Occasional-Event — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$870

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

1,098

Trades

3,242

lifetime

Volume

$62.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-30 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

90% 59% +$913

Sports

5% 76% -$85

Tech

3% 33% -$9

Crypto

2% 59% +$24

Politics

0% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	7	$572	326	324	+2	No	-$5	04-26 05:58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	2	$400	248	248	+0	Yes	+$27	10-30 18:37
Nets vs. Celtics	3	$389	247	247	+0	Celtics	+$16	10-28 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 31?	2	$362	203	203	+0	No	+$4	08-30 23:10
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	2	$360	213	213	+0	Nemiga	+$19	10-30 13:30
cs2 nip tl1 2026 10 16	3	$349	217	217	+0	NIP	+$41	10-16 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 30?	6	$348	194	194	+0	No	+$12	08-30 16:32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$333	229	229	+0	MOUZ	+$44	10-27 16:42
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	2	$314	184	184	+0	Lilli Tagger	+$31	10-30 13:11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$310	182	182	+0	Yes	+$15	10-17 14:22
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	3	$308	178	178	+0	Aurora	+$12	10-09 20:19
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	2	$308	183	183	+0	PARIVISION	+$11	10-10 15:01
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	12	$307	212	209	+3	Yes	$0	04-08 08:02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	2	$306	184	184	+0	FURIA	+$22	10-18 21:26
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	3	$304	344	344	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 14:17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	2	$296	163	163	+0	Team Spirit	+$10	10-26 19:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?	7	$286	194	194	+0	No	-$12	07-09 14:41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	2	$286	173	173	+0	Team Yandex	+$16	10-10 12:26
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$280	159	159	+0	Team Liquid	+$38	10-26 22:43
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 2?	2	$278	176	176	+0	Up	+$39	10-02 13:33
cs2 g2a navij1 2026 10 09	2	$275	157	157	+0	NAVI Junior	+$24	10-09 16:02
Lakers vs. Jazz	4	$267	255	145	+110	Lakers	+$55	10-25 22:39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	2	$265	151	151	+0	Yes	+$23	10-18 19:45
LoL: PART TIMERS vs West Point Esports PH (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs	2	$263	148	148	+0	West Point Esports PH	+$12	10-10 12:04
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	4	$258	149	149	+0	Up	-$8	06-17 13:07
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	2	$257	151	151	+0	Nemiga	+$30	10-30 12:45
76ers vs. Pacers	4	$256	178	178	+0	76ers	+$16	10-29 01:32
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?	7	$254	164	164	+0	open	—	10-10 10:09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	3	$251	163	163	+0	Yes	+$49	10-17 13:49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$250	141	141	+0	FUT Esports	+$13	10-26 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:48:12	Counter-Strike: OG vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	OG	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x56f0b3…
10-30 22:54:52	Counter-Strike: OG vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	OG	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0xf95ae3…
10-30 22:51:46	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x65f5a9…
10-30 22:27:03	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0xc2f9d6…
10-30 22:26:01	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x69a7db…
10-30 21:01:37	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	58	87¢	$51	0xc44d91…
10-30 20:48:19	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0x6e518f…
10-30 18:39:01	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	304	68¢	$208	0x1d9a49…
10-30 18:37:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	248	86¢	$213	0x2bd952…
10-30 13:49:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	248	75¢	$186	0xf1f4fd…
10-30 13:30:34	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	SELL	213	89¢	$190	0xf399c6…
10-30 13:17:13	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	213	80¢	$171	0xd41edf…
10-30 13:11:36	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Lilli Tagger	SELL	184	94¢	$173	0xbd4a9e…
10-30 12:51:13	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Lilli Tagger	BUY	184	77¢	$141	0x86a803…
10-30 12:45:19	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0x41de01…
10-30 12:19:39	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	151	75¢	$113	0x2a6e86…
10-30 12:13:16	Valorant: A Team vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Nova Esports	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x0e45d4…
10-30 11:30:55	Valorant: A Team vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 2	Nova Esports	BUY	115	79¢	$90	0x238a08…
10-30 11:27:13	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	92	100¢	$91	0x969f83…
10-30 10:29:31	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	92	85¢	$78	0xd19e6c…
10-30 10:05:37	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner	GenOne	SELL	79	100¢	$78	0xd82c74…
10-30 09:40:24	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner	GenOne	BUY	79	81¢	$64	0x23229e…
10-30 09:38:40	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0xde2486…
10-30 08:59:51	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x857bbe…
10-30 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0x821720…
10-30 08:36:54	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $54B?	Yes	SELL	33	84¢	$28	0xb94857…
10-30 01:30:06	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x4d8065…
10-30 01:08:10	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x5104e0…
10-30 01:05:18	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xe2264a…
10-30 00:54:00	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x6838a9…
10-30 00:43:16	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa71eb8…
10-30 00:28:55	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x636d56…
10-30 00:12:57	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x6b625c…
10-30 00:04:42	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0xaecad0…
10-30 00:01:36	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xde243c…
10-30 00:01:16	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x5a7f39…
10-29 17:49:47	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	fnatic	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x158f7c…
10-29 17:46:41	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	fnatic	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd82739…
10-29 17:03:07	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x40b705…
10-29 16:32:40	Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	FaZe	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0x2deb66…
10-29 16:23:11	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xabc88f…
10-29 16:00:25	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x16cba0…
10-29 15:59:11	Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x9d174d…
10-29 15:38:02	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3b3430…
10-29 03:01:10	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	SELL	158	85¢	$134	0x79ee87…
10-29 02:37:35	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x455909…
10-29 02:26:37	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $55.5B?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xda0a4a…
10-29 01:57:56	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x032284…
10-29 01:38:40	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xb28b54…
10-29 01:32:47	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	SELL	178	76¢	$136	0xc02091…
10-29 00:49:14	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xd8483f…
10-29 00:44:19	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x2db7b1…
10-28 23:17:08	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0xca9ee7…
10-28 23:14:37	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x195a49…
10-28 16:51:11	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x9617ef…
10-28 16:47:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	68	55¢	$38	0x06603e…
10-28 16:47:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x56e919…
10-28 16:47:14	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x18eb7c…
10-28 02:18:18	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x4a33a6…
10-28 02:12:06	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31B?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x389fe1…
10-28 02:11:17	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $60B?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xff1f41…
10-28 01:18:54	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	247	82¢	$202	0xde4dbd…
10-28 00:09:41	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	165	77¢	$127	0x0d9498…
10-28 00:05:29	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x809460…
10-27 16:42:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	229	82¢	$188	0x9d157b…
10-27 16:37:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	229	63¢	$145	0x639ccd…
10-27 14:40:33	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xfea168…
10-26 22:43:32	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x0e8260…
10-26 22:40:09	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	159	76¢	$121	0x01e7dd…
10-26 19:49:32	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $54B?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb510ad…
10-26 19:42:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	SELL	163	94¢	$153	0x210dec…
10-26 19:40:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	163	88¢	$143	0xa42e92…
10-26 15:24:08	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	BUY	120	89¢	$106	0x0259dc…
10-26 11:58:06	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	141	93¢	$131	0xb343b5…
10-26 11:06:41	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	141	84¢	$119	0x43c403…
10-26 09:58:35	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	131	92¢	$120	0x9c37e5…
10-26 09:39:05	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	131	75¢	$98	0xfaf04d…
10-26 08:38:54	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $33B?	No	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xbe0300…
10-26 08:38:18	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above $31B?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x69dfe5…
10-26 07:37:23	Counter-Strike: Off Chops vs Alter Ego - Map 2 Winner	Alter Ego	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x8ec652…
10-25 22:39:44	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	110	81¢	$89	0x99d15f…
10-25 22:27:36	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd2c5c1…
10-25 22:18:21	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	SELL	145	73¢	$106	0x88cb2b…
10-25 21:51:26	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xfd0be7…
10-25 21:51:02	Counter-Strike: paiN vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	paiN	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x20457a…
10-25 21:22:09	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	101	56¢	$57	0xdf0be9…
10-25 20:58:44	Counter-Strike: paiN vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	paiN	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xc69701…
10-25 17:07:26	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0xc79cf1…
10-25 15:37:15	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x95c209…
10-25 15:01:12	Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xcb1cb9…
10-25 14:17:14	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1a4497…
10-25 05:49:08	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	144	73¢	$105	0xcb8ccf…
10-25 05:46:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x02c9e3…
10-25 01:35:03	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x9236a5…
10-24 22:14:54	Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x132b2c…
10-24 20:17:59	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	142	86¢	$123	0x1264e0…
10-24 16:21:41	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	142	77¢	$110	0x6c12f1…
10-24 16:21:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x69c716…
10-24 13:35:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0xbd56d4…
10-24 13:34:54	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x112b3f…