Similar-Emphasis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

1,680

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-16 10:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 48% $-56

Other

36% 74% $-30

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% 68% $-38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 navi hotu 2026 04 15	4	$313	163	163	+0	open	—	04-15 17:46
cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18	3	$267	152	151	+1	open	—	04-18 20:26
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	16	$179	243	0	+243	open	—	04-14 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$132	94	94	+0	Up	+$32	05-12 02:22
will trump say refund during no tax on tips roundtable	2	$131	72	71	+0	open	—	04-17 02:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$120	144	0	+144	open	—	04-21 20:03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$116	81	81	+0	open	—	04-15 02:00
spx up or down on april 20 2026	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	04-20 20:28
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	04-22 00:42
spy up or down on april 20 2026	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	04-20 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$100	526	0	+526	open	—	05-02 20:32
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	5	$97	52	52	+0	G2 Esports	+$7	05-09 16:19
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	7	$91	58	58	+0	KRÜ Esports	+$21	05-08 23:59
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 11c	6	$91	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 01:49
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	6	$90	50	50	+0	PARIVISION	+$10	05-09 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$89	77	77	+0	open	—	04-29 19:59
highest temperature in helsinki on april 18 2026 12c	3	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	04-18 20:14
btc updown 5m 1775234100	2	$82	54	52	+2	open	—	04-03 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$81	55	55	+0	open	—	04-30 13:47
btc updown 5m 1775676900	2	$77	48	47	+1	open	—	04-08 19:40
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	7	$75	42	42	+0	open	—	04-24 17:26
btc updown 5m 1775318400	2	$75	54	52	+2	open	—	04-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$71	56	56	+0	Up	+$15	05-09 16:45
btc updown 5m 1775588100	2	$69	61	58	+3	open	—	04-07 18:57
will trump say great big beautiful bill during no tax on tips roundtable	2	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	04-17 02:27
btc updown 5m 1775320200	2	$65	56	53	+2	open	—	04-04 16:32
btc updown 5m 1775238000	2	$64	47	45	+2	open	—	04-03 17:45
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	5	$63	41	41	+0	TheMongolz	+$3	05-11 09:11
btc updown 5m 1775094600	2	$62	45	44	+2	open	—	04-02 01:53
btc updown 5m 1775234700	4	$61	51	49	+2	open	—	04-03 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 10:44:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x609c69…
05-15 22:20:55	Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x23d36e…
05-15 21:12:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf9fac4…
05-15 21:12:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x945347…
05-15 21:12:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc795fc…
05-15 17:25:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcbe3f4…
05-15 17:03:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x03decf…
05-15 16:52:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd6a5b8…
05-15 12:10:31	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x896ca1…
05-15 10:41:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x215d13…
05-15 10:03:49	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x77d3dd…
05-15 10:03:42	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x68d1ab…
05-15 10:03:33	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3b39ce…
05-15 10:02:46	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7e329c…
05-14 23:55:29	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x40755c…
05-14 23:54:59	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x52c37b…
05-14 21:46:24	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x238fcf…
05-14 21:45:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x2a3bfc…
05-14 21:44:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3982b0…
05-14 21:44:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa647df…
05-14 21:44:02	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6af477…
05-14 19:02:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x318422…
05-14 19:02:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x21896f…
05-14 18:26:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb8f7e3…
05-14 17:42:56	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x19c24a…
05-14 16:16:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2756ab…
05-14 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5c6c87…
05-14 16:15:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x652f6d…
05-14 14:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xca0e5f…
05-14 13:41:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xddb29a…
05-14 13:41:35	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1cb09f…
05-14 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf16aae…
05-14 12:45:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcc432c…
05-14 12:18:03	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Alejandro Tabilo	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb726c1…
05-14 12:17:54	Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1617ea…
05-14 12:13:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xe23859…
05-14 11:18:14	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe7a3d1…
05-14 11:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x03b536…
05-14 09:50:18	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x95851b…
05-14 09:50:04	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xaa5f59…
05-14 09:10:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x561899…
05-14 09:10:06	Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynets	Katie Volynets	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x66b43c…
05-14 09:08:56	Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8bf303…
05-14 02:32:23	Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)	Inter Miami CF	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x345139…
05-13 22:10:54	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e6ae4…
05-13 21:25:54	Spread: Pistons (-14.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x9e9545…
05-13 20:57:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0xe1195a…
05-13 20:54:31	Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)	Inter Miami CF	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x802beb…
05-13 20:24:43	Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Diane Parry	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x0acaaa…
05-13 20:24:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x883787…
05-13 20:24:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x77cc44…
05-13 20:24:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfa0a74…
05-13 20:24:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x06658c…
05-13 20:23:55	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbb9300…
05-13 16:28:36	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1f5ea3…
05-13 16:04:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x37ec80…
05-13 16:03:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8014cd…
05-13 16:03:24	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9722c8…
05-13 16:03:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa624d5…
05-13 16:02:28	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x70fe3f…
05-13 14:41:48	Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Diane Parry	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x26a09c…
05-13 14:27:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc4e96d…
05-13 14:18:19	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf2ec81…
05-13 13:44:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xde8cdd…
05-13 12:16:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x71ebae…
05-13 12:08:00	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x1785c0…
05-13 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb0824f…
05-13 11:42:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc7296a…
05-13 09:57:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x252086…
05-13 09:15:24	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3edc36…
05-13 09:14:47	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x999e5d…
05-13 02:18:41	Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x27c5ce…
05-13 02:18:26	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4b5d1f…
05-13 02:18:17	Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)	Legacy	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbfc2d6…
05-13 02:17:37	Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	Chinggis Warriors	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x791fe1…
05-13 01:23:57	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf68349…
05-13 00:49:46	Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	magic	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbdb3df…
05-13 00:28:04	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x49acbe…
05-12 23:59:55	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0c484b…
05-12 22:05:00	Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x189d10…
05-12 22:04:41	Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x41b88b…
05-12 21:45:13	Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9c4e7f…
05-12 21:44:10	Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8722b1…
05-12 20:51:23	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xadac98…
05-12 20:50:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x012f2c…
05-12 20:36:46	Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7542be…
05-12 20:29:34	Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)	CA Huracán	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x8ef68d…
05-12 19:56:12	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa465ab…
05-12 17:22:50	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x517548…
05-12 16:39:05	Tunis: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Charles Broom	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1c4230…
05-12 16:25:54	Parma: Noemi Basiletti vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ee9da…
05-12 16:14:34	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe2428e…
05-12 16:14:07	Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb44207…
05-12 16:12:45	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x508eaf…
05-12 15:44:36	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1b3532…
05-12 15:01:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x359e95…
05-12 14:47:39	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs VfB eSports - Game 1 Winner	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3e08be…
05-12 14:02:09	Parma: Noemi Basiletti vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x30243a…
05-12 13:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x76ac34…
05-12 13:11:50	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xead314…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	660	$290.7K	10,468	05-16 15:37
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	652	$216.0K	33,779	05-13 16:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	647	$246.3K	43,528	05-13 16:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	630	$180.1K	60,361	05-12 13:52
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	626	$123.7K	5,910	05-12 13:51
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	625	$232.5K	67,567	05-12 13:52
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	623	$1.16K	2,670	05-12 10:23
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	620	$511.7K	30,891	05-12 10:22