Realized P&L
-$518
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
1,156
Trades
5,183
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$64
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-29 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 69% -$68
Other
37% 68% -$251
Politics
9% 69% -$198
Sports
4% 82% -$3
Tech
1% 92% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 400 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -248 -$29 18¢ $-43 -$14 10-21 18:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -55 -$8 14¢ $-7 +$0 07-04 17:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -148 -$9 4¢ $-7 +$2 07-04 17:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -33 -$5 14¢ $-5 +$1 07-04 17:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -34 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 07-04 17:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -23 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-21 15:30