Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,174
$228 in 24h
Trades
66
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$6,488
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 17:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-47.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $443
vs crowd: 48% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $347 | $65 | +$283 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $48 | $484 | $436 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $129 | $25 | +$105 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $443 | $443 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $59 | $22 | +$37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $81 | $30 | +$50 |
| Median | 6 | $26 | $13 | +$13 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $347 | $40 | +$307 |
| unranked | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid-Comment 0x8fe7…4f20 | No | +4,361 | $436 | $436 | 1 | 05-15 09:36 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +411 | $347 | $347 | 10 | 05-15 15:41 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +256 | $40 | $40 | 13 | 05-15 14:54 |
| Cool-Counselling 0x94c1…e5ad | Yes | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 12:04 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +52 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 16:11 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +50 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 07:10 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | Yes | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-15 15:51 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +33 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-15 08:30 |
| Stunning-Stranger 0x7bbe…16a7 | Yes | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 13:56 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +25 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-14 20:12 |
| Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:54 |
| Meaty-Pneumonia 0xfab3…1f0a | No | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 13:26 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 01:18 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:56 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-15 13:49 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 15:01 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 10:05 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 13:20 |
| Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:52 |
| Guilty-Addiction 0xb912…7e38 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fdb…06b5 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 14:44 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Shocked-Fund 0x4014…8c3f | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 12:04 |
| Perky-Herbs 0xa3f7…b87d | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 14:02 |
| Specific-Communion 0x772e…22e7 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:50 |
| Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 17:09:41 | Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc77bc0… |
| 05-15 15:51:25 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x374c9e… |
| 05-15 15:41:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 97¢ | $195 | 0x8a73fb… |
| 05-15 15:17:16 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8e78a6… |
| 05-15 15:01:47 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x81b694… |
| 05-15 14:57:12 | Dense-Drop 0x1533…799a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x36ca84… |
| 05-15 14:57:09 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x60cdd8… |
| 05-15 14:56:11 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x8d07e0… |
| 05-15 14:54:50 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x95a277… |
| 05-15 14:44:40 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7d2ec3… |
| 05-15 14:09:40 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x6f689e… |
| 05-15 14:02:29 | Perky-Herbs 0xa3f7…b87d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x421910… |
| 05-15 13:59:32 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8e0044… |
| 05-15 13:57:32 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x16b037… |
| 05-15 13:57:04 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x0304c2… |
| 05-15 13:57:02 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x07c76d… |
| 05-15 13:56:53 | Stunning-Stranger 0x7bbe…16a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xe808b5… |
| 05-15 13:54:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xdd3add… |
| 05-15 13:54:44 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x174b5d… |
| 05-15 13:54:40 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x2e7628… |
| 05-15 13:54:38 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xc080c6… |
| 05-15 13:51:52 | Fumbling-Celebrity 0x4e93…be55 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x47971c… |
| 05-15 13:51:50 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf87397… |
| 05-15 13:51:29 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x3f09fb… |
| 05-15 13:51:28 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd3b34c… |
| 05-15 13:51:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x2090ae… |
| 05-15 13:51:26 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3e1bbc… |
| 05-15 13:51:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x2d8eaf… |
| 05-15 13:51:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd0fd92… |
| 05-15 13:49:48 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2e8d07… |
| 05-15 13:49:48 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2947d1… |
| 05-15 13:49:43 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd05c0f… |
| 05-15 13:44:45 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x737ee9… |
| 05-15 13:26:49 | Sarcastic-Router 0x443e…1235 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x342efc… |
| 05-15 13:22:32 | Guilty-Addiction 0xb912…7e38 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x665136… |
| 05-15 13:20:43 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xc1a31c… |
| 05-15 12:04:39 | Shocked-Fund 0x4014…8c3f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x82a7ac… |
| 05-15 12:04:37 | Cool-Counselling 0x94c1…e5ad | Yes | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xfbfa06… |
| 05-15 11:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x11b2…6d33 | No | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x005b6c… |
| 05-15 10:52:02 | Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x79bbe3… |
| 05-15 10:05:27 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xae8252… |
| 05-15 09:54:29 | Melodic-Wedding 0xb7e8…9a67 | No | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2d77ee… |
| 05-15 09:36:12 | Meaty-Pneumonia 0xfab3…1f0a | No | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc0fe41… |
| 05-15 09:36:08 | Liquid-Comment 0x8fe7…4f20 | No | BUY | 4,361 | 10¢ | $436 | 0x2c3572… |
| 05-15 09:31:56 | (anonymous) 0x0fdb…06b5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x394a31… |
| 05-15 09:31:54 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x95c033… |
| 05-15 09:00:03 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3319a0… |
| 05-15 08:56:49 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x86fe99… |
| 05-15 08:55:55 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x1496c9… |
| 05-15 08:55:53 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x65e3ab… |
| 05-15 08:30:57 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x88fa6a… |
| 05-15 07:50:38 | Specific-Communion 0x772e…22e7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xbcebc0… |
| 05-15 07:10:29 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xfcc92a… |
| 05-15 02:23:18 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc6aaf0… |
| 05-14 21:20:12 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x1fecc5… |
| 05-14 20:44:30 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 52¢ | $13 | 0x6702da… |
| 05-14 20:12:29 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $11 | 0x95ff02… |
| 05-14 20:07:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x8262e2… |
| 05-14 19:27:16 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x9e5e60… |
| 05-14 18:42:02 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x821b6a… |
| 05-14 17:14:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x8a9252… |
| 05-14 16:56:48 | Worthy-Tapioca 0xa251…505f | Yes | SELL | 60 | 45¢ | $27 | 0xb413f1… |
| 05-14 16:11:20 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 52 | 58¢ | $30 | 0xf5fe66… |
| 05-14 16:09:29 | Perky-Pantyhose 0xd1e9…62a2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x3e4e54… |
| 05-14 14:48:23 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x284521… |
| 05-13 01:18:29 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0xb6b841… |