Huge-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$131

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

14,727

lifetime

Volume

$5.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

$553

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-20 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

65% 56% +$3,929

Other

30% 97% +$3,307

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	No	+380	$309	84¢	$319	+$10	06-24 12:58
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	+218	$159	88¢	$193	+$33	06-24 12:45
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	-638	$-32	4¢	$-29	+$3	06-22 19:42
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	-23	$-21	54¢	$-12	+$8	06-22 19:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+0	$-76	99¢	$0	+$76	07-12 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	136	$143.8K	66,102	82,581	-16,479	open	—	05-29 02:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	91	$112.6K	81,437	89,885	-8,448	open	—	03-26 01:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$96.3K	44,816	53,055	-8,239	open	—	05-20 07:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	67	$82.2K	46,592	48,692	-2,100	open	—	04-21 16:05
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	66	$81.0K	79,025	4,000	+75,025	open	—	05-01 05:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	85	$74.0K	34,306	41,306	-7,000	open	—	05-24 14:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	99	$71.4K	74,832	19,486	+55,346	open	—	05-31 06:11
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	188	$67.8K	36,588	36,189	+399	open	—	05-13 02:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	97	$67.2K	72,562	0	+72,562	open	—	05-15 19:10
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	10	$64.6K	63,000	2,000	+61,000	open	—	05-01 00:33
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	82	$62.9K	45,782	19,837	+25,944	open	—	05-04 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	48	$62.3K	40,131	37,829	+2,302	open	—	05-12 09:25
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	69	$60.9K	32,802	31,934	+868	open	—	04-21 01:27
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	41	$57.6K	41,685	18,090	+23,595	open	—	05-01 03:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	49	$56.5K	25,942	33,568	-7,626	open	—	05-29 02:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$52.2K	35,822	19,657	+16,165	open	—	04-08 16:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	55	$50.4K	59,126	5,000	+54,126	No	+$3,936	05-09 02:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	151	$49.9K	28,431	44,139	-15,708	open	—	05-23 18:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	31	$48.5K	44,806	9,999	+34,806	open	—	06-03 21:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	34	$48.4K	48,085	3,500	+44,585	open	—	04-30 15:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	53	$48.2K	33,508	16,443	+17,065	open	—	05-18 15:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	76	$46.4K	32,597	29,149	+3,448	open	—	06-15 15:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	59	$44.8K	48,160	1,154	+47,006	open	—	05-22 02:19
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	24	$42.2K	17,353	24,950	-7,597	open	—	06-13 06:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	56	$42.1K	37,735	11,500	+26,235	open	—	03-31 13:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	40	$41.3K	22,222	22,222	+0	open	—	05-27 06:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	112	$37.4K	22,105	19,242	+2,863	open	—	04-21 20:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$36.5K	17,829	23,384	-5,555	open	—	06-17 15:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	76	$36.2K	33,534	9,025	+24,509	open	—	04-24 16:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	26	$34.2K	11,471	24,621	-13,150	open	—	03-31 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x9eea75…
07-20 22:53:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	222	81¢	$180	0xd2c214…
07-20 22:13:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	312	92¢	$287	0xce98b4…
07-20 21:47:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0xf5ac19…
07-20 21:42:43	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	1,378	96¢	$1,323	0x64350e…
07-20 21:30:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	2,074	100¢	$2,070	0x91c8ed…
07-20 21:29:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	576	92¢	$531	0x554241…
07-20 21:13:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x40f10b…
07-20 20:19:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	202	82¢	$166	0x7445b9…
07-20 20:09:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x918c13…
07-20 19:51:37	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	2,500	98¢	$2,438	0xf0913d…
07-20 19:44:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0xff4391…
07-20 19:14:18	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	319	94¢	$302	0x005a7f…
07-20 19:08:10	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	30	94¢	$29	0xa40648…
07-20 19:08:09	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x1249ff…
07-20 18:49:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x81b8fe…
07-20 18:48:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x69df84…
07-20 18:48:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8f62e9…
07-20 18:48:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2b358c…
07-20 18:47:40	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	167	95¢	$158	0x47e937…
07-20 18:43:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x1723bc…
07-20 18:40:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	150	65¢	$98	0xa85e11…
07-20 18:30:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6f360a…
07-20 18:17:18	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	555	92¢	$511	0xbceb67…
07-20 18:15:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	202	82¢	$166	0x7dc872…
07-20 18:15:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4fc9da…
07-20 18:05:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x456f6a…
07-20 17:27:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0x3f8152…
07-20 16:42:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	222	77¢	$171	0x8fd3eb…
07-20 16:42:34	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,428	0xefbc3d…
07-20 16:42:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x139a26…
07-20 16:38:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	2,153	3¢	$71	0xc3ebc1…
07-20 16:37:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	182	38¢	$69	0x644448…
07-20 16:31:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	250	93¢	$232	0xc868e4…
07-20 16:26:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x212589…
07-20 16:25:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	222	34¢	$75	0xd53410…
07-20 16:18:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	222	16¢	$36	0xd371d8…
07-20 15:31:43	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x91bfff…
07-20 14:52:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	222	37¢	$82	0xa788bf…
07-20 14:28:21	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x222d6d…
07-20 14:17:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xa2d943…
07-20 13:38:22	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	1,252	3¢	$38	0x02f2bc…
07-20 13:34:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	222	15¢	$33	0x6c530d…
07-20 13:27:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	BUY	202	40¢	$81	0x82b80d…
07-20 12:43:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	172	95¢	$164	0xc068a3…
07-20 12:38:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	228	95¢	$216	0x961832…
07-20 12:09:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	213	91¢	$195	0x5b6571…
07-20 12:08:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$912	0xc21f6d…
07-20 12:08:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	750	91¢	$684	0xabee59…
07-20 12:07:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	37	91¢	$33	0x6ce314…
07-20 12:01:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	327	94¢	$307	0x50932d…
07-20 12:00:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	388	86¢	$334	0x8419f0…
07-20 11:31:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	222	75¢	$166	0xd4619c…
07-20 11:30:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0xd74e6e…
07-20 11:20:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	95	94¢	$89	0xe520ca…
07-20 11:02:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	410	94¢	$385	0x5ab911…
07-20 10:52:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x3299bb…
07-20 10:52:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	215	29¢	$62	0x031cbd…
07-20 10:38:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xcc7145…
07-20 10:33:52	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	428	88¢	$377	0xa3942a…
07-20 10:33:40	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	460	88¢	$405	0xca4290…
07-20 10:29:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	1,168	94¢	$1,098	0x6f3132…
07-20 10:26:34	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	555	93¢	$516	0x1afdee…
07-20 10:26:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xa2b17c…
07-20 10:23:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1,500	93¢	$1,395	0x9037da…
07-20 10:19:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x4163f3…
07-20 10:18:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	888	4¢	$40	0x1cec30…
07-20 10:12:34	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	638	91¢	$581	0xbbbb80…
07-20 10:12:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	556	91¢	$506	0x40adb9…
07-20 10:03:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	629	85¢	$535	0x857b4e…
07-20 10:00:43	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	306	91¢	$279	0xd2ed72…
07-20 09:07:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 27 2026 20260630182730905	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2b1d0b…
07-20 08:56:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xa9aae1…
07-20 08:56:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xac977b…
07-20 08:56:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x1e9cab…
07-20 08:56:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xfe45e7…
07-20 08:56:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x9a4f57…
07-20 08:47:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2b9c0a…
07-20 08:47:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa5b355…
07-20 08:47:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x31e934…
07-20 08:47:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	186	95¢	$177	0x2c302c…
07-20 08:29:13	untitled market 1 20260625225237461	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf4ae37…
07-20 08:21:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x18b04b…
07-20 04:24:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x6bee9d…
07-20 04:18:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	105	94¢	$99	0x6a5e0f…
07-20 04:05:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x480697…
07-20 04:02:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x2b01a4…
07-20 03:54:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xaa42bb…
07-20 03:54:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x2aba4c…
07-20 02:57:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,488	0x48fd75…
07-20 00:35:12	will 4 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249341	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x2bc648…
07-19 19:57:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	888	7¢	$62	0xd0b0a4…
07-19 19:21:28	will 4 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249341	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xf12401…
07-19 17:48:10	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x82e6d8…
07-19 17:48:06	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb01d5a…
07-19 16:23:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	202	86¢	$174	0xaefb26…
07-19 15:58:55	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	No	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0xea47c7…
07-19 15:14:54	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x982886…
07-19 14:57:52	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	No	SELL	28	97¢	$28	0xcda924…
07-19 14:41:39	will kick 2 by spain in the penalty shootout of the world cup final be made or missed 20260716212631277	Missed	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xfd4a78…