Kaleidoscopic-Warming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

981

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-09 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$2

Crypto

29% 100% +$0

Politics

12% 100% +$1

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	04-02 12:31
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	2	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	01-24 00:00
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	3	$111	124	0	+124	open	—	03-17 11:36
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 12:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-15 22:48
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 3	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 20:54
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-08 10:20
wti up or down on august 7 2026	1	$89	90	0	+90	open	—	08-07 20:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$80	82	0	+82	Down	+$2	05-12 11:24
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	2	$63	65	0	+65	open	—	04-04 16:11
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	03-13 18:20
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	03-18 20:21
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	04-04 15:59
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	2	$56	38	38	+0	open	—	02-19 12:35
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$56	43	38	+5	open	—	01-17 14:13
will bitcoin reach 67k on august 5	2	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	08-05 19:44
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$54	39	39	+0	open	—	01-15 14:02
nothing ever happens khamenei	3	$53	133	26	+107	open	—	02-18 19:35
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-07 11:57
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 15:04
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	3	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	07-17 21:27
xagusd up or down on july 6 2026	2	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	07-06 20:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$48	30	25	+5	open	—	01-29 11:37
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	03-31 22:58
will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	2	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	08-01 14:56
will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-29 20:36
will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 7	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	08-07 20:46
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 24	2	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	07-24 21:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	02-04 20:21
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-10 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:44:48	spy closes above 765 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2b2e9b…
08-10 16:10:31	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa7f79…
08-10 14:30:21	wti up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa57311…
08-10 14:21:09	bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x037882…
08-10 14:20:04	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9a54f6…
08-09 15:35:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d9ee4…
08-09 15:33:31	will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x416bc7…
08-09 15:31:18	bra pal int 2026 08 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3b3fe9…
08-09 15:30:36	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x309db1…
08-09 15:01:58	will bitcoin dip to 64k on august 9	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x80cba2…
08-09 15:01:22	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 9	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61d83d…
08-07 22:29:16	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7e6684…
08-07 22:28:54	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xf259e0…
08-07 20:46:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 7	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc4b778…
08-07 20:45:15	wti up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0xfe1922…
08-07 19:01:43	amzn close above 270 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x73c607…
08-07 19:01:09	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x519503…
08-07 18:29:12	tsla up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9336d0…
08-07 18:05:51	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x184c73…
08-07 17:49:06	spy closes above 765 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3135d5…
08-07 17:48:36	wti closes above 76 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x8ba06b…
08-07 17:47:01	amzn above 280 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x440523…
08-07 17:46:19	tsla up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a742d…
08-07 17:45:58	nvda up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x0e5a93…
08-05 19:54:21	wti closes above 72 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4feb33…
08-05 19:44:59	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 5	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x414117…
08-05 19:42:41	wti closes above 77 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x9953cb…
08-05 19:41:56	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x712ff1…
08-05 19:41:24	amzn up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xea1c65…
08-05 16:43:48	tsla up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4c959d…
08-05 16:17:32	wti closes above 79 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9d88ff…
08-05 16:16:29	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 5	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x77651b…
08-05 15:23:59	spy closes above 765 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x0fcac8…
08-05 14:21:42	bitcoin above 64k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9a216a…
08-05 14:20:11	spy closes above 755 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x4f51db…
08-05 13:34:00	bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd69470…
08-04 21:26:39	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 4	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe2ad18…
08-04 21:26:21	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 4	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7d7592…
08-04 18:40:50	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x554d16…
08-04 18:39:54	msft up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf2a389…
08-04 18:39:39	amzn up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e0981…
08-04 18:38:18	wti closes above 79 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfa8af5…
08-04 16:50:42	ng up or down on august 4 2026	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xe70790…
08-04 16:50:26	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 4	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xd8bcbb…
08-04 13:19:06	bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xacde22…
08-04 13:18:51	bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd06dd0…
08-04 13:18:12	wti closes above 82 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x1a3607…
08-04 13:08:44	spx opens up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb8cf9c…
08-03 20:52:51	will ethereum dip to 1750 on august 3	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4954b9…
08-03 20:52:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 3	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x0d7d00…
08-03 20:51:09	xagusd up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x234faa…
08-01 14:56:41	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xcb9182…
08-01 14:45:33	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xc90121…
08-01 14:36:06	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x3ecb83…
08-01 14:34:39	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x57b281…
07-31 21:36:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3fbabf…
07-31 21:34:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe1deb9…
07-31 19:51:57	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x05907d…
07-31 16:59:09	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x972257…
07-31 16:55:59	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc450ad…
07-31 16:55:03	xauusd up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5b2c46…
07-31 16:54:50	msft up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x905758…
07-31 16:54:36	wti closes above 82 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71bc9b…
07-31 16:54:00	spy closes above 730 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48fefc…
07-31 16:53:23	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x180746…
07-31 14:52:05	solana up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x91da84…
07-31 14:14:36	aapl up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c99df…
07-31 14:13:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x347de3…
07-31 14:13:02	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfca666…
07-31 14:12:24	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaaaa6b…
07-31 12:18:30	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd9bb04…
07-31 12:18:17	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x86db24…
07-30 23:53:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf93102…
07-30 23:52:59	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x799077…
07-30 23:06:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f2486…
07-30 21:05:47	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb82818…
07-30 21:04:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x83690d…
07-30 21:03:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbf2ee…
07-30 21:03:02	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbceb43…
07-30 21:00:50	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 30	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c1bcc…
07-30 20:59:44	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1dec6d…
07-29 15:58:45	spy closes above 720 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa519bb…
07-29 15:50:18	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 29	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x5fb137…
07-29 15:49:48	spy closes above 745 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d2b71…
07-29 15:49:26	spy closes above 720 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x382222…
07-28 16:57:56	xauusd up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4f5473…
07-28 16:57:35	ng up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2f3445…
07-28 15:12:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xd46e74…
07-28 15:11:55	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5a680…
07-28 14:57:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd4c785…
07-28 13:55:29	xrp up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x087ec3…
07-28 13:19:19	spy closes above 750 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x153871…
07-28 13:19:04	ethereum above 1800 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0aae09…
07-28 13:16:58	bitcoin up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9d5196…
07-28 13:16:38	wti closes above 85 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a5552…
07-28 13:16:20	solana up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1cb105…
07-27 21:56:01	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 27	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98242d…
07-27 21:55:48	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 27	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17826a…
07-27 21:39:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef6a88…
07-27 18:07:46	abnb up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb59616…