Gargantuan-Operation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

159

Trades

32,983

lifetime

Volume

$167.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-10 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 27% $-1,588

Other

2% 50% +$312

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 2473 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	102	$3.4K	124,696	110,748	+13,948	open	—	06-30 11:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	65	$861	5,244	4,659	+585	Down	+$31	05-12 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	39	$840	1,322	1,138	+184	open	—	05-18 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	29	$828	443	1,013	-569	open	—	05-16 00:05
btc updown 15m 1781490600	28	$748	1,167	1,172	-5	open	—	06-15 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	14	$713	1,374	1,091	+283	Up	+$259	05-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$689	605	605	+0	Down	+$509	05-14 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	43	$683	1,125	1,125	+0	Down	+$333	05-14 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	40	$641	2,565	1,079	+1,486	open	—	05-18 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	23	$628	831	631	+200	open	—	05-15 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	56	$602	1,495	1,081	+414	open	—	05-18 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	40	$549	805	677	+128	open	—	05-15 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	23	$548	787	629	+159	open	—	05-16 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	16	$542	1,768	1,268	+500	Up	+$250	05-12 14:09
btc updown 15m 1781607600	97	$533	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	06-16 11:15
btc updown 5m 1781481300	28	$531	574	574	+0	open	—	06-14 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	45	$529	1,422	612	+810	open	—	05-19 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	30	$527	568	568	+0	open	—	05-21 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	35	$524	2,214	2,091	+123	open	—	05-15 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	71	$519	781	600	+181	open	—	05-19 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	30	$506	589	468	+121	open	—	05-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	18	$490	1,091	691	+400	open	—	05-14 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	21	$483	972	649	+323	open	—	05-19 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	28	$474	3,027	527	+2,500	open	—	05-21 08:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	14	$471	1,036	1,036	+0	Up	+$313	05-13 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	31	$469	604	604	+0	open	—	05-16 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	34	$463	865	668	+197	open	—	05-15 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	17	$459	643	643	+0	open	—	05-20 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	19	$455	812	773	+39	open	—	05-16 11:34
btc updown 5m 1781493900	14	$449	1,023	696	+328	open	—	06-15 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 15:45:05	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x579232…
07-10 15:44:44	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe1f3da…
07-10 15:44:43	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaa2e9a…
07-10 15:43:40	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	1,600	0¢	$2	0x4c1991…
07-10 15:42:53	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	206	0¢	$0	0x05c2a1…
07-10 15:42:34	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4abcd5…
07-10 15:42:16	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0x7f24cd…
07-10 15:41:56	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x43955a…
07-10 15:41:38	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	162	1¢	$1	0xfa98d1…
07-10 15:41:13	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x821621…
07-10 15:40:44	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x9c6812…
07-10 15:40:26	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2da55f…
07-10 15:40:23	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb3540e…
07-10 15:38:59	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbc3313…
07-10 15:37:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4ae8e6…
07-10 15:37:08	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x678e0a…
07-10 15:37:04	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x027b18…
07-10 15:36:59	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcc9dd7…
07-10 15:36:55	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe41877…
07-10 15:35:44	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x92de60…
07-10 15:35:44	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x85ee4c…
07-10 15:35:35	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34b2c1…
07-10 15:35:32	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc0c42e…
07-10 15:35:17	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe913fc…
07-10 15:34:40	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x540ea3…
07-10 15:34:29	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf464db…
07-10 15:34:11	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f61a1…
07-10 15:33:38	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe2ae61…
07-10 15:33:38	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x32255b…
07-10 15:33:38	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1d0d66…
07-10 15:33:37	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x37cd29…
07-10 15:33:37	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2bd9de…
07-10 15:33:35	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda7960…
07-10 15:33:35	btc updown 5m 1783697400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x23d3fd…
07-10 15:33:23	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x56ade0…
07-10 15:33:22	btc updown 15m 1783697400	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x475cba…
07-10 15:33:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xba3a71…
07-10 15:33:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x9fc381…
07-10 15:33:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x230b9e…
07-10 15:33:08	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x498ba0…
07-10 15:33:08	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x201c97…
07-10 15:32:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xeff259…
07-10 15:32:05	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x77c45e…
07-10 15:32:04	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbc07cd…
07-10 15:01:16	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x17009c…
07-10 11:00:40	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4c9bbe…
07-10 11:00:26	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf67631…
07-10 10:59:53	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba5c38…
07-10 10:59:43	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd31579…
07-10 10:58:22	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3610a2…
07-10 10:57:50	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb4c8fd…
07-10 10:57:44	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9e7250…
07-10 10:57:14	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x155c73…
07-10 10:57:02	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x31bff9…
07-10 10:56:46	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7cbd01…
07-10 10:51:28	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd19151…
07-10 10:51:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x752d91…
07-10 10:51:11	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x40429f…
07-10 10:50:28	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x41d5db…
07-10 10:50:26	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x41c41c…
07-10 10:50:20	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x1639ba…
07-10 10:49:29	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf5417c…
07-10 10:48:52	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa6b9d6…
07-10 10:47:49	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1c4d55…
07-10 10:47:20	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc39ed4…
07-10 10:47:19	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xda4d3b…
07-10 10:47:16	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x323cc7…
07-10 10:47:14	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x696a37…
07-10 10:47:14	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2378c7…
07-10 10:47:13	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x56fb39…
07-10 10:47:10	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2cd0f8…
07-10 10:47:08	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf1c67d…
07-10 10:47:08	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe3a2f3…
07-10 10:47:07	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x353a68…
07-10 10:47:05	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe4865…
07-10 10:47:05	btc updown 5m 1783680300	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x59f586…
07-10 10:46:29	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xee889e…
07-10 10:46:29	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7bc446…
07-10 10:45:43	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x7ba1da…
07-10 10:45:25	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf4ebc0…
07-10 10:45:25	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1150ec…
07-10 10:45:23	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa5a168…
07-10 10:45:23	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0d0987…
07-10 10:45:19	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x789480…
07-10 10:45:17	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbfbfb8…
07-10 10:45:17	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7bbb87…
07-10 10:44:20	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x828565…
07-10 10:43:58	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x48fc42…
07-10 10:43:50	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd8d9b6…
07-10 10:43:50	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0d6228…
07-10 10:43:49	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb4ed8e…
07-10 10:43:46	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb06f12…
07-10 10:43:46	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4905af…
07-10 10:43:46	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0e378e…
07-10 10:43:35	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc9cf17…
07-10 10:43:35	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8bdd6f…
07-10 10:43:35	bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e2cec…
07-10 10:43:28	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xca7799…
07-10 10:42:47	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe62b2…
07-10 10:42:47	ethereum up or down july 10 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3c1c59…