Realized P&L
-$1.81K
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
15,108
Trades
39,711
lifetime
Volume
$421.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$56
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 14:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 311 days
Categories
Other
62% 55% -$935
Crypto
35% 86% -$1,071
Politics
2% 80% +$158
Sports
0% 69% +$36
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 575 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +53 $22 42¢ $22 $0 11-09 04:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$10 90¢ $-18 -$8 05-02 15:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-12 04:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +75 $30 5¢ $4 -$26 11-09 03:40
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,200 -$11 0¢ $-3 +$8 06-12 05:26
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 -$5 3¢ $-3 +$2 07-05 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-12 00:26
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -130 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-05 16:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -13 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-12 00:25
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +11 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-21 16:40
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-12 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +11 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 11-09 15:49