Fortunate-Subprime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$567

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

193

Trades

1,454

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-24 05:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 32% -$389

Other

45% 49% -$540

Sports

5% 46% +$368

Politics

1% 33% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 10?	80	$1.4K	920	740	+180	No	+$198	05-11 05:15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?	69	$1.2K	2,764	2,764	+0	No	-$122	05-10 19:14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	88	$864	587	587	+0	Yes	+$118	05-10 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	12	$752	408	408	+0	Up	+$62	05-10 16:34
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 17?	351	$613	1,256	0	+1,256	Yes	-$74	05-10 17:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?	11	$530	292	292	+0	Yes	+$53	05-10 21:08
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	214	$523	972	141	+830	Over	-$14	05-13 20:56
Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	28	$518	561	561	+0	No	-$37	05-27 19:47
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	7	$400	325	325	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$250	05-11 03:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$359	243	243	+0	No	+$107	05-27 09:21
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	2	$350	564	0	+564	No	-$350	05-10 18:35
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?	5	$260	153	153	+0	Yes	+$46	05-11 17:58
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10?	5	$256	131	131	+0	No	+$5	05-10 16:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovic	12	$237	298	0	+298	Coco Gauff	-$237	05-11 12:29
Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Whitney Osuigwe	5	$236	141	141	+0	Hanne Vandewinkel	+$46	05-11 15:01
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?	6	$214	122	116	+6	No	+$17	05-11 03:42
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 10?	4	$211	105	105	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$193	147	147	+0	open	—	05-13 20:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$186	152	152	+0	open	—	05-14 06:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$186	109	109	+0	open	—	05-13 21:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	4	$155	79	79	+0	No	-$1	05-13 20:56
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	13	$151	225	88	+137	No	+$48	05-11 19:03
D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5	100	$146	289	0	+289	Over	-$13	05-11 05:42
Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	4	$138	70	70	+0	No	-$1	05-10 21:52
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	3	$129	66	66	+0	No	-$1	05-10 18:53
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	3	$127	363	363	+0	Yes	-$11	05-11 19:09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	2	$118	70	70	+0	Yes	-$2	06-01 07:05
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	25	$116	258	0	+258	Knicks	+$142	05-23 15:32
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	6	$113	78	78	+0	No	+$12	05-13 21:11
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?	4	$111	58	58	+0	No	-$2	05-10 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 05:59:02	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa5e317…
06-24 05:58:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	0¢	$0	0x0eded5…
06-24 05:58:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	188	0¢	$1	0x825a06…
06-01 07:05:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	83¢	$58	0x679c2d…
05-27 21:23:24	will iran or iranian be said on the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x09bff3…
05-27 21:04:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0xab13d2…
05-27 20:38:52	Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs	TDK	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xaf7379…
05-27 19:47:34	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	SELL	102	62¢	$64	0x545449…
05-27 19:46:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31?	Yes	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0x15adab…
05-27 19:45:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x8da4be…
05-27 19:45:03	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x80074e…
05-27 19:44:56	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	106	27¢	$29	0x3429a4…
05-27 19:21:24	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe94a80…
05-27 19:08:43	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x985b22…
05-27 19:08:41	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe26a5f…
05-27 19:08:08	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x238fa1…
05-27 19:08:06	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x6c9002…
05-27 19:08:03	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	43	41¢	$17	0x6f15b3…
05-27 19:07:31	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xf28edd…
05-27 19:07:28	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x7f20ff…
05-27 19:07:26	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0x9942f9…
05-27 19:07:03	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	135	36¢	$49	0xd0f9f8…
05-27 19:06:51	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	SELL	123	58¢	$71	0x2086c7…
05-27 19:03:49	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7def63…
05-27 19:02:07	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc3a446…
05-27 19:02:04	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x4f864f…
05-27 19:01:31	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1d535c…
05-27 19:01:29	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x24903b…
05-27 19:00:56	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb6809e…
05-27 19:00:52	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb16a6b…
05-27 19:00:19	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x996675…
05-27 19:00:15	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x7c2c06…
05-27 18:57:52	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0xce5035…
05-27 18:57:48	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8560a0…
05-27 18:57:15	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0xc27c99…
05-27 18:57:13	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x77451f…
05-27 18:56:40	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xee4b12…
05-27 18:56:37	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x314c39…
05-27 18:56:35	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x39a181…
05-27 18:56:07	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	94	30¢	$28	0x055cc9…
05-27 18:56:02	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	No	BUY	46	71¢	$32	0x56d490…
05-27 18:55:28	Will Solana reach $85 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0x51aada…
05-27 18:53:56	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f3545…
05-27 18:45:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeb906c…
05-27 16:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x0de0c2…
05-27 16:00:55	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Bonzi/Jacq	Halys/Herbert	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0xe6b1a8…
05-27 16:00:48	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	SELL	30	81¢	$25	0xa2914a…
05-27 14:09:35	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	382	16¢	$60	0x907dd7…
05-27 13:48:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x92e942…
05-27 12:36:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x54332f…
05-27 12:36:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x84d043…
05-27 12:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0xc67d79…
05-27 12:26:09	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xd7018c…
05-27 12:05:25	Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0xb61382…
05-27 09:21:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	243	96¢	$233	0x2be6ab…
05-27 05:25:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x834176…
05-27 05:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x0b039f…
05-27 05:16:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x6bc072…
05-26 23:27:10	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x12f1d3…
05-26 22:26:06	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x956e59…
05-26 21:04:21	Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xc6ce37…
05-26 20:23:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xcea429…
05-26 19:42:43	Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs	TDK	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x8fecaa…
05-26 18:40:52	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A	Hashiras	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0x0cc8a1…
05-26 17:01:49	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Ostapenko/Routliffe vs Efremova/Inisan	Ostapenko/Routliffe	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x7c78ef…
05-26 17:01:07	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Kopriva/Pieczonka	Nys/Roger-Vasselin	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x3e758b…
05-26 17:00:42	ITF Bol: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Carl Emil Overbeck	Dimitris Sakellaridis	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x0f9b4e…
05-26 13:33:13	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Ostapenko/Routliffe vs Efremova/Inisan	Ostapenko/Routliffe	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xec7c15…
05-26 13:07:54	Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)	Ostapenko	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x2aa6d1…
05-26 11:25:31	atp krajci gombos 2026 05 25 first set total 9pt5	Over	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x0e02b9…
05-26 10:35:05	will iran or iranian be said on the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xab20f3…
05-26 07:07:03	Kosice: Maks Kasnikowski vs Franco Roncadelli	Maks Kasnikowski	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe945fc…
05-26 06:40:56	ITF Bol: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Carl Emil Overbeck	Dimitris Sakellaridis	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xcfc1e9…
05-26 06:16:21	Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xb7e6d6…
05-26 00:45:52	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x74c471…
05-25 21:28:58	Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Alice Tubello	Donna Vekic	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xbfe2e8…
05-25 19:06:31	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3346d7…
05-25 13:24:28	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x93ac26…
05-25 13:14:49	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Chidekh/Royer vs Bellucci/Marozsan	Chidekh/Royer	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x4ca168…
05-25 13:11:37	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Chidekh/Royer vs Bellucci/Marozsan	Chidekh/Royer	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7ead4d…
05-25 13:11:14	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Chidekh/Royer vs Bellucci/Marozsan	Chidekh/Royer	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1e6f57…
05-25 11:23:26	Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane	Thanasi Kokkinakis	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x0c52c9…
05-25 11:22:16	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Golubev/Nedovyesov	Krawietz/Puetz	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x963775…
05-25 10:37:12	Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Spizzirri (+1.5)	Tiafoe	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc09891…
05-25 09:44:02	atp doubles bertfor albicap 2026 05 26	Bertola/Forti	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1f267a…
05-25 09:25:01	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Chidekh/Royer vs Bellucci/Marozsan	Chidekh/Royer	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xae64ae…
05-25 09:00:26	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Chidekh/Royer vs Bellucci/Marozsan	Chidekh/Royer	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0ea210…
05-25 08:04:57	Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd9b031…
05-25 08:02:21	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Bonzi/Jacq	Halys/Herbert	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe4f808…
05-25 07:51:32	Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)	Ruud	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe05514…
05-25 07:35:31	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Kopriva/Pieczonka	Nys/Roger-Vasselin	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb1a9af…
05-25 06:52:53	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x91485f…
05-24 19:45:56	Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Piastri?	Hamilton	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8fda62…
05-24 17:55:27	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x6bdec5…
05-24 17:17:28	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x97e98d…
05-24 10:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe3f7c0…
05-23 17:11:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x331b9c…
05-23 15:32:32	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x70c0bb…
05-23 15:31:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x96dc28…
05-23 15:31:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd52f42…