Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$340
$1,973 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$1,825
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 08:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $181 | $128 | +$54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $137 | $45 | +$92 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| Median | 15 | $20 | $37 | $17 |
| Below median | 11 | $29 | $30 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +230 | $113 | $113 | 6 | 05-13 23:53 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | +51 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Acclaimed-Terminal 0x828b…87a6 | No | +48 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +27 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 05-14 02:10 |
| Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| Candid-Strife 0xfba1…2769 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:59 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| Swift-Waterfront 0xeb07…58d5 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdd4…05eb | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 23:53 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 05:44 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 05:18 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:39 |
| Perky-Debt 0xc8c1…2b53 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:50 |
| Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:23 |
| Purple-Interface 0x45d7…f207 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 19:12 |
| Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:33 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:48 |
| Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 09:23 |
| Flamboyant-Frost-Waterbed 0x40fb…b7af | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0d4…e3e5 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:41 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 20:12 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 08:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:45 |
| Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 21:42 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 20:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| Straight-Lobby 0xc972…a814 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Jaunty-Malice-Marten 0x0e5c…c55d | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:06 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +3 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 05-14 05:10 |
| Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand 0xb2d5…99fc | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x87a9…0e02 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa296…9c36 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:14:01 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xfb6866… |
| 05-14 06:02:13 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xa00428… |
| 05-14 05:50:05 | Perky-Debt 0xc8c1…2b53 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x733084… |
| 05-14 05:46:03 | Straight-Lobby 0xc972…a814 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xdc0f23… |
| 05-14 05:10:42 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x814f41… |
| 05-14 05:06:30 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xacc79b… |
| 05-14 02:10:11 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xf2ef8c… |
| 05-14 01:48:33 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x43a399… |
| 05-14 01:06:59 | Jaunty-Malice-Marten 0x0e5c…c55d | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x924458… |
| 05-14 00:27:16 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0x82c437… |
| 05-14 00:23:21 | Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x68c539… |
| 05-14 00:06:23 | Acclaimed-Terminal 0x828b…87a6 | No | BUY | 48 | 53¢ | $25 | 0x19f3ec… |
| 05-13 23:57:03 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x7acdfb… |
| 05-13 23:53:43 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xaa601f… |
| 05-13 23:53:43 | (anonymous) 0xcdd4…05eb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb02618… |
| 05-13 23:45:28 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 51¢ | $38 | 0xb8bd77… |
| 05-13 23:45:28 | (anonymous) 0xcdd4…05eb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe5a18f… |
| 05-13 22:59:32 | Candid-Strife 0xfba1…2769 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xac0331… |
| 05-13 22:51:51 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x17007e… |
| 05-13 22:50:43 | Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand 0xb2d5…99fc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc9a3d1… |
| 05-13 22:42:37 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x26da64… |
| 05-13 22:39:08 | Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xb44b3e… |
| 05-13 22:36:45 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 49¢ | $9 | 0xa68a7c… |
| 05-13 22:33:32 | Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x2ff6db… |
| 05-13 22:31:09 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 48¢ | $46 | 0x9cc711… |
| 05-13 21:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | BUY | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x1f87fe… |
| 05-13 21:42:04 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xcc1185… |
| 05-13 21:42:02 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x0dd39e… |
| 05-13 21:31:34 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x783f49… |
| 05-13 21:18:14 | (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x73d6b5… |
| 05-13 21:06:04 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x2d8190… |
| 05-13 20:32:54 | (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xcdfb2a… |
| 05-13 20:12:49 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1cf5dc… |
| 05-13 19:43:46 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xecdc44… |
| 05-13 19:12:31 | Purple-Interface 0x45d7…f207 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x8ab672… |
| 05-13 18:43:28 | Unsung-Climb 0xcf37…993f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x35c559… |
| 05-13 14:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 52¢ | $2 | 0x03e004… |
| 05-13 14:53:33 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0xb7948c… |
| 05-13 14:53:31 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xff7a6b… |
| 05-13 13:43:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xb9e347… |
| 05-13 12:38:25 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xa238d1… |
| 05-13 09:44:37 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xf092d9… |
| 05-13 09:34:04 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x644f45… |
| 05-13 09:23:48 | Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x68c892… |
| 05-13 08:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | No | BUY | 6 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xed2d9b… |
| 05-13 08:24:47 | Flamboyant-Frost-Waterbed 0x40fb…b7af | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x469910… |
| 05-13 08:11:38 | Swift-Waterfront 0xeb07…58d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb5646f… |
| 05-13 08:11:35 | Swift-Waterfront 0xeb07…58d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x1d6675… |
| 05-13 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0xa296…9c36 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xb450a2… |
| 05-13 08:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x87a9…0e02 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x93d9f4… |
| 05-13 08:11:15 | Fussy-Expedition 0x594e…1c11 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0x65e1cc… |
| 05-13 08:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x853805… |
| 05-13 06:39:33 | (anonymous) 0xb0d4…e3e5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xc073b7… |
| 05-13 05:44:00 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xe63da1… |
| 05-13 05:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x90d769… |
| 05-13 05:33:42 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xaee0ae… |
| 05-13 05:32:51 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x5451fe… |
| 05-13 05:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xcdec95… |
| 05-13 05:18:18 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xb98b10… |