Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
22.8%
Resolved
15
Trades
1,102
lifetime
Volume
$4.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$162
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-30 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 27% $-67
Other
20% 100% +$1
Sports
4%
Politics
4% 0% $-19
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +51 $10 100¢ $51 +$41 06-27 18:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19 $14 74¢ $14 $-0 06-29 02:39
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +81 $10 13¢ $10 +$0 06-28 19:22
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +15 $9 66¢ $10 +$0 06-27 22:20
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +55 $10 18¢ $10 $-1 06-29 19:27
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +48 $10 18¢ $9 $-1 06-27 07:47
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 76¢ $8 +$1 06-27 01:17
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +55 $10 15¢ $8 $-2 06-08 05:48
Will the Indiana Fever make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +27 $10 28¢ $7 $-3 06-25 17:48
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +30 $8 24¢ $7 $-0 06-29 17:41
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +79 $10 $7 $-4 06-08 17:22
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 06-09 17:23
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 74¢ $6 $-1 06-30 20:31
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +7 $5 67¢ $5 $-0 06-25 15:23
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 $-0 06-25 13:52
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 06-25 12:09