Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$1,314
$9,687 in 24h
Trades
180
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$18,445
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-14 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.5¢
(top1%: 75% YES on $37
vs crowd: 72% YES on $978)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $30 | $67 | $38 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $671 | $161 | +$510 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $28 | $9 | +$18 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $59 | $18 | +$41 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $175 | $157 | +$18 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| Below median | 11 | $82 | $8 | +$74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $123 | $4 | +$119 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $230 | $6 | +$224 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $58 | $56 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +429 | $230 | $230 | 3 | 05-13 21:29 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +194 | $101 | $116 | 4 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +134 | $49 | $99 | 11 | 05-14 08:49 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +129 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +112 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Bossy-Musicmaking 0x16d2…e2c3 | Yes | +109 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Agitated-Veal 0x4637…bc4a | Yes | +100 | $65 | $125 | 2 | 05-14 05:39 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +49 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Nimble-Dibble-Backbone 0xd762…9ebf | Yes | +31 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 20:58 |
| Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +21 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 00:03 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-08 19:48 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:35 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Vigilant-Fir 0x4e8c…f733 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x326e…7438 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:32 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Knobby-Gazebo 0xc4af…9265 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5619…531b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:41 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-08 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 16:25 |
| Well-To-Do-Meet 0x5f75…bd97 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1635…06a0 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b80…6977 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Sure-Footed-Nylon 0x357b…20f7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 15:28 |
| Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | Yes | +1 | $-3 | $122 | 3 | 05-13 21:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:49:20 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x7d0203… |
| 05-14 08:44:23 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x02039b… |
| 05-14 08:44:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xb8a590… |
| 05-14 08:44:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xbc5f90… |
| 05-14 08:44:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x20744e… |
| 05-14 08:44:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x2a71e6… |
| 05-14 08:44:02 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xeb1eb7… |
| 05-14 08:44:02 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x713b9d… |
| 05-14 08:39:04 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xbcbf95… |
| 05-14 08:34:08 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x928acd… |
| 05-14 08:34:08 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x03f815… |
| 05-14 08:34:03 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xf727f9… |
| 05-14 06:20:19 | Sure-Footed-Nylon 0x357b…20f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xd80ec2… |
| 05-14 06:11:08 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x6d492a… |
| 05-14 06:11:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xae45a5… |
| 05-14 06:10:52 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd9cc6a… |
| 05-14 06:10:51 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x31ecc0… |
| 05-14 06:10:51 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3d9bdc… |
| 05-14 06:10:49 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6733fa… |
| 05-14 06:06:42 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xe08e2c… |
| 05-14 06:06:42 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x2bb7e4… |
| 05-14 06:06:32 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x9132ca… |
| 05-14 06:06:32 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6d49e7… |
| 05-14 06:06:30 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf6e14a… |
| 05-14 06:06:30 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x32a8a3… |
| 05-14 06:06:09 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x1baabf… |
| 05-14 06:02:16 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 200 | 50¢ | $100 | 0xb6bb02… |
| 05-14 06:02:14 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x00f70a… |
| 05-14 06:01:20 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7d7a41… |
| 05-14 06:01:20 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x877620… |
| 05-14 06:01:08 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6e2f30… |
| 05-14 06:01:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd64b13… |
| 05-14 06:01:06 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1b74dc… |
| 05-14 06:01:04 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd00ae7… |
| 05-14 06:01:04 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xce1664… |
| 05-14 05:56:07 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xe2d7fa… |
| 05-14 05:54:36 | Well-To-Do-Meet 0x5f75…bd97 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xdb08e7… |
| 05-14 05:51:46 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x2bd5e9… |
| 05-14 05:51:46 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xa219ca… |
| 05-14 05:51:46 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf62cfb… |
| 05-14 05:51:46 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x06003a… |
| 05-14 05:51:46 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x685cdb… |
| 05-14 05:51:44 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb220fb… |
| 05-14 05:51:44 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xe1151c… |
| 05-14 05:51:41 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2b43c6… |
| 05-14 05:51:39 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x9912e2… |
| 05-14 05:51:37 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7a271b… |
| 05-14 05:51:36 | Vigilant-Fir 0x4e8c…f733 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x06db45… |
| 05-14 05:51:36 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3100a6… |
| 05-14 05:51:34 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe368b4… |
| 05-14 05:51:32 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7f3e4a… |
| 05-14 05:51:32 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0d6e12… |
| 05-14 05:51:30 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xc4821b… |
| 05-14 05:51:29 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5405c4… |
| 05-14 05:51:09 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x4e41c5… |
| 05-14 05:51:09 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x65b067… |
| 05-14 05:49:26 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x8c1474… |
| 05-14 05:49:26 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x088204… |
| 05-14 05:46:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb4c73a… |
| 05-14 05:46:03 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe07c10… |
| 05-14 05:45:53 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xfb9199… |
| 05-14 05:45:53 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x9cb007… |
| 05-14 05:45:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x157878… |
| 05-14 05:45:16 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x84d68b… |
| 05-14 05:45:14 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x2668c2… |
| 05-14 05:45:12 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x5ef4b4… |
| 05-14 05:45:12 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xcb6429… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xde2a9b… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xeb5632… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe4efbc… |
| 05-14 05:39:43 | Agitated-Veal 0x4637…bc4a | Yes | SELL | 55 | 55¢ | $30 | 0xa320e5… |
| 05-14 05:35:51 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x021344… |
| 05-14 05:35:45 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd9266f… |
| 05-14 05:35:45 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x00cf96… |
| 05-14 05:35:44 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xdcc177… |
| 05-14 05:35:44 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x7d9df6… |
| 05-14 05:31:26 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 51 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x837575… |
| 05-14 05:31:16 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 51 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x93e749… |
| 05-14 05:31:09 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 11 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x946d19… |
| 05-14 05:31:05 | Vigilant-Fir 0x4e8c…f733 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x9eab99… |
| 05-14 05:31:05 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x1ba503… |
| 05-14 04:20:08 | Understated-Hutch 0x54ab…e652 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 60¢ | $19 | 0xdf0a6c… |
| 05-14 04:05:52 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x3d0c09… |
| 05-14 03:41:01 | Agitated-Veal 0x4637…bc4a | Yes | BUY | 155 | 61¢ | $95 | 0xf72b29… |
| 05-14 03:41:01 | (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | No | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xfe7f5b… |
| 05-14 03:35:13 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x2446bc… |
| 05-14 03:31:25 | Rubbery-Proprietor 0x9121…bd6c | No | SELL | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xaa32c0… |
| 05-14 03:25:12 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x6e5365… |
| 05-14 03:25:12 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xfde875… |
| 05-14 03:25:12 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x3f08af… |
| 05-14 03:23:29 | Knobby-Gazebo 0xc4af…9265 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0xe9e476… |
| 05-14 03:02:08 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x90bdca… |
| 05-14 03:01:21 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xfa2dad… |
| 05-14 03:01:19 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x3244ab… |
| 05-14 03:01:17 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x2eee79… |
| 05-14 03:01:17 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x79bcb7… |
| 05-14 02:55:10 | Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x95764b… |
| 05-14 02:53:39 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 33 | 60¢ | $20 | 0x5970dc… |
| 05-14 02:42:04 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xb5373a… |
| 05-14 01:55:21 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0xe58a30… |