Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
623
Trades
1,675
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$2
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 221 days
Categories
Other
69% 20% -$42
Sports
14% 18% -$21
Politics
10% 18% +$48
Crypto
7% 15% -$7
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +10 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 10-28 04:05
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +5 $0 9¢ $0 +$0 09-30 13:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 05-02 03:30
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -119 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-07 18:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:14
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 09:57
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-07 11:03
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-26 13:58
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-13 09:01
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-19 13:51
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-24 00:57
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 09:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-28 21:41