Realized P&L
-$794
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
1,589
Trades
2,481
lifetime
Volume
$21.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$267
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 10-23 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% -$276
Crypto
16% 46% -$648
Politics
2% 42% +$28
Sports
2% 52% +$136
Tech
0% 25% -$34
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +34 $21 100¢ $34 +$13 07-04 11:48
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +23 $10 99¢ $23 +$13 07-17 10:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19 $14 92¢ $17 +$3 06-29 02:39
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +26 $10 67¢ $17 +$7 07-19 23:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +75 $11 20¢ $15 +$5 07-07 21:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +23 $10 66¢ $15 +$5 06-10 06:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +23 $10 66¢ $15 +$5 07-12 11:25
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +14 $10 85¢ $12 +$1 07-17 08:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +66 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 07-02 13:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +11 $8 94¢ $10 +$2 07-01 17:29
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 06-27 01:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +14 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 07-17 02:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $10 16¢ $9 -$2 07-14 03:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $10 16¢ $9 -$2 06-30 14:28
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +81 $10 9¢ $7 -$3 06-28 19:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +19 $10 34¢ $7 -$4 07-09 06:37
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +7 $6 95¢ $6 +$0 06-09 17:23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 81¢ $5 +$0 10-23 11:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +70 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 07-13 12:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $3 46¢ $4 +$1 07-06 17:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 85¢ $4 +$0 07-02 08:21
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +136 $21 3¢ $4 -$17 07-07 00:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +52 $10 8¢ $4 -$7 06-10 03:25
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +30 $8 13¢ $4 -$4 06-29 17:41
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +56 $10 6¢ $4 -$7 07-15 23:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +4 $3 94¢ $4 +$0 06-25 13:52
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +79 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 06-08 17:22
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 07-03 21:12
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +10 $7 6¢ $1 -$7 07-01 19:11