Realized P&L
-$601
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.3%
Resolved
2,725
Trades
9,996
lifetime
Volume
$26.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$27
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 05-12 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
93% 43% -$443
Sports
4% 42% -$58
Politics
2% 37% -$85
Crypto
1% 47% -$14
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$11 90¢ $-16 -$5 05-12 13:07
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 97¢ $-6 $0 05-04 12:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2 -$1 86¢ $-2 $0 05-12 13:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-2 -$1 05-12 13:08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$1 30¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 13:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -5 -$2 14¢ $-1 +$1 05-12 13:08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2 -$1 18¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 13:08
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -12 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 13:09