Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?
open
Total volume
$220
$1,044 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,295
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 12:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $63 | $149 | $86 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $25 | $17 | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 6 | $13 | $54 | $41 |
| Below median | 3 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| unranked | 5 | $15 | $34 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | No | +65 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 04:32 |
| Mixed-Whale 0xafd0…a134 | Yes | +50 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Tinted-Tadpole 0xa63f…fe9c | Yes | +46 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Unwitting-Silica 0x0c76…91a0 | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Handsome-Fishnet 0x97e4…0d99 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +22 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-07 12:56 |
| Demanding-Tensor 0xed55…358e | Yes | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc600…a575 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 18:51 |
| Heavenly-Order 0x1bb8…77ec | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-07 13:14 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:00 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 07:25 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 13:00 |
| Absolute-Shampoo 0x16d9…f0b0 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-07 08:53 |
| Impure-Middle 0xa0b1…6754 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ef…c83e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Weepy-Labor 0xee96…f8de | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:53 |
| Embarrassed-Caption 0x1c52…c733 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 12:49:33 | Demanding-Tensor 0xed55…358e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x219979… |
| 05-08 09:00:50 | Handsome-Fishnet 0x97e4…0d99 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xb709ba… |
| 05-08 08:44:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xc4c001… |
| 05-08 08:40:42 | Impure-Middle 0xa0b1…6754 | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x36f0a7… |
| 05-08 07:40:07 | (anonymous) 0xd2ef…c83e | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xa5e9f0… |
| 05-08 07:40:06 | Absolute-Shampoo 0x16d9…f0b0 | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x84bcbf… |
| 05-08 07:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xb8af35… |
| 05-08 07:40:06 | (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xe89788… |
| 05-08 07:40:04 | Embarrassed-Caption 0x1c52…c733 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xed9ecb… |
| 05-08 07:25:03 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xbfd541… |
| 05-08 07:24:36 | Dishonest-Crowd 0x1631…e954 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x5d1af2… |
| 05-08 04:53:35 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0xacda9d… |
| 05-08 04:53:35 | Tinted-Tadpole 0xa63f…fe9c | Yes | BUY | 46 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xf9f137… |
| 05-08 04:53:35 | Heavenly-Order 0x1bb8…77ec | No | BUY | 16 | 78¢ | $12 | 0x9ea7e3… |
| 05-08 04:53:33 | Unwitting-Silica 0x0c76…91a0 | No | BUY | 39 | 78¢ | $30 | 0x306fbc… |
| 05-08 04:32:19 | Avaricious-Subject 0xfba0…a083 | No | BUY | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0x72541a… |
| 05-07 18:51:17 | (anonymous) 0xc600…a575 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x6cde1a… |
| 05-07 13:14:25 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x615522… |
| 05-07 13:09:17 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x75f62d… |
| 05-07 13:00:56 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xc30c31… |
| 05-07 13:00:35 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xc8f984… |
| 05-07 12:56:23 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x1cbff4… |
| 05-07 12:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x035c9b… |
| 05-07 12:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x182374… |
| 05-07 12:46:23 | Weepy-Labor 0xee96…f8de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x5f5816… |
| 05-07 11:53:51 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xf982d0… |
| 05-07 08:53:22 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x43d806… |
| 05-07 08:53:21 | Mixed-Whale 0xafd0…a134 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xbe0e12… |
| 05-07 07:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xc44248… |
| 05-07 07:44:24 | Mixed-Whale 0xafd0…a134 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0xc66f67… |
| 05-07 05:18:07 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x5b6268… |