Babyish-Ethyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-10 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 28% +$0

Other

3% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+50	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	06-08 19:15
Another Canada election called by June 30?	Yes		+20	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-08 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$500	943	0	+943	open	—	01-05 11:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$325	237	191	+46	open	—	06-01 05:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 8?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$-0	05-08 12:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?	3	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	05-08 18:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	3	$115	100	15	+85	No	+$0	05-09 06:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 18:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 18:42
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	3	$99	50	49	+1	open	—	05-14 07:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	2	$99	50	49	+1	open	—	05-14 14:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	05-29 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$65	0	65	-65	Down	$-0	05-12 13:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-29 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-22 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 13:25
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-30 07:26
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-30 06:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-12 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-20 07:14
spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	06-09 18:34
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	4	$2	300	300	+0	open	—	06-10 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:17:49	will wti dip to 40 in june 2026 584 727 626	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa12345…
06-10 00:20:45	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	Yes	SELL	282	0¢	$1	0x98ea0c…
06-10 00:15:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x52f393…
06-10 00:03:18	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc69be1…
06-09 18:34:19	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x25322d…
06-09 14:47:07	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa4ba34…
06-09 13:16:51	spacex ipo officially added to sp 500 in 2026 20260608202834697	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x686e34…
06-09 13:12:15	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf2d2c6…
06-09 11:51:18	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x19fcfb…
06-09 11:40:28	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x8b5b55…
06-08 22:31:18	Another Canada election called by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x601f03…
06-08 19:15:52	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf6b584…
06-01 05:34:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xdbd74a…
06-01 05:32:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0xce7d6a…
06-01 05:32:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x73437b…
06-01 05:32:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xdc123e…
05-30 07:26:57	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6d22a1…
05-30 06:43:14	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0efee1…
05-29 14:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1df4e6…
05-29 13:40:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc057ad…
05-29 13:39:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe3d3b9…
05-29 13:37:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x20a0c8…
05-29 13:35:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	70¢	$125	0xcb1a4b…
05-29 10:17:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x36ec17…
05-29 10:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdbe95c…
05-22 15:51:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8b6f8c…
05-20 07:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6b854b…
05-20 07:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbdc23b…
05-20 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x02209a…
05-14 18:42:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xcb07c5…
05-14 18:17:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x65cddd…
05-14 14:14:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x6e6186…
05-14 07:04:45	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xceba94…
05-14 07:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4059d3…
05-14 06:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x456306…
05-14 06:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x463812…
05-14 06:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x197062…
05-14 06:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x56de6b…
05-14 06:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7787d…
05-14 06:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7b1f9d…
05-14 06:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfb0d47…
05-14 06:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe017ce…
05-14 06:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf5b79e…
05-14 06:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6db58c…
05-14 06:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5a8be7…
05-14 06:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcbde13…
05-14 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4d2cf2…
05-14 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb59ba4…
05-14 06:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x15b3aa…
05-14 06:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b31c5…
05-14 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2f77a4…
05-14 06:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1fdc1…
05-14 06:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x61f55e…
05-14 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd18012…
05-14 06:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2d16a3…
05-14 06:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc736ba…
05-14 06:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5dea00…
05-14 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40e861…
05-14 06:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8f9983…
05-14 06:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b39a0…
05-14 06:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8116a5…
05-14 06:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc9a276…
05-14 06:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x77a4e3…
05-14 06:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8fa692…
05-14 06:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcc3af4…
05-14 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4ac51…
05-14 03:23:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf686f4…
05-13 16:01:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x48b009…
05-13 15:19:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xaa285a…
05-13 12:32:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x174bee…
05-13 09:22:27	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5c0e70…
05-13 07:24:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd1d8a5…
05-13 07:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x31c6fd…
05-13 07:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c78fa…
05-13 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xfdeca9…
05-13 07:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2b1f3…
05-13 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x717ca1…
05-13 07:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07b7f1…
05-13 07:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x12b7f3…
05-13 07:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a5d0a…
05-13 07:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x340060…
05-13 07:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7cbc6d…
05-13 07:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7aeff4…
05-13 07:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43d236…
05-13 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd33de3…
05-13 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa2f47c…
05-13 07:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x6706cc…
05-13 07:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86ebc6…
05-13 07:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x49d6a8…
05-13 07:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf7d526…
05-13 07:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x753e8f…
05-13 07:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfee938…
05-12 13:30:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xf336a6…
05-12 13:25:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x463836…
05-12 13:05:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbba3f4…
05-09 06:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd45e16…
05-09 06:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd7a330…
05-09 06:32:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x37f8fd…
05-09 06:31:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x211046…
05-08 22:00:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6cc62…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	36	$31.7K	1,243	06-04 00:20
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	30	$17.6K	2,647	05-21 19:08
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	29	$8.43K	1,182	05-20 07:13
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	29	$7.39K	945	05-20 07:13
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	29	$7.17K	1,859	05-20 07:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	29	$6.94K	1,813	05-20 07:14
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	29	$6.87K	337	05-20 07:15
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	29	$6.23K	187	05-20 07:15