Mixed-Whale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

+$45

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 29% +$50

Sports

12% 0% $-13

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?	Yes		+56	$11	100¢	$56	+$45	05-05 03:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$44	70	35	+35	Up	+$59	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$12	0	18	-18	Up	+$12	05-05 00:14
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$11	27	0	+27	Golden Knights	$-11	05-05 02:19
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?	2	$11	56	0	+56	open	—	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$8	56	5	+51	Up	$-6	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	Down	$-8	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-05 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-04 21:24
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Knicks	$-1	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 10:20
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$1	20	0	+20	Seattle Mariners	$-1	05-05 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb4ea3c…
05-05 04:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x75f388…
05-05 04:15:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa93ac6…
05-05 03:30:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x5e1eac…
05-05 03:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x03d5b7…
05-05 03:24:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xf46641…
05-05 02:19:54	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16ad16…
05-05 02:19:40	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xabe61c…
05-05 00:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd4387c…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3e4023…
05-05 00:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x673922…
05-05 00:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x21b918…
05-04 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xa096a5…
05-04 23:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x0a4b01…
05-04 22:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc7d7fe…
05-04 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x02149b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$8.33K	27	05-05 04:25
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	5	$1.12K	11	05-05 10:20
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$762	12	05-05 10:21
Thin-Collaboration 0xe74c…587c	3	$1.70K	3	05-05 00:20
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	3	$1.52K	3	05-05 00:14
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	3	$1.52K	3	05-05 00:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$500	8	05-05 10:21