Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved
19
Trades
2,287
lifetime
Volume
$3.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$161
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-20 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$1
Other
25% 38% $-2
Crypto
17% 100% +$1
Sports
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +34 $27 94¢ $32 +$6 06-20 12:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +31 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 06-19 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +22 $15 94¢ $20 +$5 06-20 14:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 +$0 06-15 02:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 +$0 06-15 03:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 06-15 22:44
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -8 $-8 99¢ $-8 $-0 06-15 03:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-6 +$0 06-15 03:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 16:13
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-13 07:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 03:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 16:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $2 52¢ $2 $-0 06-20 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 $-0 06-20 13:46
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 06-09 02:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 06-19 03:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-03 16:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-08 14:07
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 05-30 05:41