Realized P&L
-$775
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
1,595
Trades
2,481
lifetime
Volume
$21.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$210
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 10-23 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% -$276
Crypto
16% 46% -$648
Politics
2% 48% +$45
Sports
2% 52% +$139
Tech
0% 25% -$34
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +62 $10 92¢ $57 +$47 07-07 12:14
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +26 $10 83¢ $21 +$11 07-19 23:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19 $14 94¢ $18 +$4 06-29 02:39
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +14 $10 86¢ $12 +$1 07-17 08:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +14 $8 68¢ $10 +$1 07-17 02:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +11 $8 90¢ $10 +$2 07-01 17:29
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 85¢ $9 +$1 06-27 01:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +70 $10 11¢ $8 -$3 07-13 12:39
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +7 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 06-09 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +75 $11 8¢ $6 -$4 07-07 21:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $10 11¢ $6 -$5 06-30 14:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-23 11:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $10 10¢ $5 -$5 07-14 03:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 07-02 08:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +66 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 07-02 13:52
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 06-25 13:52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +136 $21 3¢ $4 -$17 07-07 00:40
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +27 $6 10¢ $3 -$3 07-19 22:43
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +81 $10 3¢ $3 -$8 06-28 19:22
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +56 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 07-15 23:14
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes +66 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 07-03 04:34
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +75 $11 3¢ $2 -$9 07-03 08:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $3 21¢ $2 -$1 07-06 17:27
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +79 $10 2¢ $2 -$9 06-08 17:22
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 07-03 21:12
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +48 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 06-27 07:47
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +25 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 07-20 19:47
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +30 $8 3¢ $1 -$7 06-29 17:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +10 $7 3¢ $0 -$7 07-01 19:11
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 07-12 03:57