Yawning-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

593

Trades

202,350

lifetime

Volume

$991.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-30 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-1,516

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 12251 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$63	70¢	$70	+$6	06-26 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1,152	$3.0K	6,056	+6,056	Up	$-7	05-11 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1,058	$2.8K	5,580	+5,580	Up	$-11	05-11 14:57
btc updown 15m 1776959100	149	$2.0K	4,042	+4,042	open	—	04-23 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	383	$1.9K	3,674	+3,674	Down	$-30	05-07 15:15
btc updown 15m 1776960900	119	$1.8K	3,654	+3,654	open	—	04-23 16:29
btc updown 15m 1776961800	138	$1.8K	3,809	+3,809	open	—	04-23 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	552	$1.5K	2,957	+2,957	Down	$-6	05-11 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	514	$1.5K	2,920	+2,920	Down	$-6	05-11 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	533	$1.4K	2,817	+2,817	Down	+$13	05-11 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	287	$1.4K	2,728	+2,728	open	—	05-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	528	$1.4K	2,780	+2,780	Up	+$6	05-11 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	267	$1.4K	2,583	+2,583	open	—	05-19 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	505	$1.3K	2,781	+2,781	Up	+$20	05-12 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	526	$1.3K	2,663	+2,663	Down	$-5	05-11 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	550	$1.3K	2,759	+2,759	Up	+$26	05-11 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	304	$1.3K	2,731	+2,731	open	—	05-19 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	475	$1.3K	2,660	+2,660	Down	+$5	05-11 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	328	$1.3K	2,588	+2,588	Up	$-62	05-06 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	240	$1.3K	2,540	+2,540	Up	$-59	05-07 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	265	$1.3K	2,426	+2,426	open	—	05-18 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	181	$1.3K	1,894	+1,894	open	—	06-03 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	496	$1.3K	2,472	+2,472	Down	+$14	05-11 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	274	$1.2K	2,438	+2,438	open	—	05-18 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	458	$1.2K	2,549	+2,549	Down	+$27	05-11 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	258	$1.2K	2,331	+2,331	open	—	05-18 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	255	$1.2K	2,426	+2,426	open	—	05-19 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	348	$1.2K	2,417	+2,417	Down	$-15	05-07 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	163	$1.2K	2,110	+2,110	open	—	05-22 11:34
btc updown 15m 1776957300	94	$1.2K	2,535	+2,535	open	—	04-23 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	252	$1.2K	2,372	+2,372	Up	$-16	05-08 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:35:52	btc updown 15m 1782840600	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x4ca8e7…
06-30 17:28:10	btc updown 15m 1782839700	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa81efc…
06-30 17:26:05	btc updown 5m 1782840300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6670ea…
06-30 17:25:56	btc updown 5m 1782840300	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x145376…
06-30 17:25:32	btc updown 5m 1782840300	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xcbe357…
06-30 17:25:04	btc updown 5m 1782840300	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x624791…
06-30 17:20:40	btc updown 5m 1782840000	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x40e83f…
06-30 17:20:05	btc updown 5m 1782840000	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x86d716…
06-30 17:16:50	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xce98a2…
06-30 17:16:49	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0297b3…
06-30 17:16:43	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x42c783…
06-30 17:16:41	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf66f6e…
06-30 17:16:41	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdac7a9…
06-30 17:16:41	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xcc1b85…
06-30 17:16:07	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x3cf121…
06-30 17:16:05	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xde0e0e…
06-30 17:15:52	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb0e6ac…
06-30 17:15:52	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2a8f97…
06-30 17:15:37	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc28009…
06-30 17:15:37	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0bd41…
06-30 17:15:37	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0ea185…
06-30 17:15:26	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x726001…
06-30 17:15:26	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0x627ba6…
06-30 17:15:19	btc updown 5m 1782839700	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x147f59…
06-30 17:12:02	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xc60b82…
06-30 17:12:02	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x24b7e2…
06-30 17:11:37	btc updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x949c2f…
06-30 17:11:37	btc updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x731526…
06-30 17:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782839400	Down	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x97c7e8…
06-30 17:08:59	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3204ae…
06-30 17:05:32	btc updown 5m 1782839100	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x258b3b…
06-30 17:05:04	btc updown 5m 1782839100	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x5b8640…
06-30 17:03:08	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd615d5…
06-30 17:02:56	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb86b82…
06-30 17:02:01	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x44f413…
06-30 17:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc1f0bb…
06-30 17:01:23	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc97cdc…
06-30 17:01:22	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x91a9a3…
06-30 17:01:07	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x186db8…
06-30 17:00:41	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x891565…
06-30 17:00:04	btc updown 5m 1782838800	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5608d3…
06-30 16:57:14	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbf1c07…
06-30 16:56:49	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xdf674c…
06-30 16:56:41	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf3fce3…
06-30 16:56:40	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x46b03a…
06-30 16:56:38	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xcc42ef…
06-30 16:56:31	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb43d71…
06-30 16:56:25	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd816dd…
06-30 16:56:01	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xacb18f…
06-30 16:55:44	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xca35c2…
06-30 16:55:43	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x751ced…
06-30 16:55:20	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x58a746…
06-30 16:55:17	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x61d407…
06-30 16:55:14	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb1e290…
06-30 16:55:10	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe11f2c…
06-30 16:55:10	btc updown 5m 1782838500	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x6b4a9d…
06-30 16:53:52	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Down	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x02ebb9…
06-30 16:53:50	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xcd1512…
06-30 16:52:34	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x053224…
06-30 16:52:32	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8ae59e…
06-30 16:50:10	btc updown 5m 1782838200	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x42d675…
06-30 16:47:11	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xa38258…
06-30 16:46:49	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe947c6…
06-30 16:45:58	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x51e436…
06-30 16:45:43	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd7fad6…
06-30 16:45:05	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xe6c0cc…
06-30 16:45:05	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa4e4da…
06-30 16:45:05	btc updown 5m 1782837900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f7381…
06-30 16:44:05	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa8cd8a…
06-30 16:44:04	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x42a70c…
06-30 16:42:07	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x557c65…
06-30 16:41:35	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x15afaf…
06-30 16:40:43	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb9dbe9…
06-30 16:40:29	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xac7f1f…
06-30 16:40:16	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x53adbe…
06-30 16:40:05	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd93fd5…
06-30 16:40:04	btc updown 5m 1782837600	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x5fe2c5…
06-30 16:39:11	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x5b4142…
06-30 16:39:04	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x92917a…
06-30 16:39:04	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x631600…
06-30 16:36:28	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa01198…
06-30 16:36:11	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0482f4…
06-30 16:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc3d523…
06-30 16:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x0fc318…
06-30 16:35:13	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe43913…
06-30 16:35:02	btc updown 5m 1782837300	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x35039f…
06-30 16:34:55	btc updown 15m 1782837000	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x3c8f4b…
06-30 16:34:01	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe04af7…
06-30 16:34:01	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x578b90…
06-30 16:34:01	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x01871b…
06-30 16:33:41	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7b47d9…
06-30 16:33:41	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0x760088…
06-30 16:33:05	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xfd1d95…
06-30 16:32:41	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xbfce6f…
06-30 16:31:26	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19f97f…
06-30 16:30:58	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc1cbda…
06-30 16:30:58	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb1d580…
06-30 16:30:58	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4c5aac…
06-30 16:30:46	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x64be7d…
06-30 16:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782837000	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x7d1992…