Occasional-Event — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,085

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-30 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

91% 71% +$5

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

3% 56% +$26

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	7	$572	326	324	+2	open	—	04-26 05:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	12	$307	212	209	+3	open	—	04-08 08:02
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	4	$258	149	149	+0	open	—	06-17 13:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	18	$234	206	203	+3	open	—	04-17 08:06
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 26?	6	$230	213	213	+0	open	—	05-26 20:24
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	3	$211	115	114	+1	open	—	04-22 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	3	$208	139	137	+2	open	—	04-26 16:20
atp cilic ruud 2026 01 24	2	$202	130	130	+0	open	—	01-24 10:43
highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 76forhigher	4	$177	104	104	+1	open	—	04-22 00:05
nba tor por 2026 01 23	2	$175	115	115	+0	open	—	01-24 03:59
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 14c	11	$160	169	166	+3	open	—	04-21 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	2	$159	87	87	+0	open	—	04-26 15:15
aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 0pt4	3	$153	99	99	+0	open	—	01-24 00:46
nba bos bkn 2026 01 23	2	$152	92	92	+0	open	—	01-24 03:21
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	3	$149	89	89	+1	open	—	04-06 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	3	$146	111	109	+2	open	—	04-26 15:37
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	6	$146	100	99	+1	open	—	04-02 08:43
nba det nop 2026 01 21	2	$145	85	85	+0	open	—	01-22 03:13
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?	3	$142	99	99	+0	open	—	05-26 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on April 26?	4	$142	78	78	+0	open	—	04-26 14:36
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$141	82	82	+0	open	—	04-24 20:36
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	2	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	06-08 11:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 5 2026 20c	5	$139	122	120	+2	open	—	04-05 20:22
wti up or down on june 11 2026	2	$134	74	74	+0	open	—	06-11 17:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	3	$131	81	80	+1	open	—	04-24 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 25?	3	$131	154	0	+154	open	—	04-25 02:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	4	$127	75	75	+0	open	—	05-14 11:29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	3	$126	74	74	+1	open	—	04-26 21:47
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	2	$125	68	68	+0	open	—	06-11 08:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?	3	$123	68	68	+0	open	—	05-29 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:21:32	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	53	75¢	$40	0x592683…
06-30 05:53:52	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	53	67¢	$35	0x7c25c4…
06-25 15:05:29	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xad3f12…
06-22 14:43:25	btc updown 5m 1782139200	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1ffaea…
06-22 13:04:20	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x6425c3…
06-17 13:07:34	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x211347…
06-17 13:05:02	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xa89e2d…
06-17 11:43:26	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	79	79¢	$62	0x2a1ef8…
06-17 08:00:44	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0x79c1cf…
06-13 13:54:12	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xac927d…
06-13 13:50:19	btc updown 15m 1781358300	Up	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0xd7df3e…
06-13 13:48:24	btc updown 15m 1781358300	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5a9f61…
06-13 09:55:28	btc updown 15m 1781343900	Up	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x75e8b7…
06-13 09:47:15	btc updown 15m 1781343900	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xabf406…
06-13 09:47:15	btc updown 15m 1781343900	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x4309ca…
06-13 09:34:54	btc updown 15m 1781343000	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6d8357…
06-13 09:34:54	btc updown 15m 1781343000	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3a7a12…
06-13 09:34:54	btc updown 15m 1781343000	Up	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x2f7559…
06-13 09:18:28	btc updown 15m 1781342100	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x2c9ad7…
06-13 08:23:16	btc updown 15m 1781338500	Down	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xca99b9…
06-13 08:16:27	btc updown 15m 1781338500	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x902887…
06-13 08:16:27	btc updown 15m 1781338500	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x73452b…
06-13 07:48:54	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x574810…
06-13 07:46:49	btc updown 15m 1781336700	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xfc52d2…
06-13 07:35:34	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xa8eb73…
06-13 07:35:22	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x41d232…
06-13 07:35:07	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe4424d…
06-13 07:35:06	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xad4e9f…
06-13 07:35:06	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x96c7a7…
06-13 07:35:06	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4139c0…
06-13 07:32:54	btc updown 15m 1781335800	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xe33760…
06-13 07:22:16	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Up	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x8155df…
06-13 07:16:15	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x44d0e3…
06-13 07:16:15	btc updown 15m 1781334900	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x0ee196…
06-13 07:13:42	btc updown 15m 1781334000	Up	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x533f80…
06-13 07:00:22	btc updown 15m 1781334000	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x9cab67…
06-13 06:37:48	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x110964…
06-13 06:34:42	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xb10718…
06-13 06:30:45	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x7fe92d…
06-13 06:30:43	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x931d08…
06-13 06:30:43	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x18c843…
06-13 06:30:43	btc updown 15m 1781332200	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x1212ea…
06-13 06:04:27	btc updown 15m 1781330400	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xbb1f66…
06-13 06:04:27	btc updown 15m 1781330400	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x0a0d2c…
06-13 05:59:54	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x4ae5a6…
06-13 05:59:54	btc updown 15m 1781329500	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2c2745…
06-13 05:36:40	btc updown 15m 1781328600	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xe272a7…
06-13 05:22:12	btc updown 15m 1781327700	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9550e3…
06-13 05:08:42	btc updown 15m 1781326800	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x44b798…
06-11 17:29:36	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Down	SELL	74	95¢	$71	0x9608c1…
06-11 08:34:33	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	74	85¢	$63	0x4dfcd5…
06-11 08:30:39	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x296841…
06-11 07:16:54	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	68	90¢	$61	0xf1bf0f…
06-10 09:07:42	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xc65962…
06-10 09:07:13	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x8833e9…
06-10 08:59:27	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x5e91b4…
06-10 06:49:31	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x682cf9…
06-10 06:49:31	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x56a0cd…
06-10 06:49:31	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x43b82c…
06-08 17:57:06	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x0e5298…
06-08 16:54:01	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xec7d4c…
06-08 16:54:01	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6dc48c…
06-08 16:54:00	aapl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x2b751c…
06-08 11:29:07	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x589d3e…
06-08 03:37:52	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	84	68¢	$57	0x338f18…
06-07 08:05:04	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	SELL	64	73¢	$46	0x6c586d…
06-05 11:48:39	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0x65af7a…
06-05 10:21:55	xagusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0x706e3f…
06-05 09:43:34	xagusd up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	67	77¢	$52	0x068d1a…
06-05 09:27:25	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0xcbcb9d…
06-05 00:31:07	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x9db644…
06-04 17:37:09	aapl up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0xfed67f…
06-04 12:44:15	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x9aeb14…
06-04 12:15:43	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x62b2ee…
06-04 11:54:22	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xcd0e57…
06-04 07:29:28	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x2b9380…
06-02 07:16:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x962b52…
06-02 07:16:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0xbed5af…
06-01 14:54:07	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x7c286e…
06-01 14:53:23	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x1f1b66…
06-01 13:51:45	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x67c20a…
06-01 13:47:25	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x5329db…
06-01 13:47:05	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xe74745…
06-01 13:43:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x52970d…
06-01 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x098296…
06-01 03:09:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x616736…
06-01 03:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd49fa2…
06-01 02:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xebd25a…
06-01 02:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1bf8c4…
06-01 02:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc2b2e4…
06-01 02:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x04171d…
06-01 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x86ae90…
06-01 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6b6823…
06-01 02:04:49	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7d66ed…
06-01 01:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4cb685…
06-01 01:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4e6317…
06-01 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc99bf7…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xed5e84…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc4384a…
06-01 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x64c27d…