Meaty-Pneumonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

1,136

Trades

2,672

lifetime

Volume

$44.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-16 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

81% 78% +$6,752

Politics

12% 40% -$768

Sports

6% 55% -$559

Crypto

1% 25% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+30	$17	86¢	$26	+$9	05-13 19:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg jdg 2026 04 14 game2	15	$2.6K	6,535	0	+6,535	JD Gaming	+$3,938	04-13 10:15
bkkbl won kcc 2026 04 13	20	$1.8K	4,017	0	+4,017	KCC Egis	+$300	04-13 12:06
lol fnc sk 2026 04 13 game2	6	$1.7K	4,568	0	+4,568	SK Gaming	+$2,878	04-13 16:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$1.3K	3,187	3,187	+0	No	-$136	04-20 06:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	6	$938	2,208	2,208	+0	No	-$151	04-13 17:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$770	2,314	2,314	+0	No	-$78	04-14 23:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$733	1,772	1,772	+0	No	-$43	04-13 17:30
atp blockx hanfman 2026 04 13	2	$715	429	424	+4	Alexander Blockx	+$137	04-13 17:03
atp munar jodar 2026 04 13	2	$589	405	402	+3	Rafael Jodar	+$9	04-13 17:20
wta kraus selekhm 2026 04 13	2	$567	590	581	+9	Sinja Kraus	+$2	04-13 17:29
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	5	$536	563	563	+0	No	-$169	04-13 17:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	2	$512	520	0	+520	Yes	+$8	04-04 12:21
atp norrie wawrink 2026 04 13	2	$489	398	197	+200	Cameron Norrie	+$105	04-13 16:46
highest temperature in tokyo on april 11 2026 16corbelow	10	$460	471	0	+471	No	-$158	04-08 07:29
highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 20c	62	$450	421	253	+168	No	$0	03-22 16:16
highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 21corhigher	79	$443	780	217	+562	No	-$10	03-22 16:16
highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 20c	8	$436	437	0	+437	Yes	+$1	04-08 06:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$418	809	809	+0	No	-$38	04-13 17:18
cs2 3dmax fal2 2026 04 13 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$396	680	669	+12	Team Falcons	-$189	04-13 17:28
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 84 85f	3	$359	360	0	+360	No	+$1	04-01 11:01
atp rinderk michels 2026 04 13	2	$345	220	217	+3	Arthur Rinderknech	+$92	04-13 11:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$327	409	409	+0	Yes	-$58	04-13 17:18
highest temperature in los angeles on march 29 2026 84forhigher	6	$325	327	0	+327	No	+$3	03-29 07:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$309	276	138	+138	No	+$77	05-15 09:55
wta stephen podrez 2026 04 13	1	$286	427	0	+427	Veronika Podrez	+$141	04-13 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 9 2026 15c	10	$285	289	0	+289	No	+$3	04-08 06:44
atp borges mannari 2026 04 13	1	$284	347	0	+347	Nuno Borges	+$63	04-13 16:05
highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 40 41f	8	$280	311	0	+311	No	+$2	04-02 12:05
nba tor cle 2026 04 20	5	$279	296	54	+242	Cavaliers	+$47	04-21 00:25
highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 48forhigher	3	$278	279	0	+279	Yes	+$1	04-01 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:48:48	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xd8776a…
05-16 04:48:22	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0x7d4e18…
05-16 00:02:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xbde830…
05-16 00:00:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	860	1¢	$8	0xfbe7d8…
05-16 00:00:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,449	1¢	$10	0xfa5ba6…
05-16 00:00:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	510	1¢	$7	0xa081a2…
05-15 21:06:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x0effc6…
05-15 21:06:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xc55619…
05-15 21:06:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x2e50ae…
05-15 17:50:52	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,462	0¢	$6	0xeef54e…
05-15 17:50:38	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,898	0¢	$12	0x75f042…
05-15 17:49:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$3	0xb5a824…
05-15 11:56:26	Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x687be7…
05-15 10:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0x137666…
05-15 09:55:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	90¢	$124	0x4ded63…
05-15 09:36:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 15?	No	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xc0fe41…
05-15 09:27:00	CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1ae57a…
05-15 09:26:45	CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9aed88…
05-15 09:07:44	CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x01cb39…
05-15 09:07:14	CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x2db117…
05-15 09:07:12	CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb69947…
05-15 09:07:12	CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65df3e…
05-15 09:05:11	CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb34ad5…
05-15 09:04:01	CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xe98d9e…
05-15 09:03:47	CD Palestino vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x685a5e…
05-15 08:57:26	Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xbf8c52…
05-15 08:57:08	Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x445f42…
05-15 08:24:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	243	90¢	$218	0x1ed40f…
05-15 07:35:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x23022d…
05-15 07:25:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	245	88¢	$215	0x935d28…
05-14 20:13:25	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xaed5d3…
05-14 20:13:16	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8dff0a…
05-14 20:12:53	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd31017…
05-14 11:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0xc86fbe…
05-14 09:51:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x311978…
05-14 09:50:37	Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xabd67d…
05-14 09:49:43	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x832ed7…
05-14 09:43:58	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x117563…
05-14 09:43:56	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x33d38c…
05-14 09:40:49	Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x53c0a5…
05-13 19:14:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd96ada…
05-13 19:11:44	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x62bf88…
05-13 16:25:10	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xef2b13…
05-13 16:02:16	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xbf4ddc…
05-13 10:23:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xb4075b…
05-13 08:50:43	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x6bf767…
05-13 08:42:59	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xe2695d…
05-13 05:35:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x51083e…
05-13 05:26:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xafa079…
05-13 05:23:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x47f4c4…
05-13 05:23:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0x099918…
05-13 05:23:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xb74284…
05-12 09:45:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	59	24¢	$14	0x065e5c…
05-11 21:15:41	Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfc8e7b…
05-11 21:12:17	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbe4bc1…
05-11 21:11:57	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	Girona FC	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd7f26c…
05-11 09:52:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xe242d9…
05-11 09:51:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0xa894c0…
05-11 09:12:07	Spread: CD Tondela (-1.5)	Moreirense FC	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x5c9f78…
05-11 09:10:52	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	Girona FC	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x11245a…
05-11 09:10:24	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xdef02b…
05-11 09:06:47	Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0xaa94e6…
05-11 09:06:24	Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$13	0x0bf380…
05-11 09:05:55	Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xc7e654…
05-11 09:04:48	Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x8a7849…
05-11 09:04:20	Will FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x9a0f43…
05-11 09:02:46	Will FK Akron Tolyatti vs. FK Rostov end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0xfe1e75…
05-11 08:39:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0xf93b04…
05-10 20:30:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	740	2¢	$15	0x3e8a51…
05-10 14:35:27	Will NK Slaven Belupo vs. HNK Gorica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x48f574…
05-10 14:16:28	Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4887ed…
05-10 14:14:22	Will CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x291d7a…
05-10 13:51:45	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x4f38f7…
05-10 13:32:04	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	79	8¢	$6	0xd87deb…
05-10 13:19:33	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x71cc5b…
05-10 12:55:54	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	76	11¢	$8	0x0c6fd8…
05-10 12:10:15	Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	12¢	$11	0x6029c0…
05-10 12:00:03	Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$12	0x308564…
05-10 09:00:44	Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)	Getafe CF	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x060c53…
05-10 09:00:12	Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xcf823e…
05-10 08:58:48	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x3cfdf1…
05-10 08:58:24	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	Genoa CFC	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x006688…
05-10 08:57:47	Spread: US Cremonese (-1.5)	Pisa SC	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xc844c4…
05-10 08:56:06	Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8950df…
05-10 08:56:06	Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x851c2c…
05-10 08:54:52	Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xa741bc…
05-10 08:52:01	Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xd70851…
05-10 08:51:34	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x6328c8…
05-09 22:59:05	Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)	Antalyaspor	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcae08d…
05-09 22:58:42	Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)	Gaziantep FK	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x24b619…
05-09 22:58:16	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x177e8f…
05-09 22:57:30	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1dd447…
05-09 22:57:15	Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-05-09?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa7cef5…
05-09 22:56:52	Will CD Moquegua vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xff09df…
05-09 21:00:59	Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x36212d…
05-09 21:00:05	Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x0306ed…
05-09 20:54:20	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	111	7¢	$8	0x26ec10…
05-09 20:48:51	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	14¢	$8	0x894024…
05-09 19:57:49	Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x99acb0…
05-09 19:35:26	Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xbbf6ff…