Optimistic-Lab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

421

Trades

3,163

lifetime

Volume

$31.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-20 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$2

Other

9% 99% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1781624700	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-16 16:00
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 2pm et	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-10 19:01
will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 19	2	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-16 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-03 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-07 10:15
btc updown 5m 1776719100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-26 13:31
btc updown 5m 1776626700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-19 19:30
doge updown 15m 1776957300	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-23 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	06-02 05:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-26 14:36
btc updown 5m 1776809700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-21 22:20
sol updown 5m 1776803400	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-21 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-30 13:30
btc updown 5m 1776609900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-19 14:50
eth updown 5m 1776710100	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-20 18:40
btc updown 5m 1776801900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-21 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-26 16:02
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-08 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	Up	+$0	05-06 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-17 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-25 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-17 19:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 21	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-21 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-15 07:46
btc updown 5m 1777054500	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-24 18:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-03 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	05-18 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:50:16	btc updown 5m 1784619900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fd574…
07-20 23:45:01	bnb updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5abb11…
07-20 15:55:03	xrp above 1pt1 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a997b…
07-20 15:46:04	xrp above 1pt2 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b09f8…
07-20 15:33:21	solana above 80 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x981b2d…
07-20 15:00:04	btc updown 15m 1784558700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb35427…
07-20 14:15:01	btc updown 15m 1784556000	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f85a1…
07-20 14:00:15	btc updown 15m 1784555100	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5688bd…
07-20 09:45:03	bnb updown 15m 1784539800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6f0ad…
07-20 08:50:03	ethereum above 1820 on july 20 2026 5am et	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1e4c73…
07-20 08:00:04	btc updown 4h 1784520000	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa286ea…
07-20 03:44:06	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50cdcb…
07-20 00:05:03	btc updown 5m 1784505600	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e175f…
07-19 22:20:45	btc updown 5m 1784499300	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76dc2f…
07-19 15:15:01	hype updown 15m 1784473200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c7157…
07-19 13:35:12	eth updown 5m 1784467800	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbacbf…
07-19 12:15:21	btc updown 15m 1784462400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb23d24…
07-19 09:15:01	xrp updown 15m 1784451600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe76b1a…
07-19 01:55:03	btc updown 5m 1784425800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb904b…
07-19 01:35:10	btc updown 5m 1784424600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb8aff…
07-18 18:35:54	btc updown 5m 1784399400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ba3ec…
07-18 02:05:06	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac06d3…
07-18 01:46:33	hype updown 15m 1784338200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7848e2…
07-18 00:01:40	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a659e…
07-17 21:00:04	btc updown 15m 1784321100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70df2f…
07-17 20:20:01	xrp updown 5m 1784319300	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20cc10…
07-17 17:10:31	btc updown 5m 1784307900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x026f31…
07-17 15:55:03	xrp above 1pt1 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f969e…
07-17 15:30:07	sol updown 5m 1784301900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ac843…
07-17 15:30:03	solana above 70 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecdf60…
07-17 14:10:04	eth updown 5m 1784297100	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48b01d…
07-17 05:05:06	btc updown 5m 1784264400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa7a93…
07-17 05:00:03	xrp updown 15m 1784263500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb64a16…
07-17 04:16:00	hype updown 15m 1784260800	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8927e4…
07-17 04:03:40	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7e4cc…
07-17 04:00:40	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8aa0f…
07-17 00:35:22	btc updown 5m 1784248200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2383bd…
07-17 00:00:02	btc updown 4h 1784232000	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6759f…
07-16 22:30:44	hype updown 15m 1784240100	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x264b8c…
07-16 21:30:04	hype updown 15m 1784236500	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ba4cf…
07-16 21:21:31	xrp updown 5m 1784236500	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2702…
07-16 21:06:22	wti closes above 84 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x256381…
07-16 20:00:02	bnb updown 15m 1784231100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b1b48…
07-16 18:30:02	bnb updown 15m 1784225700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4e820…
07-16 17:45:02	bnb updown 15m 1784223000	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x496955…
07-16 15:55:50	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea3460…
07-16 15:55:04	xrp above 1pt1 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x659de7…
07-16 07:10:17	btc updown 5m 1784185500	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98df3c…
07-16 06:45:07	eth updown 15m 1784183400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x827b3c…
07-16 04:50:07	btc updown 5m 1784177100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87df28…
07-15 23:45:28	xrp updown 15m 1784158200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a9d14…
07-15 15:45:04	solana above 80 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x866c1f…
07-15 15:45:02	xrp above 1pt1 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f9fe6…
07-15 14:02:02	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4af2bb…
07-15 13:50:13	btc updown 5m 1784123100	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd500fc…
07-15 12:30:17	btc updown 15m 1784117700	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd13378…
07-15 07:00:02	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7060f…
07-15 05:00:55	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a7b58…
07-14 22:00:08	xrp updown 15m 1784065500	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bb7a6…
07-14 21:01:11	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x771e3f…
07-14 17:20:02	btc updown 5m 1784049300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b08ae…
07-14 15:45:04	solana above 80 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd33fd7…
07-14 15:30:47	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3380a…
07-14 15:30:13	btc updown 5m 1784042700	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x172399…
07-14 15:00:16	xrp updown 15m 1784040300	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37de69…
07-14 11:07:53	bnb up or down july 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3701db…
07-14 10:30:08	btc updown 5m 1784024700	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa93e6d…
07-14 10:00:02	btc updown 15m 1784022300	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3b417…
07-14 07:15:04	sol updown 15m 1784012400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecdc29…
07-14 07:15:02	bnb updown 15m 1784012400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ab0c9…
07-14 03:30:37	btc updown 15m 1783998900	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b584b…
07-13 21:45:17	bnb updown 15m 1783978200	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa12c3f…
07-13 21:30:01	bnb updown 15m 1783977300	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x72062f…
07-13 21:00:01	bnb updown 15m 1783975500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8c37a5…
07-13 20:57:44	wti closes above 77 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00b627…
07-13 15:45:02	xrp above 1pt1 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2472f…
07-13 13:35:02	eth updown 5m 1783949400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3338f4…
07-13 13:00:01	hype updown 15m 1783946700	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92c216…
07-13 05:36:17	btc updown 5m 1783920600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a6e93…
07-13 03:37:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7db3d8…
07-13 03:10:02	sol updown 5m 1783911900	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc39ad…
07-13 01:16:08	btc updown 5m 1783905000	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7f08f…
07-12 20:15:04	bnb updown 15m 1783886400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1ecba…
07-12 18:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1783880100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x613db9…
07-12 18:30:02	sol updown 15m 1783880100	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x162ba0…
07-12 16:16:17	btc updown 15m 1783872000	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96e2e…
07-12 01:45:23	btc updown 5m 1783820400	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35c30b…
07-12 00:15:17	hype updown 15m 1783814400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23da40…
07-11 23:35:32	btc updown 5m 1783812600	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0a95f1…
07-11 23:35:31	btc updown 5m 1783812600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15db4d…
07-11 17:31:04	xrp updown 5m 1783790700	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfffd91…
07-11 14:00:28	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0088ce…
07-11 13:16:07	doge updown 15m 1783774800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa67128…
07-11 13:16:07	hype updown 15m 1783774800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32f578…
07-11 13:15:05	btc updown 5m 1783775400	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfa5611…
07-11 13:15:05	btc updown 5m 1783775400	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x64801e…
07-11 04:55:56	sol updown 5m 1783745400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d70d3…
07-10 23:05:04	btc updown 5m 1783724400	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b2ad1…
07-10 22:00:19	btc updown 15m 1783719900	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x638866…
07-10 21:14:37	will wti dip to 55 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb7537…