Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$30
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 14:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Crypto
17%
Other
17% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 05-07 09:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-2 24¢ $-3 $-1 05-06 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-2 52¢ $-2 +$0 05-06 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $-0 05-07 10:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -6 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 08:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-07 08:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-08 06:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 05-08 06:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-06 09:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-07 08:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-07 10:47
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-08 05:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-06 09:24
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 05-08 05:39
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 05-07 10:56
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 05-06 09:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 05-07 05:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 05-07 10:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8? Yes -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 14:24