Winding-Software — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$546

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

4,511

Trades

5,909

lifetime

Volume

$130.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$20

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-26 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 99% +$221

Other

27% 98% +$325

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	+11	$10	68¢	$8	-$2	10-04 17:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	09-23 18:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	10-04 17:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	10-05 17:13
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$0	09-25 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 15?	1	$707	709	0	+709	Yes	+$1	08-15 15:24
bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	2	$602	605	0	+605	Yes	+$3	08-19 15:38
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 17?	1	$514	515	0	+515	Yes	+$1	08-17 15:57
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 12?	3	$510	513	0	+513	No	+$2	08-12 15:50
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of September 7 2026?	2	$491	493	0	+493	No	+$2	09-11 17:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 25?	2	$451	452	0	+452	Yes	+$1	07-25 15:57
lol los fur 2026 09 13 game2 first blood	1	$426	430	0	+430	LOS	+$4	09-12 17:16
will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	4	$407	408	0	+408	No	+$2	08-01 03:48
bitcoin above 67600 on july 23 2026 2am et	1	$365	366	0	+366	No	+$1	07-23 05:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	2	$350	351	0	+351	No	+$1	09-14 15:09
ethereum above 1930 on august 19 2026 12pm et	2	$335	336	0	+336	Yes	+$1	08-19 15:16
ethereum above 1720 on july 9 2026 12am et	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	07-09 03:59
bitcoin above 63400 on july 14 2026 12pm et	1	$282	283	0	+283	Yes	+$0	07-14 15:58
bitcoin above 64200 on july 15 2026 11am et	1	$279	279	0	+279	Yes	+$0	07-15 14:41
lol ns dnf 2026 08 18 game1 odd even total kills	3	$267	270	0	+270	Odd	+$4	08-18 10:42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 12PM ET	1	$265	266	0	+266	Up	+$0	09-14 16:57
bitcoin above 67400 on july 24 2026 6am et	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	+$0	07-24 11:41
bitcoin above 64400 on july 29 2026 8am et	1	$220	225	0	+225	Yes	+$4	07-29 11:58
spy closes above 755 on august 11 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	Yes	+$0	08-11 17:51
spy closes above 790 on august 11 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	08-11 17:51
bitcoin above 65400 on august 4 2026 2am et	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	08-04 06:40
lol g2 fnc 2026 08 16 game2 first blood	2	$213	216	0	+216	Fnatic	+$4	08-16 18:35
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 14?	1	$212	216	0	+216	Yes	+$4	09-14 15:59
bitcoin above 64400 on august 19 2026 9am et	1	$210	210	0	+210	Yes	+$0	08-19 12:46
bitcoin above 62600 on july 9 2026 10am et	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	07-09 13:59
lol al jdg 2026 08 14 game2 kill over 27pt5	4	$205	210	0	+210	Over	+$5	08-14 13:04
cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31 game1 round total 21pt5	2	$204	207	0	+207	Under	+$3	07-30 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	09-14 15:03
bitcoin above 66000 on july 20 2026 6am et	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-20 09:22
solana above 80 on july 20 2026	1	$190	191	0	+191	No	+$1	07-20 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:36:35	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TYLOO	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf9f36c…
10-26 12:42:15	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	TYLOO	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9afca…
10-25 09:22:41	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0428bd…
10-25 09:22:32	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	TYLOO	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xd68977…
10-25 08:41:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc6f28f…
10-25 08:41:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xed70c3…
10-23 03:37:54	nba den okc 2026 10 22 blocks chet holmgren 1pt5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3264fe…
10-23 03:37:47	nba den okc 2026 10 22 blocks chet holmgren 0pt5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18dcd9…
10-23 03:37:26	nba den okc 2026 10 22 blocks isaiah hartenstein 0pt5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcfd49…
10-23 03:34:00	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcbb5f9…
10-23 03:28:39	spy closes above 780 on october 23 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2d1f81…
10-15 13:52:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d0f03…
10-15 13:51:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on October 15?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3849a2…
10-15 13:51:25	spy closes above 785 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e4703…
10-10 17:41:04	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0xa4117f…
10-08 08:47:58	Ethereum above 2,610 on October 8, 5AM ET?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x15b3a1…
10-08 08:47:22	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb4aa50…
10-07 09:30:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 on October 7?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xba1eb1…
10-07 09:28:29	Ethereum above 2,660 on October 7, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6cd398…
10-06 07:51:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $500 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb0008…
10-06 07:51:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05b08b…
10-06 07:50:37	Ethereum above 2,740 on October 6, 4AM ET?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x389677…
10-06 07:50:27	Ethereum above 2,750 on October 6, 4AM ET?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8f88…
10-06 07:39:10	Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xec25c5…
10-05 17:18:19	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e82fa…
10-05 17:18:10	Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7adc46…
10-05 17:13:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x82b71d…
10-05 17:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0xc71b4a…
10-05 17:06:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfac3dc…
10-05 17:04:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf62815…
10-05 17:03:59	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b2cdb…
10-05 15:51:16	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ac1c5…
10-05 15:02:25	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaf296c…
10-05 14:49:52	Ethereum above 2,780 on October 5, 11AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x321363…
10-05 14:49:38	Bitcoin above 87,400 on October 5, 11AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01ee81…
10-05 14:49:31	Bitcoin above 87,600 on October 5, 11AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x988d5e…
10-05 14:49:25	Bitcoin above 87,800 on October 5, 11AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xccf72b…
10-05 14:40:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xc9fa1c…
10-05 14:40:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on October 6?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xab75c9…
10-05 14:40:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x2aec2d…
10-05 14:40:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb4264f…
10-05 14:39:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x87dea4…
10-04 17:36:31	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x31e603…
10-04 17:36:22	Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xce07f6…
10-04 17:35:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8aeb73…
10-04 17:34:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xec9f06…
10-04 17:33:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 5	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05f100…
10-04 17:30:04	lol koia ucam1 2026 10 04	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc9e2d6…
10-04 17:28:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f6101…
10-04 17:28:13	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28f799…
10-04 17:28:04	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x938620…
10-04 17:25:56	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9076d7…
10-04 17:17:07	lol sly bar 2026 10 04	Solary	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c8974…
10-04 17:16:22	aapl close above 320 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd6de44…
10-04 17:16:01	msft close above 500 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc25cf0…
10-04 17:14:49	googl close above 330 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc1e1ec…
10-04 17:14:26	nvda close above 225 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x292785…
10-04 17:13:05	spy closes above 785 on october 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9fc63…
10-04 17:12:46	will solana dip to 105 on october 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6990a4…
10-04 17:12:29	ethereum above 2760 on october 4 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x09cfab…
10-04 17:12:16	bitcoin above 86600 on october 4 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbdd508…
10-04 17:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb43673…
10-03 13:08:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf95021…
10-03 13:08:05	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93a1d2…
10-02 17:42:39	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe5fc73…
10-02 17:42:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b48f2…
10-02 17:42:06	ethereum above 2610 on october 2 2026 2pm et	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3c916…
10-02 17:41:59	ethereum above 2720 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda62fc…
10-02 17:41:51	ethereum above 2730 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x39067b…
10-02 17:41:44	ethereum above 2740 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6088b9…
10-02 17:41:39	ethereum above 2750 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96bb9e…
10-02 17:41:30	bitcoin above 86400 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdea732…
10-02 17:41:23	bitcoin above 86600 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x63b1f4…
10-02 17:41:17	bitcoin above 86800 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad14eb…
10-02 17:41:12	bitcoin above 87000 on october 2 2026 2pm et	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x057196…
10-02 17:40:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x019551…
10-02 17:40:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x165b4b…
10-02 17:39:57	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb58e2…
10-02 17:39:21	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x298adb…
10-02 17:36:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65d0b7…
10-02 17:36:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x601680…
10-02 17:36:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8ffcea…
10-02 17:36:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b8f82…
10-02 17:35:57	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3cfb09…
10-02 17:34:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x34efe6…
10-02 17:34:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 5?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfa7293…
10-02 17:32:03	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs EAC Extra (BO1) - ROG Journey Group C	EAC Extra	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0xa0fe36…
10-02 17:30:30	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs EAC Extra (BO1) - ROG Journey Group C	EAC Extra	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x7336b9…
10-02 09:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x70155f…
10-02 09:57:32	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd0dae7…
10-02 09:57:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of September 28 above $200?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75541d…
10-02 09:56:41	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at <$125 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x99e53f…
10-02 09:55:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe020c4…
10-02 09:54:00	lol sly t1a 2026 10 02 game1 kill over 45pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2fbdf…
10-02 09:53:38	lol sly t1a 2026 10 02 game1 kill over 30pt5	Over	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x028499…
10-02 09:53:12	Ethereum above 2,720 on October 2, 6AM ET?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x23031a…
10-02 09:53:06	Ethereum above 2,790 on October 2, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3f1ec…
10-02 09:52:59	Ethereum above 2,800 on October 2, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ab133…
10-02 09:52:18	Bitcoin above 87,400 on October 2, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b0972…
10-02 03:45:39	Ethereum above 2,680 on October 2, 12AM ET?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc85fb3…