Kaleidoscopic-Warming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$4.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$2

Politics

19% 100% +$1

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 100% +$1

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+11	$10	86¢	$10	$-0	06-03 14:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	04-02 12:31
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	2	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	01-24 00:00
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	3	$111	124	0	+124	open	—	03-17 11:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-15 22:48
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 12:32
will bitcoin reach 70k on june 3	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-03 20:54
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-08 10:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	1	$80	82	0	+82	Down	+$2	05-12 11:24
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	2	$63	65	0	+65	open	—	04-04 16:11
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	03-13 18:20
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	1	$61	62	0	+62	open	—	03-18 20:21
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	04-04 15:59
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	2	$56	38	38	+0	open	—	02-19 12:35
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$56	43	38	+5	open	—	01-17 14:13
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$54	39	39	+0	open	—	01-15 14:02
nothing ever happens khamenei	3	$53	133	26	+107	open	—	02-18 19:35
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-07 11:57
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 15:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$48	30	25	+5	open	—	01-29 11:37
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	03-31 22:58
will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-29 20:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	02-04 20:21
lal rea gir 2026 04 10 gir	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-10 20:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$41	13	33	-20	open	—	01-28 12:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	01-21 23:18
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-12 14:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$33	35	19	+16	open	—	01-24 19:44
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	3	$30	28	16	+12	open	—	04-07 20:05
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 lee	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-05 17:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	05-25 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:24:37	will xrp reach 1pt25 on june 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1c318…
06-09 23:18:52	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x215110…
06-09 23:18:18	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 9	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbd4372…
06-08 13:00:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x798ed0…
06-08 12:32:57	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc08bc9…
06-05 22:12:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd2997…
06-05 22:10:10	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 5	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84585d…
06-05 22:09:48	will openai file for an ipo by june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x86f3cf…
06-05 16:34:25	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f0e8e…
06-05 16:28:30	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 5	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb672b9…
06-04 20:03:00	will xrp reach 1pt25 on june 4	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbc0152…
06-04 20:02:34	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8ba7f…
06-04 20:02:07	xagusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c6fed…
06-04 20:01:10	will solana reach 75 on june 4	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0588f9…
06-04 20:00:46	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3eff…
06-04 19:59:24	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 4	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7efd5f…
06-04 19:59:04	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 4	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x593b0b…
06-03 21:01:39	will ethereum reach 1900 on june 3	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa6afe…
06-03 21:01:01	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 3	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1b578…
06-03 20:54:57	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 3	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbdf7b4…
06-03 20:39:21	will solana reach 80 on june 3	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x345e0d…
06-03 20:36:51	xauusd up or down on june 3 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x933b99…
06-03 14:24:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9b873d…
06-02 23:42:20	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x068b55…
06-02 17:35:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1f60a5…
06-02 17:00:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x34dc6a…
05-30 09:43:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x09575b…
05-25 18:03:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7a4811…
05-24 20:54:05	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5f124c…
05-24 13:13:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x197aae…
05-24 12:49:54	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe762d0…
05-24 11:27:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x07a4b0…
05-23 18:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7ddbd6…
05-23 12:30:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3e7be…
05-22 22:55:29	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe156b1…
05-22 10:00:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x16a495…
05-22 09:50:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd0e53e…
05-22 09:48:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe6657…
05-22 09:42:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa014df…
05-22 09:30:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa3b98a…
05-20 19:49:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4a0748…
05-20 16:36:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb63b57…
05-20 15:56:24	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x60c5a7…
05-19 20:51:30	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x41dfbe…
05-19 17:09:41	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa85ab3…
05-19 17:06:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe8048e…
05-19 12:40:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xafaae0…
05-19 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5986ef…
05-19 12:34:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4a007a…
05-19 12:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x153fc9…
05-19 12:32:43	Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61a9c8…
05-19 12:32:24	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x143645…
05-18 21:29:29	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x516a05…
05-18 21:29:08	Will Vitor Roque be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec82aa…
05-18 16:00:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x180c29…
05-17 15:04:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda30ee…
05-15 22:48:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x43c626…
05-15 21:01:30	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd136d0…
05-14 15:07:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb3f579…
05-12 22:26:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x942c6f…
05-12 22:15:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x676339…
05-12 21:56:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6da683…
05-12 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb14da8…
05-12 21:53:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41625f…
05-12 11:24:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x715415…
05-08 18:01:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x7ab262…
05-07 22:01:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x494ace…
05-07 22:00:52	Will Solana reach $95 on May 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b826a…
05-07 19:19:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5921fa…
05-07 18:20:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x86bbad…
05-07 11:27:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x771094…
05-06 08:51:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x2b6b95…
05-04 13:19:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x579b43…
05-03 18:14:24	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x21c34a…
05-02 12:31:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bed78…
05-01 16:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc33bf…
05-01 16:22:30	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdae298…
05-01 16:22:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2f1fb2…
05-01 16:20:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x994660…
05-01 16:20:30	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a9974…
05-01 12:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5b5c37…
05-01 11:23:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e71a2…
05-01 00:21:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53068d…
05-01 00:20:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc930b…
05-01 00:19:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x040a63…
05-01 00:19:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x875c34…
04-30 11:18:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0ee7ce…
04-30 11:15:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2db76…
04-25 10:57:28	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x0f2e67…
04-25 10:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xbbd9f1…
04-24 11:11:20	will beauty and a beat justin bieber nicki minaj be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3696e7…
04-23 23:18:10	will solana reach 90 on april 23	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3a3d9f…
04-23 23:17:52	will ethereum reach 2450 on april 23	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa121cd…
04-23 23:17:00	will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7507cc…
04-23 11:34:50	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x12787f…
04-22 19:36:18	xauusd up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x88a0d4…
04-22 19:32:44	will ethereum dip to 2350 on april 22	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0df934…
04-22 19:32:12	wti up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa08050…
04-22 15:22:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfc3687…
04-21 21:20:12	highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c5521…