Realized P&L
-$616
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
1,016
Trades
5,189
lifetime
Volume
$33.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$932
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-31 08:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
51% 66% -$366
Politics
26% 78% -$128
Sports
12% 64% -$190
Crypto
10% 86% +$71
Tech
0% 80% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +168 $150 84¢ $140 -$10 10-06 02:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +96 $90 94¢ $90 $0 10-03 09:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +83 $70 98¢ $81 +$11 10-17 06:36
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +75 $60 99¢ $74 +$14 09-22 14:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +65 $60 94¢ $61 +$1 10-08 04:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +81 $60 56¢ $46 -$14 10-26 18:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +51 $43 82¢ $42 $0 10-24 16:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +42 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 10-23 13:19
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +48 $40 74¢ $35 -$5 10-07 09:59
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $40 74¢ $35 -$5 10-07 09:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +46 $30 70¢ $33 +$3 10-02 23:06
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 10-17 06:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 10-31 00:25
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +35 $30 86¢ $30 +$0 08-18 02:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 10-29 10:17
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $30 96¢ $30 $0 10-02 03:21
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-23 09:49
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 10-18 05:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $10 98¢ $12 +$2 10-26 07:27
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 10-05 01:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-06 10:05
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-31 07:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +11 $10 82¢ $9 -$1 10-07 20:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 10-09 12:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +8 $7 70¢ $6 -$1 08-03 15:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 10-17 02:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$9 100¢ $0 +$9 10-31 08:56
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +0 -$10 99¢ $0 +$10 10-29 06:51
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-13 10:15
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$3 99¢ $0 +$3 10-28 01:59