Buzzing-Diffuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

3,855

Trades

17,204

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 268 days

Categories

Other

93% 21% +$1,603

Politics

7% 50% -$169

Crypto

0% 62% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	15	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	-0	Yes	-$102	06-14 08:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$496	300	300	+0	No	+$40	06-04 08:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	29	$446	2,206	200	+2,006	Yes	-$123	06-17 10:04
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 15 2026 35corhigher	28	$418	353	343	+10	Yes	+$244	04-15 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 15?	26	$412	457	457	+0	Yes	+$366	05-15 15:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$260	200	100	+100	No	+$16	05-28 18:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	33	$233	501	500	+1	No	+$161	06-30 14:06
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 11 2026 22c	19	$221	163	161	+2	Yes	+$86	04-11 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	10	$209	268	268	+0	Yes	+$192	06-30 07:00
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 36 37f	10	$200	204	204	+0	Yes	+$163	03-13 18:03
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	27	$193	352	97	+255	Yes	+$251	04-16 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 25?	8	$184	100	100	+0	No	+$6	09-25 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?	25	$158	160	139	+21	No	+$8	09-10 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	12	$157	200	200	+0	Yes	+$151	09-05 08:02
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 11c	9	$156	136	136	-0	Yes	+$116	03-26 18:16
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 17 2026 35corhigher	11	$139	396	0	+396	No	-$139	04-16 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?	9	$136	302	302	+0	Yes	-$9	07-09 21:57
highest temperature in seoul on january 3 0c	3	$135	200	136	+64	Yes	+$183	01-03 09:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 10 2026 23c	17	$123	325	36	+289	No	-$80	04-10 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?	4	$120	140	0	+140	Yes	+$20	05-14 11:20
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 64forhigher	4	$120	104	104	+0	Yes	+$75	03-11 08:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	6	$119	173	64	+109	Yes	+$56	05-28 09:25
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 22c	25	$111	207	66	+140	No	-$28	04-12 11:51
highest temperature in nyc on january 10 52 53f	4	$109	100	100	+0	Yes	+$91	01-10 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	21	$106	282	281	+1	No	+$99	07-02 06:40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	17	$103	2,103	103	+2,000	No	-$89	09-22 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?	5	$103	100	100	+0	No	-$3	07-09 19:41
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 18 2026 27c	13	$103	303	0	+303	No	-$103	04-17 12:18
will the highest temperature in new york city be 35 36f on february 2	5	$103	103	103	+0	Yes	+$85	02-02 19:41
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 11c	24	$102	379	163	+216	Yes	+$271	04-01 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 3°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$1	0x27f830…
10-27 09:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x80ff88…
10-27 09:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x23fdc6…
10-27 09:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xc4e3a9…
10-24 08:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x358294…
10-24 08:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x9b42d1…
10-24 02:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x1372ff…
10-24 02:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcb8af1…
10-24 02:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xfc43ee…
10-24 02:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x79070d…
10-24 01:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x556cbb…
10-24 00:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1c6660…
10-23 23:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1c72eb…
10-23 23:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x77b983…
10-23 23:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xcb594b…
10-23 23:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x11ff7c…
10-23 23:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc648bf…
10-23 23:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe6cdaf…
10-23 22:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb6dd79…
10-23 22:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0834d4…
10-23 22:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1baa7d…
10-23 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xbcb859…
10-23 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xab3a88…
10-23 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x67dd55…
10-23 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x21a008…
10-23 22:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb4faef…
10-23 22:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7bfc6e…
10-23 20:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcde4bb…
10-23 20:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x502431…
10-23 20:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa62ad5…
10-23 20:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3498fc…
10-23 20:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0ff3f9…
10-23 20:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1036ed…
10-23 20:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xab37d7…
10-23 20:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x497469…
10-23 20:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2a3806…
10-23 20:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x10bb68…
10-23 20:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc60364…
10-23 20:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x531c6a…
10-23 19:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd9ab4…
10-23 19:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x428d15…
10-23 19:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xeb6859…
10-23 19:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xdcd758…
10-23 19:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb12108…
10-23 19:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4ebd79…
10-23 19:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfc8947…
10-23 19:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf81660…
10-23 19:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc64f37…
10-23 19:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x54c19c…
10-23 17:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x3af307…
10-23 17:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x2415d2…
10-23 16:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x43688f…
10-23 15:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf69d9…
10-23 15:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb0d1d6…
10-23 15:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x9f5f00…
10-23 14:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xf79316…
10-23 14:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$1	0x0bb783…
10-23 14:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x6ea547…
10-15 17:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xda23a3…
10-15 17:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xa343d7…
10-15 17:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3fab73…
10-15 17:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xa34352…
10-15 17:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6980b0…
10-15 17:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x694c9c…
10-15 17:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x412865…
10-15 17:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2331b8…
10-15 16:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0x6763f2…
10-15 15:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x5e44ff…
10-15 15:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x585aef…
10-15 11:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xbdcb05…
10-15 11:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x28cf80…
10-15 11:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x148927…
10-15 11:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5f0bce…
10-15 10:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xfb5a4b…
10-15 09:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on October 16?	Yes	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x7ac0b6…
10-15 09:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x352c81…
10-15 09:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xc9e64f…
10-15 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xe37dc6…
10-15 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd84a3c…
10-15 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xc61e6f…
10-15 09:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1db8ac…
10-15 08:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x873cf8…
10-15 08:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on October 16?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x5943d9…
10-15 08:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0xad874e…
10-10 11:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x707782…
10-09 17:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe2b690…
10-09 16:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc3045b…
10-09 16:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xf4f1e2…
10-09 16:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcae7b3…
10-08 18:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd5161f…
10-08 17:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc071fc…
10-08 17:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0xd42b46…
10-08 17:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0xc7cc52…
10-08 17:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xb2d718…
10-08 17:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x789a7f…
10-08 14:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x846f14…
10-08 13:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xaeb62e…
10-08 11:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x71da1a…
10-08 11:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x344c86…
10-03 11:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4a1459…