Optimistic-Lab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

421

Trades

4,233

lifetime

Volume

$41.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-12 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 100% +$2

Other

10% 99% $-4

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 2pm et	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-10 19:01
will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 19	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 06:04
btc updown 15m 1781624700	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-16 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-26 17:30
btc updown 5m 1777043100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-24 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-16 07:30
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-28 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776336300	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-16 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-17 21:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-16 03:46
eth updown 5m 1776677700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-29 14:00
btc updown 15m 1776351600	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-16 15:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-25 08:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-30 07:55
solana above 90 on april 16	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-16 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-06 21:00
eth updown 5m 1776973500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-23 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776682500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 09:00
btc updown 15m 1781658000	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-17 01:25
ethereum above 2385 on april 19 2026 11am et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-19 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776625500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-19 19:11
bitcoin above 76800 on april 22 2026 12pm et	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-22 18:05
eth updown 15m 1780675200	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-05 16:15
btc updown 5m 1781685000	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-17 08:35
sol updown 5m 1776785100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-21 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-25 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:00:01	xrp up or down august 12 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x237981…
08-11 19:00:01	xrp up or down august 11 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aa900…
08-11 15:45:03	ethereum above 1900 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa798a…
08-11 15:45:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0973ce…
08-11 12:00:01	btc updown 4h 1786435200	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70e80e…
08-11 11:00:01	xrp up or down august 11 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8858a…
08-11 09:00:01	xrp up or down august 11 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8ed01…
08-11 05:00:01	xrp up or down august 11 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50268f…
08-11 01:00:01	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ba560…
08-10 18:00:01	xrp up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9ad4e…
08-10 15:30:03	ethereum above 1800 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce4a70…
08-10 15:30:03	solana above 80 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2a317…
08-10 15:00:01	xrp up or down august 10 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30a6d…
08-10 06:25:00	bnb updown 5m 1786342800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0166d3…
08-10 04:45:00	xrp updown 5m 1786336800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ce3be…
08-10 04:27:48	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x004986…
08-10 04:16:09	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa800a5…
08-10 03:45:01	xrp updown 15m 1786332600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbea33c…
08-10 03:30:04	hype updown 5m 1786332300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3b408…
08-10 03:30:04	doge updown 5m 1786332300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98518c…
08-10 01:20:01	eth updown 5m 1786324500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d12f1…
08-10 01:00:01	ethereum up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa038c7…
08-10 00:55:00	hype updown 5m 1786323000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe2e10…
08-10 00:15:00	hype updown 5m 1786320600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5c80a…
08-09 23:40:00	sol updown 5m 1786318500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6ff7a…
08-09 23:40:00	hype updown 5m 1786318500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36d557…
08-09 23:30:00	hype updown 5m 1786317900	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a4323…
08-09 23:10:00	hype updown 5m 1786316700	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6d003…
08-09 22:00:01	xrp up or down august 9 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x919582…
08-09 19:40:00	hype updown 5m 1786304100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa28adc…
08-09 19:30:00	hype updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x739069…
08-09 19:30:00	doge updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63e12d…
08-09 16:00:01	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x559f0f…
08-09 15:30:03	solana above 80 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe529e…
08-09 14:15:03	hype updown 15m 1786284000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71b561…
08-09 14:15:03	hype updown 5m 1786284600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50e583…
08-09 13:20:00	doge updown 5m 1786281300	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecbca7…
08-09 11:10:00	bnb updown 5m 1786273500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0e848…
08-09 04:15:00	sol updown 15m 1786248000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb3808…
08-09 04:15:00	doge updown 15m 1786248000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a203a…
08-09 04:15:00	bnb updown 15m 1786248000	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41ea93…
08-09 02:30:00	hype updown 5m 1786242300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97fcdf…
08-09 01:10:00	bnb updown 5m 1786237500	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1646c…
08-08 23:45:00	sol updown 5m 1786232400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcb7f8…
08-08 22:55:00	hype updown 5m 1786229400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b9989…
08-08 22:00:01	xrp up or down august 8 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36524e…
08-08 20:00:01	xrp up or down august 8 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x681f24…
08-08 19:30:00	hype updown 5m 1786217100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x978ac9…
08-08 18:00:01	xrp up or down august 8 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x372340…
08-08 17:00:00	hype updown 15m 1786207500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a8636…
08-08 16:00:01	xrp up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f264…
08-08 16:00:01	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52f7da…
08-08 15:30:03	xrp above 1 on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bab5c…
08-08 14:30:00	doge updown 5m 1786199100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f8148…
08-08 13:25:04	hype updown 5m 1786195200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50b23f…
08-08 12:00:01	xrp up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd690db…
08-08 12:00:00	bnb updown 5m 1786190100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bdbaf…
08-08 11:45:00	doge updown 15m 1786188600	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60dda7…
08-08 11:00:00	hype updown 5m 1786186500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fceba…
08-08 08:15:00	bnb updown 15m 1786176000	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63a646…
08-08 08:00:03	xrp up or down august 8 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90b8e…
08-08 07:00:01	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd0e7e…
08-08 06:45:00	xrp updown 5m 1786171200	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x841bb6…
08-08 06:40:00	bnb updown 5m 1786170900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a346a…
08-08 05:55:00	xrp updown 5m 1786168200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1c3fe…
08-08 05:55:00	bnb updown 5m 1786168200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x170374…
08-08 05:00:01	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c6971…
08-08 03:45:01	bnb updown 15m 1786159800	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28a170…
08-08 03:15:03	doge updown 5m 1786158600	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53fd70…
08-08 01:00:00	doge updown 15m 1786149900	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeef99e…
08-08 00:05:00	doge updown 5m 1786147200	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19e780…
08-08 00:00:01	xrp up or down august 7 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80dd2f…
08-07 22:35:00	doge updown 5m 1786141800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1a55…
08-07 20:15:00	hype updown 15m 1786132800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3cd0d…
08-07 20:05:01	hype updown 5m 1786132800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43543f…
08-07 19:25:00	hype updown 5m 1786130400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa78f53…
08-07 18:05:00	hype updown 5m 1786125600	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcd8d0a…
08-07 17:25:00	hype updown 5m 1786123200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcba64b…
08-07 17:20:00	hype updown 5m 1786122900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd9a7…
08-07 17:15:01	doge updown 15m 1786122000	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb25257…
08-07 15:45:03	xrp above 1 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x327833…
08-07 15:30:03	solana above 70 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf24f98…
08-07 14:30:00	hype updown 5m 1786112700	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5526c6…
08-07 14:00:00	hype updown 15m 1786110300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6740a6…
08-07 14:00:00	sol updown 5m 1786110900	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x342bc4…
08-07 13:50:00	hype updown 5m 1786110300	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x054701…
08-07 12:45:00	bnb updown 15m 1786105800	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5152a…
08-07 12:10:00	bnb updown 5m 1786104300	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4daf78…
08-07 12:00:01	xrp up or down august 7 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a2f37…
08-07 11:45:00	doge updown 15m 1786102200	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bf025…
08-07 11:00:01	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599917…
08-07 10:45:00	xrp updown 15m 1786098600	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf42d1c…
08-07 09:35:01	xrp updown 5m 1786095000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfec8f8…
08-07 09:35:01	bnb updown 5m 1786095000	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf4db3…
08-07 09:35:00	eth updown 5m 1786095000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa69056…
08-07 09:30:00	xrp updown 15m 1786094100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaf7e1…
08-07 09:15:01	eth updown 15m 1786093200	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40107d…
08-07 09:00:00	sol updown 15m 1786092300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7606e…
08-07 08:50:00	doge updown 5m 1786092300	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef5c4d…
08-07 08:45:00	hype updown 15m 1786091400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e3b64…