Qualified-Anarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$5.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-30 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

72% 62% $-16

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	33	$1.0K	1,219	1,219	+0	open	—	04-20 12:28
tsla up or down on april 23 2026	20	$516	355	352	+3	open	—	04-23 19:41
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	12	$499	269	268	+1	open	—	04-22 13:27
spy closes above 705 on april 20 2026	5	$227	121	120	+1	open	—	04-20 20:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	7	$219	124	123	+1	open	—	04-24 13:24
spy closes above 705 on april 22 2026	2	$212	113	112	+1	open	—	04-22 20:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	19	$206	614	614	+0	open	—	04-20 12:06
amzn up or down on april 21 2026	4	$205	111	111	+0	open	—	04-21 22:12
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$202	117	117	+0	open	—	04-20 18:54
spx up or down on april 22 2026	2	$202	130	129	+1	open	—	04-22 04:18
Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-20 20:57
tsla up or down on april 22 2026	3	$171	97	96	+1	open	—	04-22 20:06
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	2	$104	60	59	+0	open	—	04-21 12:55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-24 20:04
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29?	2	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 19:36
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	6	$99	56	55	+0	open	—	04-27 20:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	5	$95	108	108	+0	open	—	04-29 16:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	7	$87	151	151	+0	open	—	04-20 12:29
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	4	$79	47	47	+0	open	—	04-23 12:35
spy closes above 710 on april 21 2026	2	$68	98	96	+2	open	—	04-21 15:56
spy up or down on april 21 2026	2	$66	75	74	+1	open	—	04-21 15:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	5	$61	65	65	+0	open	—	04-29 16:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-24 20:03
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 22:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$45	135	135	+0	open	—	04-20 12:07
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 03:33
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$41	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 15:31
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 20:03
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 20:39
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$39	25	24	+0	open	—	04-27 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x74b97c…
05-30 13:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1b2247…
05-30 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xb39b7c…
05-30 13:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa80a7c…
05-30 13:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x46b6d3…
05-30 13:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc73ba5…
05-30 13:28:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x7df2b7…
05-28 18:56:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x06dea7…
05-13 12:38:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xfe1ab8…
05-13 08:15:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5c5c57…
05-12 21:23:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c31f0…
05-12 20:22:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c8508…
05-12 20:19:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd1b996…
05-12 15:27:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x605d6a…
05-12 13:38:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x162f2c…
05-12 10:36:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x48f436…
05-08 18:26:58	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x104aa9…
05-07 22:58:46	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x3d0f98…
05-07 22:42:35	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8fc9d7…
05-07 22:40:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x41862b…
05-07 17:39:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e98e6…
05-07 17:34:23	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xc3d754…
05-07 16:40:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xa11bf3…
05-07 16:39:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xd20367…
05-07 16:39:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x79a469…
05-07 13:30:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x052ac9…
05-07 08:06:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc54f46…
05-07 08:05:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x43e60d…
05-07 08:04:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4dcacf…
05-07 08:04:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8121ef…
05-06 20:39:22	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x401433…
05-06 17:35:56	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0x42588d…
05-06 15:33:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2caa32…
05-06 15:33:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcc7435…
05-06 09:19:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xdb8705…
05-06 09:18:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x80affa…
05-06 09:18:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa1fb9b…
05-06 09:17:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0c4291…
05-05 19:14:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa016cb…
05-05 11:25:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x72ad48…
05-05 08:15:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x13e23c…
05-04 20:04:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xced673…
05-04 20:04:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1352bb…
05-04 16:30:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x751f12…
05-04 16:21:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xccb1ef…
05-04 15:36:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9f1dc8…
05-04 13:37:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x617785…
05-01 20:45:08	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xffb6f6…
05-01 19:34:36	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0a7a3b…
05-01 19:30:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9e32d7…
05-01 16:58:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xcd9228…
05-01 16:58:06	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x149231…
05-01 06:21:26	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xe3542d…
04-30 22:10:24	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9f393b…
04-30 20:51:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1ef78…
04-30 15:32:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6f6a49…
04-30 15:31:34	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	49	9¢	$4	0x9778c2…
04-30 03:34:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xfa9280…
04-30 03:33:14	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x606e0e…
04-29 22:25:40	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xee2988…
04-29 22:23:58	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xe7c74e…
04-29 20:25:28	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x399f2c…
04-29 20:23:54	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa707a1…
04-29 19:36:44	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	56	89¢	$49	0xf17375…
04-29 17:18:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xfe4f5e…
04-29 16:58:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	108	29¢	$31	0xe56754…
04-29 16:58:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	65	33¢	$21	0xb3842d…
04-29 14:41:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x7d729b…
04-29 14:40:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x34652e…
04-29 13:43:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f9dee…
04-29 13:42:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xbf8f1b…
04-29 13:42:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x64196b…
04-29 13:23:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xecd1f7…
04-29 13:21:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd988c2…
04-29 13:19:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x50c576…
04-29 06:12:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x99bfe8…
04-29 05:02:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x74e026…
04-29 02:37:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1ec10f…
04-29 02:35:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcb28cd…
04-28 16:44:28	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xd70cb3…
04-28 15:48:52	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5b8ca3…
04-28 15:43:26	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x07f4bd…
04-28 14:00:40	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xef6023…
04-28 13:59:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xf6c7be…
04-28 12:49:44	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa2eb8c…
04-28 10:43:46	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3e4d09…
04-28 10:42:30	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf0873a…
04-27 20:07:08	QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xee823e…
04-27 20:06:26	Meta (META) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc2a23a…
04-27 20:06:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x835435…
04-27 19:46:02	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe6f257…
04-27 19:45:38	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x901ed0…
04-27 19:40:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x71df60…
04-27 19:39:50	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xac0604…
04-27 19:39:28	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xe3cb91…
04-27 19:37:46	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5f63f6…
04-27 19:36:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xe06e88…
04-27 19:34:06	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x13381d…
04-27 15:44:40	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9fad62…
04-27 15:44:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xddc4bc…