Occasional-Event — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,026

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-08 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

92% 71% +$5

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

1% 56% +$26

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	7	$572	326	324	+2	open	—	04-26 05:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	12	$307	212	209	+3	open	—	04-08 08:02
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	18	$234	206	203	+3	open	—	04-17 08:06
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	6	$230	213	213	+0	open	—	05-26 20:24
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	3	$211	115	114	+1	open	—	04-22 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	3	$208	139	137	+2	open	—	04-26 16:20
atp cilic ruud 2026 01 24	2	$202	130	130	+0	open	—	01-24 10:43
highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 76forhigher	4	$177	104	104	+1	open	—	04-22 00:05
nba tor por 2026 01 23	2	$175	115	115	+0	open	—	01-24 03:59
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 14c	11	$160	169	166	+3	open	—	04-21 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	2	$159	87	87	+0	open	—	04-26 15:15
aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 0pt4	3	$153	99	99	+0	open	—	01-24 00:46
nba bos bkn 2026 01 23	2	$152	92	92	+0	open	—	01-24 03:21
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	3	$149	89	89	+1	open	—	04-06 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	3	$146	111	109	+2	open	—	04-26 15:37
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	6	$146	100	99	+1	open	—	04-02 08:43
nba det nop 2026 01 21	2	$145	85	85	+0	open	—	01-22 03:13
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	3	$142	99	99	+0	open	—	05-26 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on April 26?	4	$142	78	78	+0	open	—	04-26 14:36
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$141	82	82	+0	open	—	04-24 20:36
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	2	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	06-08 11:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 5 2026 20c	5	$139	122	120	+2	open	—	04-05 20:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	3	$131	81	80	+1	open	—	04-24 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?	3	$131	154	0	+154	open	—	04-25 02:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$127	75	75	+0	open	—	05-14 11:29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	3	$126	74	74	+1	open	—	04-26 21:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	3	$123	68	68	+0	open	—	05-29 19:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	3	$122	360	360	+0	open	—	05-26 13:03
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	5	$118	78	77	+1	open	—	04-03 12:56
highest temperature in istanbul on april 19 2026 16c	2	$117	70	69	+1	open	—	04-19 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:57:06	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0e5298…
06-08 16:54:01	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xec7d4c…
06-08 16:54:01	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6dc48c…
06-08 16:54:00	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x2b751c…
06-08 11:29:07	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x589d3e…
06-08 03:37:52	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	84	68¢	$57	0x338f18…
06-07 08:05:04	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	SELL	64	73¢	$46	0x6c586d…
06-05 11:48:39	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0x65af7a…
06-05 10:21:55	xagusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0x706e3f…
06-05 09:43:34	xagusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	67	77¢	$52	0x068d1a…
06-05 09:27:25	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0xcbcb9d…
06-05 00:31:07	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x9db644…
06-04 17:37:09	aapl up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0xfed67f…
06-04 12:44:15	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x9aeb14…
06-04 12:15:43	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x62b2ee…
06-04 11:54:22	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xcd0e57…
06-04 07:29:28	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x2b9380…
06-02 07:16:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x962b52…
06-02 07:16:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0xbed5af…
06-01 14:54:07	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x7c286e…
06-01 14:53:23	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x1f1b66…
06-01 13:51:45	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x67c20a…
06-01 13:47:25	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x5329db…
06-01 13:47:05	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xe74745…
06-01 13:43:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x52970d…
06-01 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x098296…
06-01 03:09:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x616736…
06-01 03:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd49fa2…
06-01 02:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xebd25a…
06-01 02:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1bf8c4…
06-01 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc2b2e4…
06-01 02:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x04171d…
06-01 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x86ae90…
06-01 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6b6823…
06-01 02:04:49	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7d66ed…
06-01 01:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4cb685…
06-01 01:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4e6317…
06-01 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc99bf7…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xed5e84…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc4384a…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x64c27d…
05-31 20:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd049d9…
05-31 20:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x018413…
05-31 19:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb4f6d1…
05-31 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x68a4d4…
05-31 19:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xaa5818…
05-31 19:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd1724b…
05-31 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3d82a6…
05-31 19:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8010f0…
05-31 19:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7828b7…
05-30 01:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x1cffaa…
05-30 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x01de5d…
05-30 01:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0xaae55d…
05-30 01:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x9bca81…
05-30 00:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5f2e98…
05-30 00:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xf7548a…
05-30 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7fdb39…
05-30 00:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb88d3e…
05-30 00:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfc27b5…
05-30 00:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x6e0f7a…
05-30 00:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x69fc44…
05-30 00:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x33f131…
05-29 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x71627d…
05-29 23:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x92c899…
05-29 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9d3ca5…
05-29 19:39:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x8e2f76…
05-29 18:28:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xa6301d…
05-29 18:28:14	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x04af2e…
05-29 16:54:51	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x173e0b…
05-29 13:57:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x169b43…
05-26 20:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x8c143c…
05-26 20:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x06cb8d…
05-26 20:24:08	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd7616d…
05-26 19:53:33	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xbf98e6…
05-26 19:46:31	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0x056f2b…
05-26 19:12:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x7c9062…
05-26 19:12:01	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	126	34¢	$43	0xd05f39…
05-26 18:15:41	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	126	57¢	$72	0xdee674…
05-26 17:13:29	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x1f4d35…
05-26 17:10:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	90	74¢	$67	0x7583cd…
05-26 13:05:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x0b80bb…
05-26 13:03:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	360	20¢	$72	0xb001e0…
05-26 12:30:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	288	14¢	$40	0x2b0dcb…
05-26 12:29:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xc68c7e…
05-26 12:19:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x278fa2…
05-26 12:19:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xdd55d7…
05-25 16:07:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xdd2574…
05-24 15:04:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	70	31¢	$22	0x485bad…
05-24 12:39:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0xa886fc…
05-22 20:26:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa9bbe6…
05-22 16:00:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb87e3b…
05-22 08:57:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	76	86¢	$65	0x36eaa6…
05-22 06:40:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x98f130…
05-21 22:08:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	44	60¢	$26	0x2af495…
05-21 19:38:54	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xb25d6c…
05-21 14:47:13	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xcaf872…
05-20 11:43:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa581dd…
05-20 07:57:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7e018f…
05-19 03:07:21	Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x48fc32…
05-18 17:33:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x64133b…