Realized P&L
-$3.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
74
Trades
8,381
lifetime
Volume
$1.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$33.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
40% 93% $-301
Politics
28% 70% $-4,123
Crypto
27% 100% +$146
Sports
4% 100% +$304
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +7,311 $6,729 94¢ $6.8K +$107 06-09 17:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4,996 $4,816 97¢ $4.9K +$35 06-07 22:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +4,410 $4,177 94¢ $4.1K $-54 06-08 01:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,537 $3,777 82¢ $3.7K $-34 06-09 00:55
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +3,470 $3,293 96¢ $3.3K +$26 06-08 09:43
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1,900 $1,824 97¢ $1.8K +$14 06-06 01:22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,887 $1,788 92¢ $1.7K $-62 06-02 21:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +1,993 $1,746 86¢ $1.7K $-42 06-02 13:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,805 $1,626 90¢ $1.6K +$8 06-08 09:14
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +1,508 $1,417 96¢ $1.5K +$37 06-02 03:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,307 $1,267 98¢ $1.3K +$8 06-05 06:20
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +490 $483 100¢ $489 +$6 06-05 18:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +350 $224 68¢ $240 +$16 06-06 18:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +418 $205 46¢ $190 $-15 06-06 14:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +222 $162 72¢ $159 $-3 06-07 21:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +92 $90 99¢ $91 +$1 06-02 12:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +28 $19 71¢ $20 +$1 06-09 18:17
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-07 18:39