Passionate-Left 0xaa7575…59a864
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.97K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.05K
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
74
Trades
8,788
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$50.6K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 01:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
40% 93% $-301
Politics
29% 70% $-4,123
Crypto
27% 100% +$146
Sports
3% 100% +$304
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +8,193 $7,568 100¢ $8.2K +$592 06-26 23:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +6,994 $6,718 100¢ $7.0K +$269 06-11 18:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +4,952 $4,693 100¢ $4.9K +$249 06-20 10:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,209 $4,311 86¢ $4.5K +$195 06-11 03:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -4,230 $-4,219 100¢ $-4226 $-6 06-20 17:46
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +3,692 $3,503 100¢ $3.7K +$183 06-10 22:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +3,541 $3,338 100¢ $3.5K +$195 06-20 10:14
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -2,099 $-2,096 100¢ $-2097 $-1 06-27 22:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2,098 $1,992 100¢ $2.1K +$98 06-16 13:07
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1,900 $1,824 100¢ $1.9K +$70 06-06 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,605 $1,231 82¢ $1.3K +$93 06-12 09:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,307 $1,267 100¢ $1.3K +$38 06-05 06:20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +823 $770 100¢ $822 +$52 06-17 17:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +795 $757 100¢ $795 +$37 06-21 12:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -737 $-732 100¢ $-736 $-4 06-16 08:52
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +522 $497 100¢ $520 +$23 06-13 01:20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +444 $417 100¢ $442 +$25 06-18 03:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +340 $508 100¢ $339 $-170 06-20 12:30
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -334 $-334 100¢ $-334 +$0 06-27 09:03
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +333 $318 100¢ $333 +$14 06-28 01:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +333 $321 100¢ $332 +$11 06-18 01:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +350 $224 70¢ $243 +$19 06-06 18:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +418 $205 48¢ $199 $-6 06-06 14:37
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +190 $184 99¢ $188 +$4 06-30 01:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +222 $162 84¢ $185 +$23 06-07 21:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +205 $139 84¢ $171 +$32 06-12 03:53
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +151 $142 100¢ $151 +$9 06-10 14:00
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +83 $76 99¢ $82 +$6 06-11 21:31
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-07 18:39