Stimulating-Glow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

1,012

Trades

1,485

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-25 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 45% -$90

Other

39% 60% -$31

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 1?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$2	06-01 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	2	$32	17	17	+0	No	+$1	06-01 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 31?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-01 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 1?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-01 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 1?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-01 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 1?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-01 19:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 02:30 UTC	8	$29	20	20	+0	Down	$0	07-13 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-31 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-01 22:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 31?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-31 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 1?	2	$25	17	17	+0	No	-$4	06-01 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 1?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-01 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?	2	$22	18	18	+0	Yes	-$9	06-01 19:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 10:45 UTC	6	$19	15	10	+5	Down	-$5	07-12 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 1?	2	$18	15	14	+0	Yes	-$8	06-01 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	09-10 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?	7	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-16 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	09-10 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	09-08 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 28?	6	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-29 00:08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 28?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-28 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	-$7	09-15 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 27?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-27 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 25?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-25 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	09-15 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	09-08 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	09-09 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	09-08 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Down	+$1	09-08 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x6c1a0f…
10-25 09:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x5ac614…
10-25 04:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xdb84de…
10-24 16:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x9f9424…
10-24 15:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x9210c5…
10-24 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x11ceb7…
10-24 08:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x93614e…
10-24 08:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7da325…
10-24 08:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x2654c7…
10-24 07:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x80e020…
10-24 06:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe32ebf…
10-24 05:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0f5144…
10-24 04:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x57a70c…
10-24 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc8fd93…
10-24 02:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x8d926a…
10-24 01:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0a491c…
10-24 00:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe046ac…
10-23 23:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8d39df…
10-23 21:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3c3a5…
10-23 21:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xc6fdc4…
10-23 19:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x17257a…
10-23 18:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x8fdcc9…
10-23 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbb4dde…
10-23 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x62a799…
10-23 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf8ea1f…
10-23 17:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x0e4ea8…
10-23 17:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xe3a759…
10-23 14:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6aeea4…
10-23 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd469e7…
10-23 13:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x403a75…
10-23 12:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x5f00a4…
10-23 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6fb2c7…
10-23 12:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xf39250…
10-23 10:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x4e5693…
10-23 10:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc88644…
10-23 09:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa29907…
10-23 08:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4ec6ef…
10-23 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x59902d…
10-23 07:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x642286…
10-23 06:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x16c04f…
10-23 04:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xeda301…
10-23 03:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xcbaaf8…
10-23 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb62955…
10-23 03:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x6a2946…
10-23 03:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x9c40d5…
10-23 03:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xc88898…
10-22 23:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xc69149…
10-22 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x004903…
10-22 17:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x017c39…
10-22 17:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x505926…
10-22 16:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xaddee1…
10-22 16:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x3dc504…
10-22 15:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc610aa…
10-22 14:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x57e960…
10-22 14:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x90f49f…
10-22 14:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x187903…
10-22 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x1626eb…
10-22 13:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0eb4b8…
10-22 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd4732f…
10-22 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3dbeee…
10-22 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf06dac…
10-22 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x617e9b…
10-22 10:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xb11a19…
10-22 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xcd03bf…
10-22 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xbf3018…
10-22 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3cea62…
10-22 09:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x86403f…
10-22 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x51e07e…
10-22 09:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4818cb…
10-22 09:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xccd28c…
10-22 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x213e7c…
10-22 08:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x48514c…
10-22 07:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x877b3a…
10-22 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x24f99f…
10-22 06:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x511437…
10-22 06:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x549be4…
10-22 06:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xadef4b…
10-22 06:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6b6efc…
10-22 04:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x0a542e…
10-22 03:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x33b494…
10-22 02:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9ab556…
10-22 02:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x88d688…
10-22 02:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8ada4f…
10-22 02:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x02485b…
10-22 02:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x4b5f0d…
10-22 01:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0a2b61…
10-22 00:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcd213a…
10-22 00:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xbafd1f…
10-21 23:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x3eea3e…
10-21 23:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x7f37a1…
10-21 22:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2318a1…
10-21 19:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x929877…
10-21 19:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x063438…
10-21 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7e3df1…
10-21 19:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4f84b8…
10-21 18:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x5a9fad…
10-21 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6f688b…
10-21 17:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x9726ef…
10-21 16:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xb5829b…
10-21 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0a5ec8…