Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$337
$1,927 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$885
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $139 | $140 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $47 | $4 | +$43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $21 | $21 | $0 |
| Median | 8 | $34 | $33 | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $18 | $17 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $10 | $15 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 3 | $7 | $49 | $42 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +126 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 05-10 02:31 |
| Each-Scripture 0x69cd…0c69 | Yes | +77 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-10 05:53 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +65 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-10 03:06 |
| Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | +47 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | +43 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Half-Flan 0x47a6…d0c3 | Yes | +33 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:54 |
| Mundane-Chamber 0x1f4c…ea41 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 18:56 |
| Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | +23 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 08:53 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 06:02 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 02:32 |
| Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:49 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Unwieldy-Stucco 0x2401…0753 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:46 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:54 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:07 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 05:22 |
| Fuzzy-Depressive 0x85cb…fd34 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 00:50 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:31 |
| Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:53:12 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | BUY | 23 | 67¢ | $16 | 0x23d4f2… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Friendly-Allergist 0x358b…3722 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 36¢ | $16 | 0x29db33… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x5fa65f… |
| 05-10 07:28:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x772d81… |
| 05-10 07:28:48 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x446a9c… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x397e9a… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x566b79… |
| 05-10 07:24:13 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x25580b… |
| 05-10 07:11:42 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x07d342… |
| 05-10 06:54:05 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7202c8… |
| 05-10 06:54:05 | Half-Flan 0x47a6…d0c3 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0xbf9c2a… |
| 05-10 06:52:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x4d6072… |
| 05-10 06:22:25 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd18d4f… |
| 05-10 06:07:17 | Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x156f31… |
| 05-10 06:02:58 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x29c492… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa80a23… |
| 05-10 06:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xddbfe6… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xc44930… |
| 05-10 05:53:06 | Each-Scripture 0x69cd…0c69 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 31¢ | $24 | 0x2010de… |
| 05-10 05:51:40 | Occasional-Event 0x5652…2aa5 | No | SELL | 26 | 71¢ | $19 | 0xe72bb0… |
| 05-10 05:46:29 | Unwieldy-Stucco 0x2401…0753 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc2e7c2… |
| 05-10 05:43:30 | Loathsome-School 0x9cef…8fa3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xc8ec09… |
| 05-10 05:31:47 | Loathsome-School 0x9cef…8fa3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x733be5… |
| 05-10 05:31:40 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xc1a80e… |
| 05-10 05:27:30 | Loathsome-School 0x9cef…8fa3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x9c3826… |
| 05-10 05:23:11 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x890ae3… |
| 05-10 05:23:11 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0xfdc19b… |
| 05-10 05:22:08 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xce3948… |
| 05-10 04:57:38 | Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 30¢ | $14 | 0xd9ab84… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xbe112b… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x6938f8… |
| 05-10 04:31:45 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xe461f3… |
| 05-10 03:06:14 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 65 | 75¢ | $49 | 0x859e2d… |
| 05-10 02:32:19 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xc522ac… |
| 05-10 02:31:44 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x9564f4… |
| 05-10 02:26:34 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xca4be8… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xd4599d… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x302201… |
| 05-10 01:31:02 | Occasional-Event 0x5652…2aa5 | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $20 | 0xaefc99… |
| 05-10 01:00:55 | Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xac91e5… |
| 05-10 00:50:28 | Fuzzy-Depressive 0x85cb…fd34 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xb0ae62… |
| 05-10 00:49:53 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xa972c7… |
| 05-10 00:14:30 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x01102f… |
| 05-10 00:09:12 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x70c28d… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xce07ad… |
| 05-09 19:47:50 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xb5e856… |
| 05-09 19:47:43 | Mundane-Chamber 0x1f4c…ea41 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x9892cc… |
| 05-09 18:56:56 | Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x606988… |