Realized P&L (30d)
+$26
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
1
2,481 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5
$21.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$213
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 10-23 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% -$276
Crypto
16% 46% -$648
Politics
2% 48% +$45
Sports
2% 52% +$139
Tech
0% 25% -$34
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +62 $10 90¢ $55 +$45 07-07 12:14
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +26 $10 79¢ $20 +$10 07-19 23:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +19 $14 92¢ $17 +$3 06-29 02:39
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +14 $10 86¢ $12 +$1 07-17 08:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +11 $8 94¢ $10 +$2 07-01 17:29
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 06-27 01:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +14 $8 61¢ $9 +$0 07-17 02:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +75 $11 12¢ $9 -$2 07-07 21:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $10 12¢ $7 -$4 06-30 14:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +53 $10 12¢ $7 -$4 07-14 03:24
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +7 $6 97¢ $6 +$1 06-09 17:23
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 10-23 11:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +66 $10 8¢ $6 -$5 07-02 13:52
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +136 $21 4¢ $5 -$16 07-07 00:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +70 $10 7¢ $5 -$6 07-13 12:39
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes — +27 $6 17¢ $5 -$1 07-19 22:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 07-02 08:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 06-25 13:52
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +75 $11 3¢ $3 -$8 07-03 08:47
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +81 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 06-28 19:22
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +56 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 07-15 23:14
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +79 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 06-08 17:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $3 23¢ $2 -$1 07-06 17:27
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes +25 $7 7¢ $2 -$5 07-20 19:47
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes — +48 $10 4¢ $2 -$9 06-27 07:47
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 07-03 21:12
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +30 $8 4¢ $1 -$6 06-29 17:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +10 $7 4¢ $0 -$7 07-01 19:11