Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$1,399
$10,006 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 16:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $768
vs crowd: 45% YES on $996)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $325 | $3 | +$322 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $20 | $10 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $107 | $530 | $423 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $325 | $443 | $118 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $59 | $2 | +$57 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Below median | 6 | $23 | $8 | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $77 | $77 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid-Comment 0x8fe7…4f20 | No | +4,000 | $439 | $439 | 1 | 05-11 09:52 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +402 | $321 | $321 | 15 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Shocking-Shallot 0x997d…decf | No | +350 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +65 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 05-11 13:37 |
| Meaty-Pneumonia 0xfab3…1f0a | No | +60 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 09:52 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | +40 | $39 | $39 | 8 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | Yes | +21 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 05:04 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:37 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 10:38 |
| Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 03:06 |
| Feminine-Marriage 0xd39d…00bc | Yes | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 05:44 |
| Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:37 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 20:46 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:19 |
| Better-Celebrity 0x4533…11b7 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| Illiterate-Commandment 0xf1db…abc5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:50 |
| Infatuated-Barracks 0x51f6…33e8 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 16:00:13 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x8ebba8… |
| 05-11 15:50:32 | Infatuated-Barracks 0x51f6…33e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0273c4… |
| 05-11 15:50:31 | Illiterate-Commandment 0xf1db…abc5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf54420… |
| 05-11 15:28:33 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc08729… |
| 05-11 15:28:22 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6aace4… |
| 05-11 15:28:14 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xddb6e0… |
| 05-11 15:28:03 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x279a8f… |
| 05-11 15:27:53 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x244988… |
| 05-11 15:27:42 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xebcc55… |
| 05-11 15:27:39 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x4ee128… |
| 05-11 15:27:35 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xa6298b… |
| 05-11 15:27:35 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x142f36… |
| 05-11 15:27:33 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9560a4… |
| 05-11 15:17:17 | Wet-Map 0x3bc3…0900 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 95¢ | $66 | 0xb599c3… |
| 05-11 15:12:04 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc9d716… |
| 05-11 15:08:41 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x80bd88… |
| 05-11 14:47:04 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x4017bf… |
| 05-11 14:46:12 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x97367b… |
| 05-11 14:46:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x25120f… |
| 05-11 14:42:02 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 88¢ | $103 | 0x597685… |
| 05-11 14:35:24 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xc8be54… |
| 05-11 14:35:23 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x137b33… |
| 05-11 14:32:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x955181… |
| 05-11 14:32:22 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xe9ad7c… |
| 05-11 14:32:22 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x1264ad… |
| 05-11 14:32:19 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x3dce33… |
| 05-11 14:32:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb79142… |
| 05-11 13:37:10 | Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xba97b7… |
| 05-11 13:37:01 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x956f32… |
| 05-11 13:37:01 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x351828… |
| 05-11 13:31:55 | Dutiful-Nephew 0x53be…5040 | Yes | SELL | 318 | 89¢ | $283 | 0x712538… |
| 05-11 12:18:51 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x90a6f3… |
| 05-11 12:18:28 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x65d85a… |
| 05-11 11:38:22 | Whispered-Protection 0x69e2…23a8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd80b5c… |
| 05-11 10:47:05 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe3808a… |
| 05-11 10:38:17 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x66955a… |
| 05-11 10:37:33 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9f855b… |
| 05-11 10:26:16 | Better-Celebrity 0x4533…11b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xc85b72… |
| 05-11 10:22:44 | Feminine-Marriage 0xd39d…00bc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 93¢ | $11 | 0xcacfd2… |
| 05-11 09:52:19 | Meaty-Pneumonia 0xfab3…1f0a | No | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xe242d9… |
| 05-11 09:52:15 | Liquid-Comment 0x8fe7…4f20 | No | BUY | 4,000 | 11¢ | $439 | 0x5aec72… |
| 05-11 07:05:06 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x7b6c77… |
| 05-11 07:05:04 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x6f2907… |
| 05-11 05:04:11 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | Yes | BUY | 21 | 81¢ | $17 | 0x39697e… |
| 05-11 05:03:30 | Shocking-Shallot 0x997d…decf | No | BUY | 350 | 22¢ | $77 | 0x57c35e… |
| 05-11 04:24:13 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x20df07… |
| 05-11 03:06:07 | Ugly-Clover 0x0242…7375 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xed31ed… |
| 05-10 20:46:36 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xef083d… |
| 05-10 11:19:41 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xa508a9… |
| 05-10 07:03:36 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x7fceb6… |
| 05-09 19:22:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x02265f… |
| 05-09 19:22:26 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xd048e3… |
| 05-06 05:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xada429… |