Mixed-Whale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

170

Trades

1,946

lifetime

Volume

$6.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-13 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 60% $-68

Sports

18% 31% +$107

Politics

13% 0% $-74

Other

1% 0% $-41

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 610 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5	6	$359	416	0	+416	open	—	05-01 00:23
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$221	533	300	+233	Timberwolves	+$252	05-05 03:54
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5	9	$200	230	17	+213	open	—	05-01 04:13
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	8	$149	161	40	+121	open	—	05-01 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$145	86	84	+1	open	—	04-28 10:40
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	20	$116	455	0	+455	open	—	05-01 22:24
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	11	$111	151	0	+151	open	—	05-01 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$106	126	0	+126	open	—	05-01 07:54
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	1	$100	118	0	+118	Over	$-100	05-09 03:21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$81	50	50	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$18	05-05 03:48
Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$76	75	38	+37	open	—	05-01 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$56	36	36	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 03:14
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	2	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	05-01 21:20
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	2	$52	50	20	+30	Yes	$-28	05-09 07:41
Will Trump say "Deduction" at The Villages on May 1?	3	$49	65	0	+65	open	—	05-01 06:29
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	18	$49	99	0	+99	open	—	05-02 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2PM ET	8	$44	111	20	+91	open	—	04-30 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$44	70	35	+35	Up	+$59	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	04-28 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$29	27	16	+11	open	—	04-28 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	10	$29	117	0	+117	open	—	05-02 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$29	43	16	+27	open	—	04-28 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1AM ET	7	$28	93	17	+76	open	—	04-30 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET	5	$28	40	10	+30	open	—	04-30 08:57
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5	2	$27	33	0	+33	Under	+$6	05-09 03:48
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	1	$26	58	0	+58	San Francisco Giants	$-26	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	8	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	04-28 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$26	75	0	+75	open	—	04-28 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 13:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x49ca17…
05-13 13:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcbc223…
05-13 11:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xfe6f86…
05-13 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbcb9a6…
05-13 07:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa05819…
05-13 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xc7a263…
05-13 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xc01464…
05-13 07:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x332551…
05-13 07:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe30ad1…
05-13 07:21:05	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0xd66880…
05-13 07:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb3654f…
05-12 17:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6b6252…
05-12 17:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaba826…
05-12 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xf6c9e5…
05-12 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xec1583…
05-12 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7274c3…
05-12 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x56092e…
05-12 09:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xf026f4…
05-12 09:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3c0526…
05-12 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x381fbd…
05-12 09:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x21adeb…
05-12 09:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7a56ac…
05-12 09:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf1cfbf…
05-12 09:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xc33879…
05-12 09:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2dab64…
05-12 09:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x87ba00…
05-12 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9deb4a…
05-12 09:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xccb614…
05-12 09:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xb68614…
05-09 09:19:35	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xb61836…
05-09 09:18:50	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x3da00c…
05-09 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdbef3c…
05-09 09:16:58	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xd2f253…
05-09 09:16:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x06db75…
05-09 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x16df2c…
05-09 09:10:36	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c00f7…
05-09 09:09:42	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xca50e3…
05-09 09:09:31	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x74b0db…
05-09 09:09:17	Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?	Yes	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x6e78f0…
05-09 09:09:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xa439d0…
05-09 09:00:59	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xbf542d…
05-09 08:59:24	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xf268cb…
05-09 08:58:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x16f6dd…
05-09 08:57:39	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xadf0fb…
05-09 08:56:55	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf06953…
05-09 08:53:25	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x0d22ec…
05-09 08:51:44	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xebd1d3…
05-09 08:51:44	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd6519c…
05-09 08:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x29313d…
05-09 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e73d1…
05-09 08:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf9a580…
05-09 08:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd1d58e…
05-09 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x13039a…
05-09 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d5dad…
05-09 08:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x1a9304…
05-09 08:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbb948c…
05-09 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x4a4558…
05-09 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x90cb72…
05-09 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7cde0b…
05-09 08:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9cc578…
05-09 07:41:49	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xefb62d…
05-09 04:15:14	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x9ab94b…
05-09 03:48:17	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x7cee2e…
05-09 03:48:15	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xaf5e18…
05-09 03:21:11	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x1eca41…
05-09 03:19:19	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x6c9c68…
05-08 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x5fca13…
05-08 15:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x32d183…
05-08 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x4679f3…
05-08 15:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x47c792…
05-08 10:03:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek	Caty McNally	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0xb7f976…
05-08 10:01:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek	Caty McNally	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x66c7f5…
05-08 09:56:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Xinyu Wang vs Alexandra Eala	Xinyu Wang	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x047e3f…
05-08 06:58:07	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x821f8c…
05-08 06:57:59	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x0ded4d…
05-08 06:57:01	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf54d16…
05-08 06:56:57	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xfb6593…
05-08 06:56:35	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1eac33…
05-08 06:15:22	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x23377b…
05-08 06:15:13	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x15d875…
05-08 06:14:26	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x889dd4…
05-08 06:11:15	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x248798…
05-08 06:07:21	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x951cee…
05-08 06:07:03	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6cceed…
05-08 06:06:23	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x95e7de…
05-08 06:05:32	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe6bae1…
05-08 04:01:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x82762b…
05-08 03:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc13639…
05-08 03:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x176433…
05-08 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xed01dd…
05-08 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x61b05b…
05-08 03:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcf524a…
05-08 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3f1a5c…
05-08 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x155b2c…
05-08 01:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x177dd2…
05-07 23:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x40b2be…
05-07 23:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa09b0d…
05-07 23:31:47	Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xf92147…
05-07 23:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xa96c52…
05-07 23:30:11	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x194582…