Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved

370

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$854

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-12 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

100% 32% -$136

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 6?	2	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	+$10	05-06 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on May 27?	2	$11	109	109	+0	No	-$5	05-26 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 22?	2	$11	11	11	+0	No	+$5	05-22 07:02
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	+$4	05-22 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on May 27?	3	$10	651	416	+235	No	-$2	05-26 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-28 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 30?	4	$8	7	7	+0	No	+$2	04-30 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	2	$8	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-27 23:12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 27?	1	$8	77	0	+77	No	-$8	05-25 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 06:24
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 3?	1	$7	61	0	+61	No	-$7	06-01 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	4	$6	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-30 03:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 28?	5	$6	8	6	+2	Yes	$0	04-28 06:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 28?	2	$6	9	8	+0	Yes	+$3	05-27 20:56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 28?	2	$6	6	5	+1	Yes	+$2	05-27 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?	5	$6	8	4	+3	Yes	+$2	05-15 00:02
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 28?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	05-28 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 28?	2	$5	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-27 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 5?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-05 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	2	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?	1	$5	32	0	+32	No	-$5	06-12 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 7?	3	$5	16	15	+1	No	+$2	05-07 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on May 2?	3	$5	15	14	+1	Yes	+$3	05-01 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 3?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	06-01 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 24?	1	$5	154	0	+154	No	-$5	05-22 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	05-28 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 27?	4	$5	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-26 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 13?	1	$5	295	0	+295	No	-$5	06-11 07:59
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?	3	$5	8	4	+4	Yes	-$2	05-06 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?	2	$4	8	8	+0	No	$0	06-01 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 21:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x977f4e…
06-12 15:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x83079a…
06-12 14:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xc6610b…
06-12 14:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xc6f850…
06-12 12:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	338	1¢	$3	0xbe7bfc…
06-12 10:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x317a9b…
06-12 03:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb8322d…
06-12 03:37:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x8e1723…
06-12 03:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x75ca71…
06-11 10:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0x94aa60…
06-11 09:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3afec4…
06-11 08:56:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x817fa0…
06-11 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x11cf96…
06-11 07:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xa10b6c…
06-11 07:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	295	2¢	$5	0x8b68f5…
06-11 07:01:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x626ccf…
06-11 07:01:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x33714a…
06-11 05:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0x209e87…
06-11 02:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xad842d…
06-11 02:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xf67dc3…
06-11 02:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa0ce2a…
06-10 18:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x08837e…
06-10 16:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x09f1f8…
06-10 15:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x9f1682…
06-10 14:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe35516…
06-10 12:00:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3fa653…
06-10 09:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x234b55…
06-09 23:57:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x36d434…
06-02 00:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x5aa506…
06-01 19:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe7d6c1…
06-01 18:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x39eb3d…
06-01 15:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc88684…
06-01 14:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x27bff6…
06-01 13:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xc807e6…
06-01 13:09:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbc6fe1…
06-01 13:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2fd121…
06-01 12:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xf54750…
06-01 12:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x3a8204…
06-01 11:24:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0xb75eb1…
06-01 11:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe263c4…
06-01 11:06:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8767d3…
06-01 11:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x4f4fd1…
06-01 10:23:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3aff78…
06-01 10:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x2eb5fe…
06-01 10:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x743b1f…
06-01 09:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xc192f1…
06-01 08:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8480e4…
06-01 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2c3ddd…
06-01 07:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x0ed023…
06-01 07:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xf9dd2e…
06-01 06:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x207ba7…
06-01 06:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x4a8a24…
06-01 05:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x76f2e2…
06-01 05:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0fd136…
06-01 04:53:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xd372a7…
06-01 04:47:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xd5cdbd…
06-01 04:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe15c0e…
06-01 03:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x02fe86…
06-01 03:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 2?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3c7433…
06-01 03:13:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xbfbd0a…
06-01 03:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x9551e3…
06-01 02:54:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xa4e637…
06-01 02:54:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4c70c4…
06-01 02:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x7e135d…
06-01 02:54:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x051afb…
06-01 02:54:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb13722…
06-01 02:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0x68eb23…
05-28 09:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$2	0x4a98ba…
05-28 08:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf24241…
05-28 08:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x498adb…
05-28 07:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1b4186…
05-28 07:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f793d…
05-28 07:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5356d2…
05-28 06:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x46f26c…
05-28 06:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xf45835…
05-28 06:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	No	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xfaadb6…
05-28 06:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x029ea9…
05-28 06:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x496a94…
05-28 06:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x33ac99…
05-28 05:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x4a5c77…
05-28 05:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x4052c7…
05-28 03:46:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x7c79ac…
05-28 03:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x249f75…
05-28 03:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xcd8078…
05-28 03:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xe37d84…
05-28 03:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe87534…
05-28 02:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xbde428…
05-27 23:24:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xbeb1cc…
05-27 23:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x213413…
05-27 23:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5b1242…
05-27 23:18:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x626b27…
05-27 23:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x255c69…
05-27 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x22be2c…
05-27 22:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe3e32a…
05-27 22:22:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x46be93…
05-27 22:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb0e79a…
05-27 22:15:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x173808…
05-27 22:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xdfc765…
05-27 20:56:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0x73082e…
05-27 19:56:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x6735aa…