Flat-Lever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

40% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No		+5	$1	23¢	$1	+$0	05-05 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-04 20:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-05 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	24	+24	open	—	05-04 20:01
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	05-04 20:09
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	1	$1	3	+3	No	$-1	05-04 20:09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa826df…
05-05 14:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc9ebbd…
05-05 06:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef7f59…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xded98d…
05-05 03:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56b8a5…
05-05 01:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1edc2e…
05-05 01:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x90243c…
05-04 20:09:42	Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9d8814…
05-04 20:09:38	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x41d59a…
05-04 20:03:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf22575…
05-04 20:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe12593…
05-04 20:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc688ad…
05-04 20:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e2c6f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	4	$3.04K	79	05-05 14:37
Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676	3	$4.18K	7	05-05 15:59
Glamorous-Motel 0x2d4c…2e02	3	$2.86K	5	05-05 15:27
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	3	$998	29	05-05 14:49
Standard-Verification 0x689a…779e	3	$917	4	05-05 18:26
Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe	3	$678	8	05-05 15:42