Impossible-Pamphlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,341

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-30 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

68% 30% $-30

Sports

15% 25% $-0

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+10	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-21 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	4	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	05-03 08:46
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	18	$42	490	140	+350	open	—	05-03 20:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$41	40	40	+0	open	—	04-08 01:02
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner	4	$37	50	45	+5	open	—	04-30 16:40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	4	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 19:15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	3	$30	25	20	+5	open	—	04-30 17:57
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	7	$25	30	30	+0	Ultra Prime	$-2	05-08 10:54
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	10	$21	1,650	0	+1,650	T1	$-21	05-08 08:31
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	10	$21	253	80	+173	Gen.G	+$0	05-06 09:22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	6	$20	40	30	+10	open	—	05-03 18:31
nba uta cle 2026 01 12	5	$19	30	20	+10	open	—	01-13 03:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	29	$18	250	260	-10	open	—	04-30 16:50
bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	20	$16	3,068	1,797	+1,271	open	—	04-23 15:07
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$16	64	50	+14	open	—	05-02 13:25
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$15	51	51	+0	open	—	05-02 09:06
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	4	$14	100	70	+30	open	—	05-04 13:34
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	2	$14	10	10	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$5	05-07 14:07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	15	$13	86	66	+20	open	—	04-30 20:05
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$13	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$1	05-09 10:28
nba uta chi 2026 01 14	7	$12	32	30	+2	open	—	01-15 03:25
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	5	$12	200	150	+50	open	—	04-02 12:32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	8	$12	70	70	+0	Dplus KIA	+$2	05-05 11:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 01:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$11	150	50	+100	open	—	05-01 19:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	11	$10	114	103	+11	open	—	04-30 19:18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 15:14
will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	3	$9	17	6	+10	open	—	03-06 11:49
spx up or down on january 7 2026	5	$8	19	19	+0	open	—	01-07 17:19
Magic vs. Pistons	11	$8	121	61	+60	open	—	05-03 21:23
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	5	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	05-03 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:42:46	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x00bc16…
06-29 16:01:31	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0b4428…
06-25 09:42:13	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0378e0…
06-24 13:29:59	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x498141…
06-23 18:21:05	spx up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x975954…
06-23 12:01:02	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x82c7a0…
06-21 19:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xea8e29…
06-20 13:57:22	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x13a01d…
06-18 17:00:22	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7ac490…
06-18 12:03:19	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7c5edf…
06-17 16:00:31	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xff77a9…
06-17 15:57:41	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x552410…
06-17 13:26:34	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ae3cf…
06-17 04:24:20	Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c8ae9…
06-16 13:25:20	bitcoin up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb0c369…
06-15 17:22:15	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x823e6b…
06-15 13:17:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0cd404…
06-15 12:42:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xf63bae…
06-15 07:24:15	bitcoin up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1348a3…
06-15 05:42:55	spx opens up or down on june 15 2026	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x07679e…
06-12 13:12:09	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8a08a9…
06-12 13:11:58	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x23da1f…
06-11 12:37:34	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x28f300…
06-11 12:33:19	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x58cea1…
06-09 13:49:27	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x61860c…
06-08 13:45:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b9df2…
06-07 12:40:18	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5e66a2…
06-07 12:39:37	bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa1b458…
06-07 02:32:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4f2748…
06-06 11:42:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd5cb06…
06-05 15:36:33	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7d522…
06-05 15:22:24	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb6328b…
06-04 16:57:12	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x58fae0…
06-04 14:48:34	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xbd3970…
06-04 14:18:51	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x49adf6…
06-04 14:18:22	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x3b0ac3…
06-04 14:17:45	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xcf1754…
06-04 14:17:28	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd12228…
06-04 14:11:33	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x37e73e…
06-04 14:11:27	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x1835f8…
06-02 17:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x535d03…
06-01 12:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf618f5…
05-29 02:35:29	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8d26af…
05-29 02:33:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa15d99…
05-28 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	277	0¢	$1	0xdac4f6…
05-28 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x203db1…
05-28 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa7bf24…
05-28 08:48:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x58a6fa…
05-28 06:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xcba86f…
05-28 06:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf4273a…
05-28 06:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb7b9a7…
05-28 06:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xf98ce1…
05-27 20:07:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd0f2b8…
05-27 17:30:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe13208…
05-27 13:23:07	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3c4008…
05-27 13:11:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x1afbea…
05-27 13:09:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xba4799…
05-27 13:09:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x5d1361…
05-27 12:00:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdf843b…
05-26 18:01:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x40ee64…
05-26 17:57:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd8b7fe…
05-26 17:34:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5824ab…
05-26 13:41:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x5a318f…
05-26 12:59:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x68fbe4…
05-26 11:31:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xce2e5d…
05-26 07:42:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd24ab4…
05-26 06:10:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x765e08…
05-25 22:07:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5f9370…
05-25 16:46:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc7d430…
05-25 06:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x45f4ea…
05-25 04:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x276b32…
05-24 18:20:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x2e0866…
05-24 16:46:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x27c168…
05-24 12:11:39	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x03e2a0…
05-24 12:11:31	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5f89a3…
05-24 04:13:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x198a93…
05-24 04:12:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x712916…
05-24 01:45:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd23468…
05-22 18:26:44	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x2820c2…
05-22 18:09:18	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa0f7e0…
05-22 08:22:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe9c606…
05-22 07:13:41	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe5fca1…
05-21 22:17:41	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x11e2b2…
05-21 21:01:20	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc3adc8…
05-21 17:57:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x4c8923…
05-21 17:30:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x626249…
05-21 16:25:14	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe8d6aa…
05-21 15:09:47	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x79acd0…
05-21 14:28:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x7b0758…
05-21 12:50:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9e5b52…
05-21 12:44:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe7b8fc…
05-20 16:34:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x3f35a1…
05-20 15:53:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7bc799…
05-20 10:32:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xefb575…
05-19 15:21:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd82375…
05-19 15:16:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd07d9f…
05-18 17:44:33	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3bbfe2…
05-18 13:30:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x82c02d…
05-18 12:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x931f7b…
05-18 09:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd98710…