10-30 12:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x251c9b…
10-30 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa27a19…
10-30 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x9fec8f…
10-30 12:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xec0c4d…
10-30 12:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x85c266…
10-30 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x7563a7…
10-30 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x368b46…
10-30 12:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x27dca3…
10-30 12:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x1e9ddb…
10-30 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xd4dd46…
10-30 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x878dcf…
10-30 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xbc50f0…
10-30 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x472fbc…
10-30 12:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc97963…
10-30 12:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xc1491b…
10-30 12:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x047c71…
10-30 12:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc5c281…
10-30 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x966f16…
10-30 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8874a2…
10-30 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5ef12c…
10-30 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3d98c1…
10-30 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x39092a…
10-30 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc8ce79…
10-30 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xad3d74…
10-30 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5b515f…
10-30 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4cd239…
10-30 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2389b7…
10-30 12:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0x6b5588…
10-30 12:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd56a91…
10-30 12:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xc0822d…
10-30 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x275c8a…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfc36cf…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x692ff1…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x57cbec…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x41dcae…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x07c7da…
10-30 12:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x6a0f97…
10-30 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x424527…
10-30 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2d8011…
10-30 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0xe0cf19…
10-30 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x8ae5dd…
10-30 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x727331…
10-30 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x481f69…
10-30 12:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1e6102…
10-30 12:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x58e611…
10-30 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd5e97…
10-30 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0x473667…
10-30 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x28d206…
10-30 12:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x4c4ccf…
10-30 12:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa7c186…
10-30 12:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	31¢	$17	0xa630c0…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe69fc7…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe5fc34…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xcce7cc…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xba2da7…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b5e64…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x662cf3…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x640a85…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34647f…
10-30 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d7dbf…
10-30 12:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3dcf5…
10-30 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x935f45…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xf895a4…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc62cc7…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb6a950…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x5c5558…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x3f57c9…
10-30 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b2ec6…
10-30 12:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x7f646d…
10-30 12:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x963c86…
10-30 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x1716b1…
10-30 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	71¢	$36	0x74d4c7…
10-30 12:10:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x355d49…
10-30 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xe687f2…
10-30 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x76ea3e…
10-30 12:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x28839e…
10-30 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xd6b3ff…
10-30 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xb341ca…
10-30 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x7d2351…
10-30 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x59dfd2…
10-30 12:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb9301a…
10-30 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0ad71…
10-30 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x963a44…
10-30 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x20ed10…
10-30 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xddbffd…
10-30 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc4a64c…
10-30 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x875a4e…
10-30 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x51dcb0…
10-30 12:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x0632cc…