Passionate-Left — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.61K

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

2,039

Trades

9,837

lifetime

Volume

$2.00M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

$19.1K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Other

41% 91% +$36,167

Politics

29% 87% -$718

Crypto

25% 97% -$6,376

Sports

3% 95% +$2,077

Pop-Culture

1% 91% +$2,474

Tech

1% 92% -$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+17,892	$13,150	82¢	$14.6K	+$1,432	10-23 14:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+1,639	$1,048	86¢	$1.4K	+$357	07-30 17:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+1,468	$940	92¢	$1.3K	+$404	05-04 12:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+427	$288	81¢	$346	+$58	06-12 03:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+350	$224	97¢	$339	+$115	06-06 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+343	$254	94¢	$324	+$70	05-02 12:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+354	$222	81¢	$288	+$66	05-04 19:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+233	$135	88¢	$206	+$70	05-06 04:56
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+222	$162	86¢	$191	+$29	06-07 21:09
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+47	$31	84¢	$40	+$8	05-10 07:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	+11	$8	92¢	$10	+$2	05-07 14:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	49	$40.8K	21,711	20,676	+1,035	Yes	+$758	03-18 07:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	40	$31.4K	32,042	1,696	+30,346	Yes	-$64	04-06 23:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	38	$27.5K	28,037	0	+28,037	No	+$489	06-03 21:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	18	$21.5K	11,774	9,999	+1,775	No	+$286	04-15 14:36
bl2 fcm ksc 2026 03 01 fcm	117	$20.2K	46,522	0	+46,522	No	+$26,370	03-01 11:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$18.4K	12,286	7,220	+5,066	No	+$1,058	04-30 20:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	48	$17.1K	18,903	18,902	+1	Yes	-$15,928	03-01 17:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	39	$16.2K	18,271	0	+18,271	No	+$2,049	05-23 02:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	34	$16.2K	17,709	0	+17,709	No	+$1,542	05-23 01:34
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$14.6K	5,622	9,616	-3,994	Yes	+$478	01-28 11:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	53	$14.4K	17,800	0	+17,800	No	+$3,374	01-29 02:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$14.1K	19,242	0	+19,242	No	+$5,149	03-28 19:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$14.1K	18,138	0	+18,138	No	+$4,085	03-16 20:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	90	$13.2K	17,892	0	+17,892	open	—	10-23 14:06
iran strike on israel by january 15	24	$12.5K	6,423	6,423	+0	No	+$359	01-18 04:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	45	$12.5K	14,835	0	+14,835	No	+$2,370	05-01 00:02
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	91	$11.4K	12,653	0	+12,653	No	+$1,209	05-01 01:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	17	$11.0K	11,684	0	+11,684	No	+$723	03-14 21:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	24	$10.4K	6,098	6,020	+78	No	-$173	04-19 07:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	26	$10.1K	10,642	0	+10,642	No	+$516	06-11 18:18
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	66	$9.9K	11,257	0	+11,257	No	+$1,320	05-22 10:21
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	47	$9.5K	8,811	1,365	+7,446	No	+$675	07-03 11:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	29	$9.4K	8,560	1,211	+7,349	No	+$395	03-06 22:35
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	12	$9.1K	4,678	4,677	+1	No	+$214	02-10 04:34
Iran leadership change by June 30?	34	$8.9K	9,805	0	+9,805	No	+$913	06-10 22:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	8	$8.7K	8,809	0	+8,809	No	+$95	03-02 17:14
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	4	$8.6K	4,305	4,305	+0	No	+$45	01-11 13:27
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$8.4K	8,431	0	+8,431	Yes	+$55	03-02 10:58
will khamenei leave iran by friday	29	$7.5K	7,747	0	+7,747	No	+$218	01-09 05:34
will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271	35	$7.5K	7,441	333	+7,108	Yes	+$283	02-06 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:06:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x7516de…
10-23 12:32:00	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x9367fb…
10-20 13:10:42	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xe0d570…
10-20 07:39:43	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9de9af…
10-19 20:36:50	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9eac9a…
10-19 19:15:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe4f44d…
10-19 16:42:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x334f55…
10-01 01:38:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0x053829…
09-15 16:09:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	170	14¢	$24	0xce6933…
08-13 13:01:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	72¢	$122	0xd2da64…
07-30 17:48:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0xe27d7a…
07-14 20:00:31	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0c80b5…
07-10 20:42:22	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xca12d5…
07-10 03:35:50	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x66be25…
07-09 09:22:23	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x55fa03…
07-08 20:02:52	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xd4f40a…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	59¢	$472	0xf9d0fb…
07-07 01:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	58¢	$464	0xc878f6…
07-05 20:52:40	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$4	0xb61ab2…
07-05 20:51:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$9	0x0e9e6d…
07-05 20:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xbd001e…
07-03 11:03:41	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x418fe2…
07-03 10:46:19	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc859a0…
07-03 10:43:58	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa8978c…
07-03 10:43:10	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd53b6…
07-03 09:11:25	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x28a70e…
07-03 04:15:04	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd67d36…
06-30 01:43:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x2938ff…
06-30 01:24:59	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0xd5350c…
06-28 04:51:56	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xe4c744…
06-28 03:55:29	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0xf6fe0e…
06-28 03:55:05	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0xc8e275…
06-28 03:41:23	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x209e67…
06-28 03:41:22	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x356d68…
06-28 03:38:31	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa013b…
06-28 03:33:28	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb969cf…
06-28 01:57:43	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7b5846…
06-28 01:56:52	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x8571a3…
06-28 01:54:52	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd5c6bd…
06-28 01:54:17	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte3	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59246f…
06-28 01:54:02	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb0e2e2…
06-28 01:53:38	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	390	82¢	$318	0x017b17…
06-28 01:48:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	96¢	$318	0xba878c…
06-27 22:02:05	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x18612c…
06-27 22:00:11	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1,211	100¢	$1,210	0xec847b…
06-27 09:03:08	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x52b5e5…
06-27 02:13:56	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0x4fde78…
06-26 23:23:46	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa77793…
06-26 23:16:16	Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x2c9cb0…
06-26 18:30:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	323	89¢	$289	0xdf10ef…
06-26 18:10:44	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	273	97¢	$265	0xe62717…
06-26 18:10:34	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0b83fa…
06-26 16:47:56	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	821	100¢	$819	0x5ebb13…
06-26 14:47:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x47ee36…
06-26 09:55:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f09c4…
06-26 05:35:31	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf686ee…
06-26 05:35:26	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6dda1d…
06-25 23:15:44	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x841fa4…
06-25 14:54:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37e280…
06-25 13:48:05	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb75041…
06-25 13:25:28	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8f25f8…
06-25 13:25:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2534f8…
06-25 13:25:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x25326f…
06-25 13:25:23	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb9e141…
06-22 08:16:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x0a2c2a…
06-22 08:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	99¢	$492	0x650244…
06-22 08:11:41	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	1,211	98¢	$1,193	0xc67af3…
06-22 08:11:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	566	3¢	$14	0x4c9f9d…
06-22 08:10:31	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	566	4¢	$20	0xb4b654…
06-21 13:40:34	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	343	99¢	$339	0xe62f49…
06-21 12:08:04	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8397f…
06-21 11:39:53	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x11f781…
06-21 11:39:47	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0cc5a2…
06-21 04:08:19	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0f2cce…
06-20 21:05:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x1e534d…
06-20 20:57:35	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	95¢	$276	0xc52340…
06-20 20:57:32	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xc98f69…
06-20 20:57:25	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	95¢	$416	0xe9517f…
06-20 20:56:40	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	No	BUY	130	94¢	$123	0xa6d649…
06-20 20:56:14	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	No	BUY	690	95¢	$653	0xb613a4…
06-20 20:50:49	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x8a29a4…
06-20 20:22:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,888	26¢	$491	0x302834…
06-20 20:22:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	888	26¢	$231	0x10e231…
06-20 18:10:14	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6b0c36…
06-20 17:47:19	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	244	98¢	$238	0x3c4ed4…
06-20 17:46:46	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	777	98¢	$760	0xb0fb21…
06-20 17:46:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	989	100¢	$986	0xd523bc…
06-20 17:46:05	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	455	98¢	$447	0x76727f…
06-20 16:19:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	448	100¢	$448	0xe54248…
06-20 15:56:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c0796…
06-20 15:56:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe4deec…
06-20 15:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa86bd2…
06-20 14:50:49	ethereum above 1900 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x114e02…
06-20 14:49:44	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae8382…
06-20 14:48:31	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x74712e…
06-20 14:47:28	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	555	97¢	$538	0x4c0544…
06-20 14:15:26	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x1b8ded…
06-20 14:07:59	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Curaçao?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x4e4359…
06-20 14:02:35	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x61076d…
06-20 14:01:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	266	99¢	$262	0x1e196f…