Gargantuan-Operation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

9,893

Trades

104,491

lifetime

Volume

$330.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-26 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 26% -$22,488

Other

2% 13% -$768

Politics

2% 18% -$1,848

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 2116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	102	$3.4K	124,696	110,748	+13,948	No	-$1,718	06-30 11:41
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9am et	25	$1.5K	1,565	1,565	+0	Up	+$1,409	07-17 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	38	$990	1,078	1,013	+65	Up	+$576	05-16 00:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:30 UTC	37	$892	1,548	1,448	+100	Down	-$28	06-15 02:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	65	$861	5,244	4,659	+585	Down	+$31	05-12 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	39	$840	1,322	1,138	+184	Up	+$314	05-18 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	14	$713	1,374	1,091	+283	Up	+$259	05-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$689	605	605	+0	Down	+$509	05-14 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	43	$683	1,125	1,125	+0	Down	+$333	05-14 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$649	1,062	1,062	+0	Down	+$637	10-10 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	40	$641	2,565	1,079	+1,486	Up	+$37	05-18 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	23	$628	831	631	+200	Up	+$183	05-15 23:25
israel closes its airspace by august 15	5	$616	474	474	+0	No	-$14	07-20 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	56	$602	1,495	1,081	+414	Down	+$46	05-18 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:55 UTC	34	$596	740	599	+142	Down	+$59	06-14 23:59
bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 11am et	104	$583	1,286	1,054	+232	Down	+$52	07-19 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	120	$562	1,257	777	+480	Down	+$39	06-14 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	40	$549	805	677	+128	Up	+$6	05-15 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	23	$548	787	629	+159	Down	+$103	05-16 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	16	$542	1,768	1,268	+500	Up	+$250	05-12 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:00 UTC	97	$533	1,077	1,077	+0	Down	+$26	06-16 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	45	$529	1,422	612	+810	Up	+$50	05-19 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	30	$527	568	568	+0	Down	+$240	05-21 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	35	$524	2,214	2,091	+123	Down	-$215	05-15 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	71	$519	781	600	+181	Down	+$217	05-19 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	30	$506	589	468	+121	Down	+$80	05-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	18	$490	1,091	691	+400	Up	+$114	05-14 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	21	$483	972	649	+323	Down	-$23	05-19 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	28	$474	3,027	527	+2,500	Down	+$125	05-21 08:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	14	$471	1,036	1,036	+0	Up	+$313	05-13 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30472c…
10-24 19:38:53	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc597ab…
10-24 19:38:51	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xaf7e10…
10-24 19:33:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x86d1b8…
10-24 19:30:36	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdc8bb9…
10-24 19:30:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9cdd2f…
10-24 19:29:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x64c71e…
10-24 19:29:17	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x202968…
10-24 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x755cd6…
10-24 19:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x944d66…
10-24 19:28:14	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xb48b44…
10-24 19:28:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfa1b37…
10-24 19:27:20	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x618537…
10-24 19:26:33	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xc4ea88…
10-24 19:26:24	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa0af2e…
10-24 19:25:21	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5356d1…
10-24 19:24:42	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xfb5c55…
10-24 19:23:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x130857…
10-24 19:21:33	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc6ac91…
10-24 19:21:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x1eecf4…
10-24 19:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb81352…
10-24 19:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb44988…
10-24 19:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x372c21…
10-24 19:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3aff78…
10-24 19:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2c7f00…
10-24 19:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x28ad7d…
10-24 19:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x698a18…
10-24 19:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb6984…
10-24 19:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc958a8…
10-24 19:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x832cbd…
10-24 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5d806f…
10-24 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xcd46b6…
10-24 19:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb939fe…
10-24 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb36ceb…
10-24 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4ffb52…
10-24 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x35a831…
10-24 16:58:35	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x34bda6…
10-24 12:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xda74e9…
10-24 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc705c9…
10-24 08:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x41a7e5…
10-24 08:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe097ae…
10-24 08:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x87b83f…
10-24 08:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7e3706…
10-24 08:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd506e0…
10-24 08:28:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x56087f…
10-24 08:28:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x32efb2…
10-24 08:28:24	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x931dd2…
10-24 08:28:23	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf089c8…
10-24 08:24:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbc9507…
10-24 08:24:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa269dd…
10-24 08:24:21	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2cfe90…
10-24 08:18:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x953d54…
10-24 07:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x46917d…
10-24 06:59:45	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x82d541…
10-24 06:59:23	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x4e23db…
10-24 06:59:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x97a8f1…
10-24 06:58:09	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x65d3b9…
10-24 06:57:20	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xd7ea69…
10-24 06:57:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xae2b6b…
10-24 06:57:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x2f578f…
10-24 06:56:11	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xff8d27…
10-24 06:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x6f3aa2…
10-24 06:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x734cf5…
10-24 06:55:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0a0efa…
10-24 06:54:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcf68df…
10-24 06:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x2e764f…
10-24 06:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x16394a…
10-24 06:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x2e4b42…
10-24 06:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3515a9…
10-24 06:47:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xdfd559…
10-24 06:47:03	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3bb197…
10-24 06:46:33	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe59e2d…
10-23 20:01:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x4fd0d7…
10-23 20:01:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0xb6a960…
10-23 20:00:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4ce596…
10-23 19:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xa793d4…
10-23 19:59:35	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x5800dd…
10-23 19:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x0009ff…
10-23 19:58:33	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7dc576…
10-23 19:58:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xfa1077…
10-23 19:58:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x11c744…
10-23 19:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8c351…
10-23 19:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7b5f41…
10-23 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x457cb9…
10-23 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x23dc43…
10-23 19:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6b5964…
10-23 19:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x4c8d6e…
10-23 19:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa02095…
10-23 19:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c70b1…
10-23 19:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xdeaba2…
10-23 19:57:15	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x8e5ab2…
10-23 19:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xcbfb7d…
10-23 19:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x015fbd…
10-23 19:57:12	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xe0d87e…
10-23 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x7ee54f…
10-23 19:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7beb32…
10-23 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xd77564…
10-23 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x947a4f…
10-23 19:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7deace…
10-23 19:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0e9206…