Spirited-Mandolin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-25 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 37% +$1

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	9	$661	346	346	+0	Yes	+$7	05-13 08:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	5	$338	360	293	+68	open	—	05-31 03:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	6	$320	265	196	+69	open	—	05-20 05:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	14	$282	200	200	+0	No	+$12	05-13 11:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	16	$228	180	180	+0	No	+$20	05-13 13:42
bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	2	$223	129	129	+0	open	—	06-09 16:03
bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	2	$220	127	127	+0	open	—	06-14 16:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$219	129	129	+0	open	—	05-21 16:09
bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	2	$216	122	122	+0	open	—	06-11 16:03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$210	514	514	+0	open	—	05-21 22:10
bitcoin above 66k on june 17 2026	1	$186	344	0	+344	open	—	06-17 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	4	$184	109	109	+0	open	—	05-30 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	4	$177	92	92	+0	open	—	05-30 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	17	$164	558	423	+136	open	—	05-18 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	8	$148	81	81	+0	No	$-0	05-13 10:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	5	$145	190	164	+26	open	—	05-17 12:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	1	$139	181	0	+181	open	—	05-15 16:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	9	$101	79	79	+0	open	—	05-17 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$100	295	0	+295	open	—	05-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	05-20 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	13	$96	91	84	+7	open	—	05-18 05:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	05-15 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	2	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	05-29 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	2	$83	45	45	+0	open	—	05-28 15:02
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	1	$74	131	0	+131	open	—	05-21 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$67	67	58	+9	Down	+$47	05-13 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	12	$65	58	58	+0	open	—	05-14 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	4	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$59	192	173	+19	open	—	05-18 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	11	$57	46	40	+6	open	—	05-18 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 04:48:04	btc updown 5m 1782362700	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xa75edd…
06-23 22:24:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x781e7c…
06-23 16:03:20	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc55bbe…
06-23 07:14:59	bitcoin above 62k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xbf30ab…
06-17 02:32:04	bitcoin above 66k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	344	54¢	$186	0xcc7ed5…
06-14 16:07:18	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x23ca65…
06-14 06:33:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	127	74¢	$94	0x2ed9da…
06-11 16:03:42	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x6c5877…
06-11 05:48:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	122	77¢	$94	0x264d80…
06-09 16:03:36	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xb369d8…
06-09 07:02:30	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	129	73¢	$94	0xb1e927…
05-31 03:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0x168698…
05-31 03:34:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	130	36¢	$47	0x2c4375…
05-31 02:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	130	56¢	$73	0xc6e298…
05-31 02:28:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	162	48¢	$78	0x65389f…
05-31 00:16:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	162	59¢	$96	0xa97ccf…
05-30 16:03:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x851f41…
05-30 03:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	53	78¢	$42	0xa6781c…
05-30 03:23:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x732bd0…
05-30 02:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x035dd1…
05-30 02:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0x608c14…
05-29 22:19:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	55	84¢	$47	0xcde7de…
05-29 22:18:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x3c8eb5…
05-29 16:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x4a44da…
05-29 16:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x553b34…
05-29 04:44:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x57f8e8…
05-28 15:02:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x88e436…
05-28 05:14:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x983787…
05-21 22:11:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	131	57¢	$74	0x0cbdc9…
05-21 22:10:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	514	15¢	$78	0x5daa72…
05-21 16:16:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	514	26¢	$132	0xa6d092…
05-21 16:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xbb8b46…
05-21 07:03:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0x05497c…
05-20 05:00:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	69	20¢	$14	0xd37580…
05-20 04:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa92b08…
05-20 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd255c1…
05-20 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a5ba6…
05-20 04:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xc7d7eb…
05-20 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x42a48c…
05-20 04:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5f3e22…
05-20 04:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	301	8¢	$25	0xaca946…
05-20 04:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xbbf2a9…
05-20 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	241	10¢	$25	0xe83740…
05-20 04:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xfc0ebd…
05-20 04:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xd6c15c…
05-20 04:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x97dea1…
05-20 04:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xec0d07…
05-20 04:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a2223…
05-20 04:17:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	165	80¢	$132	0x82e72e…
05-19 22:11:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xdacd52…
05-19 19:17:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x4e898f…
05-19 19:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0xa0f6de…
05-19 16:10:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9b2ca0…
05-19 16:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5886a6…
05-19 06:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x880f7d…
05-19 06:52:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa6a249…
05-19 06:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	191	3¢	$5	0x44cd05…
05-19 06:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3c3c1…
05-19 06:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x70a1c9…
05-19 06:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x860075…
05-19 06:24:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x3f18b0…
05-19 06:13:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xf8771b…
05-19 05:38:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0xd82fc5…
05-19 03:48:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x2c1eaa…
05-19 03:44:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf3903e…
05-18 16:13:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd71f72…
05-18 16:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0d01c6…
05-18 13:53:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1923a8…
05-18 06:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x766614…
05-18 06:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	285	2¢	$5	0xd4a03e…
05-18 06:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0a92f2…
05-18 06:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf1b64d…
05-18 06:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x669797…
05-18 06:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4801e5…
05-18 06:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f8108…
05-18 06:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xb5e781…
05-18 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1375a1…
05-18 06:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x9748a5…
05-18 06:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaf6dc2…
05-18 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x00c4d4…
05-18 06:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdced08…
05-18 06:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x0ccfb7…
05-18 06:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x09e01a…
05-18 06:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x011e38…
05-18 05:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6bcf38…
05-18 05:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x260672…
05-18 05:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9bbd8…
05-18 05:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x505bb4…
05-18 05:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdee1e7…
05-18 05:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc93a3b…
05-18 05:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4df131…
05-18 05:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x686740…
05-18 05:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x35d621…
05-18 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xd780ff…
05-18 05:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9ef80e…
05-18 05:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xf82774…
05-18 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc5c0d6…
05-18 05:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8a9cbd…
05-18 05:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xa8571a…
05-18 05:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7a90ad…