Incomparable-Porpoise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

2,935

Trades

9,104

lifetime

Volume

$159.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 09-05 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 35% -$3,596

Other

5% 18% -$510

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	9	$1.1K	8,324	8,030	+294	No	+$771	05-22 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	7	$747	908	908	+0	No	+$173	06-09 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$618	7,044	5,923	+1,121	No	+$148	05-18 22:59
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 12pm et	4	$531	559	524	+35	Down	+$427	04-21 16:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	6	$494	7,505	4,914	+2,591	Yes	+$224	05-15 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC	6	$490	1,000	938	+62	Up	+$210	04-21 16:44
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	5	$475	4,138	3,857	+281	No	-$5	04-22 13:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	5	$460	891	633	+259	Up	+$220	05-13 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	3	$460	437	409	+27	Up	+$377	04-20 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 10:15 UTC	4	$455	366	348	+18	Up	+$253	04-22 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	4	$427	463	463	+0	Up	+$267	05-09 19:55
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 6pm et	6	$418	662	622	+39	Up	+$227	04-21 23:08
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 11am et	3	$412	363	342	+21	Up	+$293	04-24 17:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:35 UTC	2	$404	356	340	+16	Down	+$160	04-22 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$398	384	384	+0	No	+$128	07-28 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:05 UTC	4	$351	288	273	+15	Up	+$206	04-22 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	4	$347	321	321	+0	Down	+$287	05-14 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$345	306	288	+18	Up	+$243	04-26 15:30
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5am et	2	$333	369	369	+0	Down	+$313	07-28 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	10	$331	279	279	+0	Down	+$151	05-14 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	4	$330	289	272	+16	Down	+$226	04-22 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:05 UTC	8	$329	247	238	+9	Down	+$152	04-21 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$323	290	290	+0	Down	+$223	05-14 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$315	292	292	+0	Up	+$235	05-15 16:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$314	662	662	+0	Yes	+$264	05-14 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	8	$311	352	352	+0	Up	+$111	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	15	$309	485	373	+112	Down	+$96	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 21:25 UTC	4	$307	229	219	+10	Down	+$137	04-21 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	10	$305	507	507	+0	Down	+$173	05-21 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:55 UTC	4	$300	245	232	+13	Up	+$173	04-24 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 03:07:15	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2637f7…
09-05 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc96039…
09-05 03:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdbe149…
09-05 03:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0ec094…
09-05 03:02:57	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	36	91¢	$32	0xbbfcba…
09-05 03:02:27	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcec0a4…
09-05 03:02:27	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5dd58d…
09-05 02:57:48	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x205831…
09-05 02:55:58	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8eff60…
09-05 02:55:49	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x040c26…
09-05 02:55:24	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x60209e…
09-05 02:55:24	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5ccd9b…
09-05 02:55:24	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1351ee…
09-05 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc526d1…
09-05 02:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd7ac55…
09-05 02:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x89507c…
09-05 02:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x72dd5d…
09-05 02:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7821cc…
09-05 02:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xf79b0c…
09-05 02:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb1d992…
09-05 02:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x53d0a9…
09-05 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x391dfd…
09-05 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x126a78…
09-05 02:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcc0549…
09-05 02:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	115	25¢	$29	0x5e7bfa…
09-05 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xda9419…
09-05 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x354326…
09-05 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd6e4a3…
09-05 02:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc94fb3…
09-05 02:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x60a8cd…
09-05 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x65cafc…
09-05 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x03e314…
09-05 02:29:15	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xee961e…
09-05 02:28:49	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0x80e67a…
09-05 02:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x3bf5a2…
09-05 02:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	105	69¢	$73	0x8ac58b…
09-05 02:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x6eacfb…
09-05 02:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x85be84…
09-05 02:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x68c6cc…
09-05 02:22:49	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5095a6…
09-05 02:22:49	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0c3ead…
09-05 02:21:54	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	181	60¢	$108	0x3b4327…
09-05 02:21:19	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x24f31d…
09-05 02:21:18	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x43c6e3…
09-05 02:21:18	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x1b92c8…
09-05 02:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	66	70¢	$46	0x8e8316…
09-05 02:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x4ddc71…
09-05 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa7e090…
09-05 02:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xd9b208…
09-05 02:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9c5b14…
09-05 02:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x070f2a…
09-05 02:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf2532d…
09-05 02:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc3c7f3…
09-05 02:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1a9d09…
09-05 02:01:10	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe8e96e…
09-05 02:01:10	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc68cb4…
09-05 02:01:04	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3e0878…
09-04 06:54:39	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x9b5955…
09-04 06:50:22	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf6cc06…
09-04 06:50:21	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe6e03e…
09-04 06:50:21	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x8a912f…
09-04 06:50:19	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x350b8d…
09-04 06:47:12	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x05451b…
09-04 06:47:00	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaed2d4…
09-04 06:46:58	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xecdb25…
09-04 06:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x66b014…
09-04 06:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x103776…
09-04 06:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	93	77¢	$71	0x25a2df…
09-04 06:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x90bb72…
09-04 06:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xb2e198…
09-04 06:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf2b57a…
09-04 06:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x825ef1…
09-04 06:31:28	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xad7655…
09-04 06:31:28	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x2189ed…
09-04 06:31:28	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x07685b…
09-04 06:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x407fe2…
09-04 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x173c7c…
09-04 06:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa673df…
09-04 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x923d63…
09-04 06:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x630b47…
09-04 06:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xac5e32…
09-04 06:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa48083…
09-04 06:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa0365d…
09-04 06:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf726e3…
09-04 06:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd987b5…
09-04 06:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x6a4e60…
09-04 06:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3c4c98…
09-04 06:18:31	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xff3576…
09-04 06:18:31	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd741a6…
09-04 06:18:30	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x670e94…
09-04 06:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc2713a…
09-04 06:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2f1ab9…
09-04 06:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x21f3b3…
09-04 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	93	82¢	$76	0x7351b4…
09-04 06:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x30510a…
09-04 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc82c23…
09-04 06:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x741a4f…
09-04 06:03:43	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	67	74¢	$50	0x398eb8…
09-04 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8ceb4b…
09-04 06:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x9bab4d…