Huge-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$322

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

1,531

Trades

18,402

lifetime

Volume

$5.88M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$319

Open exposure

$656

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 09-23 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Politics

62% 72% -$40,755

Other

33% 67% -$452

Tech

2% 57% +$2,318

Sports

1% 76% +$4,111

Crypto

1% 71% +$6,621

Pop-Culture

0% 80% +$270

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	+454	$273	96¢	$436	+$163	08-31 20:18
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	+200	$104	86¢	$173	+$69	06-30 05:03
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	+200	$2	14¢	$27	+$25	06-30 05:14
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	+20	$11	87¢	$17	+$6	07-08 16:41
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	+20	-$57	13¢	$3	+$59	07-08 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	140	$144.9K	66,246	83,581	-17,335	Yes	+$4,647	05-29 02:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	91	$112.6K	81,437	89,885	-8,448	No	+$4,400	03-26 01:20
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	17	$96.3K	44,816	53,055	-8,239	No	+$1,247	05-20 07:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	67	$82.2K	46,592	48,692	-2,100	Yes	+$2,036	04-21 16:05
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	66	$81.0K	79,025	4,000	+75,025	No	+$1,874	05-01 05:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	42	$78.4K	74,999	9,999	+65,000	No	+$6,592	06-03 21:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	106	$74.1K	76,648	20,889	+55,759	No	+$5,497	05-31 15:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	85	$74.0K	34,306	41,306	-7,000	Yes	+$1,462	05-24 14:20
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	192	$68.2K	36,588	36,588	+0	Yes	+$2,197	05-13 02:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	97	$67.2K	72,562	0	+72,562	No	+$5,374	05-15 19:10
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	10	$64.6K	63,000	2,000	+61,000	Yes	+$339	05-01 00:33
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	82	$62.9K	45,782	19,837	+25,944	No	+$2,439	05-04 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	48	$62.3K	40,131	37,829	+2,302	No	+$676	05-12 09:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	51	$61.4K	31,570	33,568	-1,998	No	+$1,102	05-29 02:13
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	69	$60.9K	32,802	31,934	+868	No	+$2,502	04-21 01:27
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	41	$57.6K	41,685	18,090	+23,595	No	+$2,010	05-01 03:39
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	81	$53.6K	36,388	32,819	+3,570	No	-$7,919	06-15 15:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	56	$53.3K	62,126	5,000	+57,126	No	+$4,023	05-09 02:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	26	$52.2K	35,822	19,657	+16,165	Yes	-$371	04-08 16:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	164	$50.2K	28,431	44,431	-16,000	Yes	+$654	05-23 18:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	32	$49.8K	24,950	24,950	+0	No	+$16	06-13 06:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	34	$48.4K	48,085	3,500	+44,585	No	+$3,053	04-30 15:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	53	$48.2K	33,508	16,443	+17,065	No	+$1,122	05-18 15:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	64	$47.2K	51,548	1,154	+50,394	No	+$3,580	05-22 02:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	56	$42.1K	37,735	11,500	+26,235	No	+$3,294	03-31 13:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	14	$41.4K	23,384	23,384	+0	Yes	+$2,112	06-17 15:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	40	$41.3K	22,222	22,222	+0	No	+$2,806	05-27 06:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	112	$37.4K	22,105	19,242	+2,863	No	+$2,349	04-21 20:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	76	$36.2K	33,534	9,025	+24,509	Yes	+$6,301	04-24 16:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	26	$34.2K	11,471	24,621	-13,150	No	+$1,477	03-31 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 18:57:53	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	940	94¢	$888	0x2982c8…
09-23 17:50:35	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x2a2de7…
09-20 17:49:54	Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x16fe8d…
09-18 18:42:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x27a578…
09-18 07:19:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	489	60¢	$294	0xb112bf…
09-18 02:05:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xdbec57…
09-18 01:56:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x911d4c…
09-11 12:38:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,539	22¢	$2,319	0x7c6d84…
09-11 12:38:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x6403c5…
09-11 12:38:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,444	22¢	$978	0xe81221…
09-04 14:17:21	Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x8e77d8…
09-01 19:09:12	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,275	0x64c5e9…
09-01 02:49:42	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1,914	0¢	$2	0xa4b4d2…
08-31 22:50:33	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,914	0¢	$2	0x8b8a7a…
08-31 20:18:24	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe3bb36…
08-31 17:54:45	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x4be876…
08-31 16:36:06	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	555	84¢	$466	0xdcdd90…
08-31 16:16:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	2,885	98¢	$2,822	0x0721e4…
08-31 16:13:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	950	95¢	$903	0xa2bf42…
08-31 16:11:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	540	95¢	$513	0x45c7b0…
08-31 15:58:51	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	3,204	99¢	$3,160	0x5fa2e1…
08-31 15:41:46	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xe62720…
08-31 15:41:46	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4c05cc…
08-31 15:41:39	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0x234d58…
08-31 15:41:37	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	2,063	99¢	$2,034	0xd77ca5…
08-31 14:55:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xa205d1…
08-31 14:48:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xb35123…
08-31 14:48:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x8e9b06…
08-31 14:39:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4d4950…
08-31 14:30:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4bd95b…
08-31 14:21:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd5690f…
08-31 14:15:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x11fa5e…
08-31 14:14:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2b1690…
08-31 14:13:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf29b94…
08-31 14:06:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x72da1b…
08-31 13:58:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaa34c5…
08-31 13:55:48	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd57611…
08-31 02:20:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,904	0x294183…
08-30 23:45:00	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0x29eee9…
08-30 22:08:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	900	91¢	$819	0x52d545…
08-30 21:23:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0xefb333…
08-30 21:07:25	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	222	84¢	$186	0x3094af…
08-30 21:02:00	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,425	0xe5e98a…
08-30 20:32:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x603240…
08-30 19:28:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xac775d…
08-30 19:27:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xe6433c…
08-30 12:12:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,934	0x1f898a…
08-30 09:04:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,549	1¢	$39	0x900a67…
08-30 08:58:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	1¢	$2	0xa4aed0…
08-30 08:41:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,058	1¢	$6	0x0c96d0…
08-30 03:07:24	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$54	0x3274c9…
08-29 14:51:24	Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$5	0x84c3fd…
08-29 08:38:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$40	0x67638e…
08-29 08:38:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,488	0x67638e…
08-28 18:22:19	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x5b7c52…
08-28 18:22:13	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,920	96¢	$2,803	0x8768e3…
08-28 15:18:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,506	50¢	$1,253	0xa87ca3…
08-28 15:18:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,494	50¢	$747	0xea9e52…
08-28 14:29:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,106	50¢	$1,053	0x8d1844…
08-28 14:29:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x99bca8…
08-28 14:29:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0xe24835…
08-28 14:29:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	145	50¢	$72	0x06c4cc…
08-28 14:29:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	169	50¢	$84	0xd0654d…
08-28 14:29:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	288	50¢	$144	0x28b29e…
08-28 14:27:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,864	54¢	$1,007	0x07e152…
08-28 14:27:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb653a8…
08-28 14:27:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,121	54¢	$605	0x64a3d5…
08-28 13:09:45	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x80fd9d…
08-27 14:45:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,868	95¢	$4,605	0x4464a9…
08-27 14:39:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,132	95¢	$2,963	0x8cabdb…
08-27 12:45:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	616	98¢	$603	0x4d2dfa…
08-27 09:28:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0x694fd7…
08-27 09:28:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0xcffb84…
08-27 09:28:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	95¢	$2,385	0x88a4e1…
08-27 09:28:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,856	95¢	$2,716	0x37d503…
08-26 21:15:27	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$963	0x2331d9…
08-26 18:45:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x398084…
08-26 12:42:03	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2e4e2…
08-26 12:42:01	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	132	95¢	$125	0xc5a479…
08-26 12:15:16	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0xffe1b7…
08-26 12:15:16	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x051137…
08-26 12:13:18	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	268	95¢	$253	0x511b01…
08-26 11:38:36	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	555	97¢	$538	0x4a8ce2…
08-26 08:35:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	91¢	$2,278	0x499b9f…
08-25 20:08:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	46¢	$55	0x71d726…
08-25 20:00:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x90a59d…
08-25 20:00:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5ba8bb…
08-25 19:59:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6f1f81…
08-25 19:59:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0x0243b1…
08-25 19:50:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xe29b65…
08-25 19:50:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xac912c…
08-25 19:50:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	212	46¢	$98	0xc422aa…
08-25 09:59:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x081f5b…
08-25 08:38:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	96¢	$2,398	0xd17517…
08-24 19:52:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	SELL	1,853	1¢	$15	0x73bda1…
08-24 18:26:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0xa4060d…
08-24 18:00:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x67999d…
08-24 16:36:09	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	SELL	122	1¢	$1	0x7c5c69…
08-24 04:13:55	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xd67ec2…
08-23 20:29:04	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	Yes	BUY	2,222	98¢	$2,178	0x5b4911…