Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$619
$6,074 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$18,475
Latest YES mid
85¢
Latest NO mid
15¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 14:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $422 | $422 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $115 | $20 | +$95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| Median | 8 | $61 | $2 | +$59 |
| Below median | 5 | $36 | $1 | +$35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $4 | $435 | $431 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +4,225 | $422 | $422 | 1 | 05-11 10:12 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +68 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Measly-Onion 0xc08d…b666 | No | +43 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 20:58 |
| Multicolored-Albatross 0x7b77…41f0 | Yes | +31 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 23:21 |
| Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-13 07:56 |
| Simple-Occurrence 0x87d8…ccf3 | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 06:59 |
| Greedy-Highrise 0x9084…d70f | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 08:14 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Blond-Supreme 0x1d88…f0e6 | Yes | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 05:50 |
| 0x7242eae4a7b72d60d55019234c39a6a138b12ddb 0xb39c…1315 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 10:34 |
| Excitable-Jeep 0xdaf1…bb98 | Yes | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ef…83cd | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:41 |
| Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:14 |
| Pure-Venom 0x011f…8fd1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 16:02 |
| Mountainous-Improvement 0xaa25…e007 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf389…20b7 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:58 |
| Chilly-Mention 0x74b7…f989 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:57 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:58 |
| Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f82…c9e6 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:01:20 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 112 | 16¢ | $18 | 0x59619e… |
| 05-14 12:57:22 | Chilly-Mention 0x74b7…f989 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xf467ae… |
| 05-14 12:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x5f82…c9e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0d6cf5… |
| 05-14 12:00:19 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 68 | 18¢ | $12 | 0xf5c730… |
| 05-14 08:33:58 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x72421e… |
| 05-14 08:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xe2a1…0455 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x801111… |
| 05-14 05:50:10 | Blond-Supreme 0x1d88…f0e6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xda5dbf… |
| 05-14 03:55:57 | Mountainous-Improvement 0xaa25…e007 | No | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x5ef199… |
| 05-14 01:10:01 | Excitable-Jeep 0xdaf1…bb98 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xd923f3… |
| 05-14 00:19:37 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf2cf23… |
| 05-14 00:14:55 | Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x38e96b… |
| 05-13 23:21:50 | Multicolored-Albatross 0x7b77…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 80¢ | $25 | 0xbd6be7… |
| 05-13 21:41:41 | (anonymous) 0x25ef…83cd | No | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4ce287… |
| 05-13 20:58:48 | (anonymous) 0xf389…20b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xe19e50… |
| 05-13 20:58:48 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xb32a2f… |
| 05-13 20:58:45 | Measly-Onion 0xc08d…b666 | No | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x87968b… |
| 05-13 19:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xf10e02… |
| 05-13 17:42:31 | Unhealthy-Mainstream 0x5924…0a3f | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xce62dd… |
| 05-13 16:02:35 | Pure-Venom 0x011f…8fd1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xf2e6f3… |
| 05-13 08:14:52 | Greedy-Highrise 0x9084…d70f | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x469297… |
| 05-13 07:56:23 | Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0xecb5eb… |
| 05-13 07:56:18 | Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xe78643… |
| 05-13 06:59:25 | Simple-Occurrence 0x87d8…ccf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x7c0d07… |
| 05-13 03:43:44 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5c4240… |
| 05-12 14:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x8feb…5d57 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xa26c5d… |
| 05-12 14:32:57 | Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | No | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x156a1b… |
| 05-12 05:14:42 | Moist-Rehospitalization 0x6c30…a7fc | Yes | SELL | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x01a9fa… |
| 05-11 14:32:05 | Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | No | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x023052… |
| 05-11 10:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 4,225 | 10¢ | $422 | 0xa11e78… |
| 05-10 01:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xef8b…4ae1 | No | SELL | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe826ce… |
| 05-09 17:09:00 | Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xb8dfc9… |
| 05-09 10:34:38 | 0x7242eae4a7b72d60d55019234c39a6a138b12ddb 0xb39c…1315 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x94dd99… |