Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
22.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,122
lifetime
Volume
$4.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$240
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 07-20 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 27% $-67
Other
19% 100% +$1
Politics
6% 0% $-19
Sports
5%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +62 $10 90¢ $55 +$45 07-07 12:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +75 $11 28¢ $21 +$10 07-07 21:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +66 $10 26¢ $17 +$7 07-02 13:52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +136 $21 12¢ $16 $-5 07-07 00:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19 $14 78¢ $15 +$1 06-29 02:39
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +15 $9 84¢ $13 +$3 06-27 22:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +81 $10 12¢ $10 $-0 06-28 19:22
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? Yes +55 $10 16¢ $9 $-2 07-08 14:29
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes +66 $10 12¢ $8 $-3 07-03 04:34
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +56 $10 12¢ $7 $-4 07-15 23:14
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 62¢ $6 $-1 06-27 01:17
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +30 $8 22¢ $6 $-1 06-29 17:41
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-09 17:23
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +25 $7 23¢ $6 $-1 07-20 19:47
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 68¢ $5 $-1 06-30 20:31
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +27 $6 19¢ $5 $-1 07-19 22:43
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $6 $4 $-2 07-03 21:12
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +75 $11 $4 $-6 07-03 08:47
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +48 $10 $4 $-6 06-27 07:47
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +79 $10 $4 $-7 06-08 17:22
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? Yes +17 $6 22¢ $4 $-2 07-05 01:39
Will the Indiana Fever make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +27 $10 14¢ $4 $-7 06-25 17:48
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +10 $7 34¢ $4 $-4 07-01 19:11
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +7 $5 50¢ $3 $-2 06-25 15:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 +$0 06-25 13:52
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 06-25 12:09