Passionate-Left — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.97K

Unrealized P&L

-$803

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

Trades

8,797

lifetime

Volume

$1.87M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

$5.29K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-07 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

40% 93% $-301

Politics

29% 70% $-4,123

Crypto

27% 100% +$146

Sports

3% 100% +$304

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+5,209	$4,311	72¢	$3.7K	$-587	06-11 03:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+795	$757	100¢	$795	+$37	06-21 12:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+350	$224	84¢	$296	+$72	06-06 18:50
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+418	$205	42¢	$173	$-31	06-06 14:37
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+222	$162	74¢	$163	+$1	06-07 21:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+205	$139	66¢	$136	$-3	06-12 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+5	$295	54¢	$3	$-292	07-07 01:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	49	$40.8K	21,711	20,676	+1,035	open	—	03-18 07:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	40	$31.4K	32,042	1,696	+30,346	open	—	04-06 23:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$23.8K	23,953	0	+23,953	open	—	06-03 21:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	18	$21.5K	11,774	9,999	+1,775	open	—	04-15 14:36
bl2 fcm ksc 2026 03 01 fcm	117	$20.2K	46,522	0	+46,522	open	—	03-01 11:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	37	$18.4K	12,286	7,220	+5,066	open	—	04-30 20:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	48	$17.1K	18,903	18,902	+1	open	—	03-01 17:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	34	$16.2K	17,709	0	+17,709	open	—	05-23 01:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	38	$15.8K	17,787	0	+17,787	open	—	05-23 02:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$14.6K	5,622	9,616	-3,994	open	—	01-28 11:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	53	$14.4K	17,800	0	+17,800	open	—	01-29 02:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$14.1K	19,242	0	+19,242	open	—	03-28 19:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$14.1K	18,138	0	+18,138	open	—	03-16 20:43
iran strike on israel by january 15	24	$12.5K	6,423	6,423	+0	open	—	01-18 04:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	45	$12.5K	14,835	0	+14,835	open	—	05-01 00:02
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	91	$11.4K	12,653	0	+12,653	open	—	05-01 01:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	17	$11.0K	11,684	0	+11,684	open	—	03-14 21:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	24	$10.4K	6,098	6,020	+78	open	—	04-19 07:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	29	$9.4K	8,560	1,211	+7,349	open	—	03-06 22:35
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	42	$9.3K	8,556	1,365	+7,191	open	—	07-03 11:03
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	12	$9.1K	4,678	4,677	+1	open	—	02-10 04:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	8	$8.7K	8,809	0	+8,809	open	—	03-02 17:14
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	4	$8.6K	4,305	4,305	+0	open	—	01-11 13:27
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$8.4K	8,431	0	+8,431	open	—	03-02 10:58
will khamenei leave iran by friday	29	$7.5K	7,747	0	+7,747	open	—	01-09 05:34
will tetairoa mcmillan be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 271	35	$7.5K	7,441	333	+7,108	open	—	02-06 02:22
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	14	$7.4K	7,599	0	+7,599	open	—	04-07 20:33
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	24	$7.1K	7,865	67	+7,797	open	—	03-24 17:37
march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	7	$7.0K	4,247	3,003	+1,244	open	—	03-01 10:43
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	23	$6.9K	7,757	0	+7,757	open	—	02-05 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	59¢	$472	0xf9d0fb…
07-07 01:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	58¢	$464	0xc878f6…
07-05 20:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xbd001e…
07-03 11:03:41	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x418fe2…
07-03 10:46:19	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc859a0…
07-03 10:43:58	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa8978c…
07-03 10:43:10	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd53b6…
07-03 09:11:25	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x28a70e…
07-03 04:15:04	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd67d36…
06-30 01:43:53	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x2938ff…
06-30 01:24:59	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0xd5350c…
06-28 04:51:56	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xe4c744…
06-28 03:41:23	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	26	80¢	$20	0x209e67…
06-28 03:41:22	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x356d68…
06-28 03:38:31	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa013b…
06-28 03:33:28	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb969cf…
06-28 01:57:43	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7b5846…
06-28 01:56:52	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x8571a3…
06-28 01:54:52	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd5c6bd…
06-28 01:54:17	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte3	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x59246f…
06-28 01:54:02	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb0e2e2…
06-28 01:53:38	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	No	BUY	390	82¢	$318	0x017b17…
06-28 01:48:11	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	96¢	$318	0xba878c…
06-27 22:02:05	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x18612c…
06-27 22:00:11	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1,211	100¢	$1,210	0xec847b…
06-27 09:03:08	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	334	100¢	$334	0x52b5e5…
06-27 02:13:56	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	226	95¢	$215	0x4fde78…
06-26 23:23:46	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xa77793…
06-26 18:30:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	323	89¢	$289	0xdf10ef…
06-26 18:10:44	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	273	97¢	$265	0xe62717…
06-26 18:10:34	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0b83fa…
06-26 16:47:56	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	821	100¢	$819	0x5ebb13…
06-26 14:47:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x47ee36…
06-26 09:55:19	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f09c4…
06-26 05:35:31	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf686ee…
06-26 05:35:26	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6dda1d…
06-25 23:15:44	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x841fa4…
06-25 14:54:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37e280…
06-25 13:48:05	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb75041…
06-25 13:25:28	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8f25f8…
06-25 13:25:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2534f8…
06-25 13:25:25	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x25326f…
06-25 13:25:23	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb9e141…
06-22 08:16:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x0a2c2a…
06-22 08:11:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	99¢	$492	0x650244…
06-22 08:11:41	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	1,211	98¢	$1,193	0xc67af3…
06-22 08:11:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	566	3¢	$14	0x4c9f9d…
06-22 08:10:31	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	566	4¢	$20	0xb4b654…
06-21 13:40:34	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	343	99¢	$339	0xe62f49…
06-21 12:08:04	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8397f…
06-21 11:39:53	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x11f781…
06-21 11:39:47	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0cc5a2…
06-21 04:08:19	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0f2cce…
06-20 21:05:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x1e534d…
06-20 20:57:35	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	95¢	$276	0xc52340…
06-20 20:57:32	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xc98f69…
06-20 20:57:25	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	95¢	$416	0xe9517f…
06-20 20:56:40	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	No	BUY	130	94¢	$123	0xa6d649…
06-20 20:56:14	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	No	BUY	690	95¢	$653	0xb613a4…
06-20 20:50:49	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x8a29a4…
06-20 20:22:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,888	26¢	$491	0x302834…
06-20 20:22:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	888	26¢	$231	0x10e231…
06-20 17:46:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	989	100¢	$986	0xd523bc…
06-20 16:19:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	448	100¢	$448	0xe54248…
06-20 15:56:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c0796…
06-20 15:56:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe4deec…
06-20 15:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa86bd2…
06-20 14:50:49	ethereum above 1900 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0x114e02…
06-20 14:47:28	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	555	97¢	$538	0x4c0544…
06-20 14:01:25	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	266	99¢	$262	0x1e196f…
06-20 13:52:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xfa8337…
06-20 13:51:56	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xeedd0d…
06-20 13:44:44	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	360	52¢	$187	0x0ef831…
06-20 13:43:22	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	733	52¢	$384	0xb2694f…
06-20 13:00:17	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd66f13…
06-20 12:38:20	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0x59f7f9…
06-20 12:30:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x85b046…
06-20 11:56:47	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	251	93¢	$233	0x0849f9…
06-20 11:56:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xaf8ebb…
06-20 11:56:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0x8f6f8f…
06-20 11:51:14	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xecbe2a…
06-20 11:51:14	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	155	94¢	$145	0x3be499…
06-20 11:51:14	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x0abd57…
06-20 11:50:31	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	444	94¢	$415	0xe366fe…
06-20 11:46:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x05e481…
06-20 11:46:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x2a6141…
06-20 10:59:38	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xce0a06…
06-20 10:39:34	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	222	72¢	$160	0x9d4cd6…
06-20 10:38:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	222	75¢	$167	0x67c766…
06-20 10:26:49	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$172	0x0e735f…
06-20 10:26:23	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	444	96¢	$428	0xb34094…
06-20 10:24:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xc1625e…
06-20 10:14:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	555	97¢	$538	0xd3525c…
06-20 10:14:14	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	423	74¢	$313	0x9f60c1…
06-19 23:55:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	331	88¢	$292	0x3a1c24…
06-19 23:55:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	102	88¢	$89	0xb0c9d7…
06-19 23:07:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x299f80…
06-19 22:55:49	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	114	46¢	$52	0x03cd8b…
06-19 21:57:08	will marco rubio have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x23bbba…
06-19 20:31:01	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	224	95¢	$213	0x0caab9…