Babyish-Ethyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

5,997 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$4.18K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-18 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 46% -$358

Other

29% 37% -$53

Politics

4% 41% -$21

Tech

0% 19% -$8

Sports

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$500	943	0	+943	No	-$500	01-05 11:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	593	$467	167,927	167,927	+0	No	+$91	07-20 09:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$363	237	237	+0	No	+$33	06-01 05:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$240	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-08 14:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 8?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-08 12:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?	3	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	05-08 18:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	3	$115	100	15	+85	No	+$0	05-09 06:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-14 18:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-14 18:42
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	3	$99	50	49	+1	No	+$0	05-14 07:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	2	$99	50	49	+1	No	+$0	05-14 14:14
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	11	$80	15,950	15,950	+0	No	+$16	07-08 13:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 13:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	11	$65	0	120	-120	Yes	-$55	06-19 16:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$65	0	65	-65	Down	$0	05-12 13:30
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	87	$61	11,533	11,533	+0	No	+$15	07-12 20:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:51
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	98	$50	22,500	22,500	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:18
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	123	$48	32,000	14,086	+17,914	No	-$18	07-25 12:22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 12?	3	$45	25	20	+5	No	+$0	05-12 13:33
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	56	$40	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$8	06-26 13:12
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?	100	$30	8,797	8,797	+0	No	+$7	07-10 09:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	3	$28	0	120	-120	No	+$28	06-20 06:59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 19?	2	$26	0	50	-50	No	+$26	06-19 07:19
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	108	$25	12,000	11,000	+1,000	No	-$1	07-20 15:13
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-30 07:26
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-30 06:43
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 19?	2	$24	0	50	-50	Yes	-$26	06-19 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 18:59:14	Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	230	0¢	$0	0xf35c7c…
10-18 15:34:08	Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xabe46a…
09-18 13:33:12	Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xead7b6…
09-05 00:16:39	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfc27c8…
08-29 07:47:07	Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$0	0x645953…
08-14 18:34:45	Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x27e522…
08-10 01:03:06	Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0xf438eb…
08-10 01:02:51	Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x96fb81…
08-10 01:02:42	Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xfa952c…
08-09 12:55:40	Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x37f0e2…
08-09 08:10:21	Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x65bcca…
08-02 01:54:24	Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x23f102…
08-01 00:04:17	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x7a6c61…
07-30 23:58:21	Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x647184…
07-30 23:58:06	Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$1	0x60da53…
07-30 23:16:21	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe7ab58…
07-30 16:18:53	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	94	0¢	$0	0xa2dfe8…
07-30 15:57:35	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0x56f88d…
07-30 15:46:45	Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb3a39d…
07-30 14:32:12	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0x324721…
07-30 14:30:15	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	390	0¢	$0	0x11ae7c…
07-30 14:24:06	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	320	0¢	$0	0xef3ecc…
07-30 14:08:35	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x8d66c4…
07-30 13:51:12	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0x661c3f…
07-30 12:43:21	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	242	0¢	$0	0x281047…
07-30 06:29:12	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x70ce45…
07-30 01:45:05	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x57563a…
07-29 20:05:42	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa3b885…
07-29 20:04:56	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	372	0¢	$0	0xbdbc7d…
07-29 20:01:29	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0xf79987…
07-29 18:45:44	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	170	0¢	$0	0x07d48f…
07-29 18:38:18	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,163	0¢	$1	0xd24c4a…
07-29 17:17:23	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	126	0¢	$0	0x827031…
07-29 16:29:18	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x20928e…
07-29 16:29:08	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xafbfe5…
07-29 16:28:57	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x843484…
07-29 16:28:50	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1d28e4…
07-29 16:28:45	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe4c9ec…
07-29 16:28:39	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf668aa…
07-29 16:28:35	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9d3b53…
07-29 16:28:18	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7d3eff…
07-29 16:28:05	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9470cc…
07-29 16:28:02	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x23135e…
07-29 16:27:57	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfd6dc5…
07-29 16:18:12	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0xeead7e…
07-29 10:27:54	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	357	0¢	$0	0xfd9797…
07-29 09:40:54	Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x2e2dae…
07-29 09:32:39	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	2,050	0¢	$2	0x9ac27c…
07-28 13:29:38	will solana reach 160 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xb39e33…
07-27 19:17:24	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf1d443…
07-27 18:52:37	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$0	0x2c752f…
07-26 10:16:19	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x19465d…
07-25 17:26:55	will wti dip to 40 in july 2026 719 985	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xeaa406…
07-25 12:22:22	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,440	0¢	$1	0xb5a2de…
07-25 12:21:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	703	0¢	$1	0x369610…
07-25 08:39:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe40eab…
07-25 02:38:54	Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xafc33a…
07-24 23:25:40	Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x326de1…
07-24 15:33:27	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f72b9…
07-23 15:52:13	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x824b13…
07-23 15:41:01	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf3a691…
07-23 14:56:49	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,200	0¢	$1	0x979518…
07-23 08:37:30	Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	SELL	260	0¢	$1	0x7328d2…
07-23 03:17:00	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x02c239…
07-22 13:33:36	Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x582854…
07-22 07:16:27	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b7063…
07-21 17:08:37	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,920	0¢	$2	0x6f03f2…
07-21 14:45:55	Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x133976…
07-21 13:11:39	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4f6569…
07-21 12:34:13	Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x845a45…
07-21 07:03:37	Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	0¢	$0	0x3c06f2…
07-21 06:03:22	Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x87c787…
07-21 06:03:19	Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0xfabd32…
07-21 05:59:33	Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xaae9af…
07-21 05:57:09	Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x06d49b…
07-21 05:19:19	Will Pete Hegseth be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xcd3b2f…
07-21 05:19:16	Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xfa80fa…
07-21 05:19:13	Will Dan Caine be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x728af5…
07-21 03:18:54	Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	0¢	$1	0xb51dce…
07-21 01:07:55	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x46c733…
07-20 19:57:55	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x4752fb…
07-20 19:04:04	Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xeb8e2f…
07-20 19:03:42	Will João Roma win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcd6f7a…
07-20 17:06:40	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	735	0¢	$1	0x75b369…
07-20 17:01:31	Will João Roma win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb0c1ce…
07-20 17:01:31	Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$0	0x151b01…
07-20 16:45:16	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,903	0¢	$2	0x68b68f…
07-20 15:13:09	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	292	0¢	$0	0x9c6f11…
07-20 10:41:06	Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x751c61…
07-20 09:36:54	Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2102a0…
07-20 09:21:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	11,112	0¢	$22	0x2fc72a…
07-20 02:25:37	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x65ea9c…
07-19 23:37:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,098	0¢	$2	0x6ec910…
07-19 21:45:40	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x71c0a6…
07-19 18:20:03	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$1	0x1b390e…
07-19 14:48:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,524	0¢	$3	0x1ca8a5…
07-19 13:50:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	766	0¢	$2	0x62c937…
07-19 13:03:52	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	491	0¢	$0	0xce2913…
07-19 11:58:18	Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xfcfb73…
07-19 11:27:54	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3b2da…