Foolhardy-Direction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$282

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

464

Trades

858

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-19 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

99% 55% -$271

Politics

0% 60% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	3	$263	170	170	+0	No	+$78	06-11 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 7?	2	$194	111	111	+0	No	+$25	06-07 22:02
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	4	$184	0	189	-189	Yes	-$6	04-04 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?	4	$181	128	128	+0	No	+$72	05-08 05:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?	2	$181	116	116	+0	No	+$5	06-14 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 6?	2	$179	113	113	+0	No	+$35	06-06 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?	2	$172	111	111	+0	No	+$50	06-09 22:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?	2	$171	102	102	+0	No	+$33	06-09 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	2	$149	118	118	+0	No	+$0	06-22 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or higher on May 7?	2	$147	113	113	+0	No	+$55	05-06 17:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?	3	$143	81	81	+0	No	+$17	05-09 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	2	$139	153	153	+0	Yes	+$123	05-10 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	2	$136	151	151	+0	Yes	+$9	06-21 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 8?	2	$135	77	77	+0	No	+$16	05-08 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?	2	$135	83	83	+0	No	+$30	06-04 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	5	$130	478	0	+478	Yes	-$130	06-15 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13?	2	$130	92	92	+0	No	-$1	06-12 19:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?	2	$128	73	73	+0	No	+$18	06-06 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?	2	$125	79	79	+0	No	+$33	06-10 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?	2	$124	89	89	+0	No	+$53	06-10 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 5?	2	$122	68	68	+0	No	+$14	06-05 22:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	2	$122	84	84	+0	No	$0	06-23 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4?	2	$121	68	68	+0	No	+$15	06-04 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	2	$118	85	85	+0	Yes	+$5	06-19 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	2	$114	109	104	+4	No	+$35	05-09 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	2	$108	105	105	+0	Yes	-$28	06-22 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?	2	$108	83	83	+0	No	+$38	06-13 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?	2	$105	79	79	+0	No	+$36	06-06 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?	2	$103	88	88	+0	No	+$1	06-15 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	2	$101	63	63	+0	No	+$21	06-19 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0xc03895…
07-19 21:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$21	0xb89a2a…
07-19 20:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x0a81cf…
07-19 19:29:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0xf6bcdd…
07-19 18:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xe305aa…
07-19 17:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0x25eded…
07-19 17:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xbcdf93…
07-19 17:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x7690f8…
07-19 17:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x188787…
07-18 04:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x87544d…
07-17 22:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x166579…
07-17 22:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x0d47ed…
07-17 21:55:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xec038c…
07-02 02:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0xef7c89…
07-02 01:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe85e40…
07-01 22:11:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xbe860a…
06-30 21:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xfaf146…
06-30 20:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xa97654…
06-30 20:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0xf94e34…
06-30 19:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x68fcb0…
06-30 19:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xfbd440…
06-30 19:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xc064bf…
06-30 16:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x8d1e7e…
06-30 16:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xaa5cb3…
06-30 16:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xd913a9…
06-30 16:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x2f5c85…
06-29 23:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x3874fa…
06-28 22:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xa39a5b…
06-28 21:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa2b058…
06-28 11:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	No	SELL	45	72¢	$33	0x321a3a…
06-28 01:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x5b8539…
06-27 19:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	No	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x666d4c…
06-27 19:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x1d6920…
06-27 19:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfac65f…
06-27 17:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0xc2fcd2…
06-27 17:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	53	63¢	$33	0x5c1b4a…
06-27 16:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x750916…
06-27 16:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x355e0e…
06-26 16:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xb401a8…
06-24 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x1eb734…
06-24 09:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?	No	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0xa96833…
06-23 16:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0x9388cc…
06-23 16:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?	No	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0x28919a…
06-23 16:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x797d79…
06-23 16:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0xd5cfc2…
06-23 16:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	69	67¢	$47	0x57eea5…
06-23 16:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	107	43¢	$47	0x706119…
06-23 16:06:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	123	20¢	$24	0xd53067…
06-23 15:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?	No	BUY	68	70¢	$48	0x6ac306…
06-23 08:25:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	No	SELL	84	72¢	$61	0xea8018…
06-23 04:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0x7174b1…
06-23 02:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x2dc856…
06-22 22:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x1cc5eb…
06-22 13:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	SELL	118	63¢	$75	0x0d1cd2…
06-22 09:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?	No	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xab2f6f…
06-22 08:30:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	84	73¢	$61	0x3b61ed…
06-22 06:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	140	38¢	$54	0x6f0969…
06-22 05:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	105	38¢	$40	0xb32028…
06-21 21:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	105	65¢	$68	0x8c1f14…
06-21 17:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	87	42¢	$37	0x5623ed…
06-21 16:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	83	74¢	$61	0xfdf540…
06-21 16:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	No	BUY	71	52¢	$37	0x43df02…
06-21 16:51:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x29dc47…
06-21 16:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	No	BUY	118	63¢	$74	0xb6d843…
06-21 16:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x4042fd…
06-21 03:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb75754…
06-21 01:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xf0c7c3…
06-21 01:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	151	48¢	$73	0x2d0d6e…
06-20 23:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	151	42¢	$63	0x3f41af…
06-20 22:01:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?	No	BUY	101	59¢	$60	0x0b6f45…
06-19 22:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x279f17…
06-19 22:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x713705…
06-19 19:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xa6f6fb…
06-19 19:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?	No	BUY	82	58¢	$47	0xa0833a…
06-19 16:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0x93339a…
06-19 16:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	71	61¢	$43	0xb8503c…
06-19 16:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	94	46¢	$43	0x62dc6e…
06-19 04:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$41	0x86b38f…
06-19 04:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	No	SELL	85	73¢	$62	0xe223a3…
06-19 01:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 19?	No	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x8787fe…
06-18 16:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	57	66¢	$37	0xf12752…
06-18 08:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	85	67¢	$57	0x2901a2…
06-18 07:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?	No	BUY	102	76¢	$78	0x84edf1…
06-18 07:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?	No	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x3ad3b6…
06-18 06:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x2ca7b4…
06-18 05:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?	No	BUY	149	53¢	$79	0xf71072…
06-18 05:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0x5e9145…
06-17 17:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?	No	BUY	67	47¢	$32	0xa67cd3…
06-17 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa9979c…
06-17 02:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x52db9e…
06-17 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x7b9a01…
06-17 01:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	64	52¢	$33	0xbb6a51…
06-15 16:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x96be43…
06-15 16:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x09a0e0…
06-15 16:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xeca1ae…
06-15 16:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf393ea…
06-15 14:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?	No	SELL	88	59¢	$52	0xb5ad4e…
06-15 13:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcd169f…
06-15 04:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0x21d119…
06-15 01:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xe68c3a…