Realized P&L
+$184
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
1,759
Trades
2,248
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$282
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 17:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 256 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 96% +$101
Other
35% 89% +$90
Politics
8% 84% +$11
Sports
7% 81% -$3
Tech
1% 85% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +40 $30 96¢ $39 +$9 10-17 20:55
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +37 $35 99¢ $36 +$2 09-19 19:06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +24 $20 100¢ $24 +$4 06-28 13:47
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +23 $14 100¢ $23 +$9 07-07 22:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +19 $16 99¢ $18 +$2 10-17 17:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $18 78¢ $18 +$0 10-22 15:31
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 09-19 19:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 06-03 14:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-03 08:26
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-02 21:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $0 10-03 08:27
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +11 $10 84¢ $9 -$1 09-20 20:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 09-23 13:01
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +11 $10 77¢ $9 -$1 09-13 21:23
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 -$1 09-20 11:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -7 -$6 96¢ $-7 -$1 05-19 12:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 09-22 00:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 07-31 21:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-14 00:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-08 11:58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$0 10-14 00:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -9 -$2 15¢ $-1 +$0 09-19 20:45