Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$164
$929 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,825
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $71 | $59 | +$13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $35 | $28 | +$6 |
| Median | 6 | $6 | $18 | $12 |
| Below median | 8 | $29 | $8 | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +42 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 07:17 |
| Squiggly-Architect-Investigator 0x070d…6ff7 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | +25 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 12:18 |
| These-Blackboard 0xb6fc…ac1e | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | +16 | $7 | $10 | 3 | 05-10 05:36 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 07:58 |
| Thin-Motor-Zoo 0xafa9…5ed8 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:32 |
| Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:52 |
| Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:17 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 17:25 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:10 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:06 |
| Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:07 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:22 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:24 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:06:27 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x5d8085… |
| 05-10 07:58:36 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x5b26f2… |
| 05-10 07:43:23 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x3fe5d1… |
| 05-10 07:31:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xff1b5b… |
| 05-10 07:28:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x7762cb… |
| 05-10 07:28:44 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xe20c58… |
| 05-10 07:28:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xee6df7… |
| 05-10 07:24:11 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x52debe… |
| 05-10 07:22:26 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xaf6bf4… |
| 05-10 07:17:46 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 42 | 60¢ | $25 | 0xa174aa… |
| 05-10 07:17:46 | Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x4ee1ef… |
| 05-10 07:12:17 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xf3ec46… |
| 05-10 06:23:42 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xcbaf32… |
| 05-10 06:07:17 | Familiar-Piglet 0x7f8e…8d8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xa4b222… |
| 05-10 06:01:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x9d5eec… |
| 05-10 05:56:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x8307c0… |
| 05-10 05:53:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x044558… |
| 05-10 05:52:12 | Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x35cad0… |
| 05-10 05:37:05 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xc0ada8… |
| 05-10 05:36:48 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x6140b5… |
| 05-10 05:36:48 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x10e284… |
| 05-10 05:36:46 | These-Blackboard 0xb6fc…ac1e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x693140… |
| 05-10 05:33:02 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xe322e2… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xc60be3… |
| 05-10 04:57:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xa51a8f… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x42efaa… |
| 05-10 02:32:19 | Thin-Motor-Zoo 0xafa9…5ed8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x1afcf1… |
| 05-10 02:21:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x4d63b0… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x35243d… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x87dccf… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x57b3ed… |
| 05-10 02:21:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xdd582b… |
| 05-10 01:20:36 | Squiggly-Architect-Investigator 0x070d…6ff7 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x95a131… |
| 05-10 00:00:29 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x15febc… |
| 05-09 19:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xa580fc… |
| 05-09 17:25:02 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xffa131… |
| 05-09 12:18:35 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x1b6a1c… |
| 05-09 10:10:17 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xa27e45… |