Shocking-Shallot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.52K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

140

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$186.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$648

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 61% +$582

Other

32% 47% +$5,939

Sports

15% 59% -$4,533

Tech

6% 50% -$1,396

Politics

5% 71% +$713

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$217

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	3	$26.3K	16,409	16,409	+0	Perry	+$6,335	05-17 03:39
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	14	$18.1K	20,281	1,000	+19,281	$80k	+$2,912	05-03 00:32
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$7.3K	10,259	0	+10,259	Alonzo Menifield	-$7,335	05-29 03:03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$6.8K	4,099	4,099	+0	No	+$445	06-02 08:58
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	3	$6.0K	6,475	2,396	+4,080	Yes	-$1,914	06-28 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$5.3K	19,384	2,761	+16,623	Yes	-$63	04-30 04:15
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	5	$5.2K	6,738	6,738	+0	Sean Strickland	+$2,782	05-10 05:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$4.5K	2,747	2,747	+0	Yes	+$518	04-24 06:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$4.3K	2,563	2,520	+43	No	+$384	04-24 06:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,247	2,247	+0	No	+$135	05-30 09:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	8	$4.1K	8,577	1,893	+6,684	Yes	-$2,083	05-23 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	3	$3.9K	2,088	2,088	+0	Down	+$286	05-05 09:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$3.8K	2,151	2,151	+0	Yes	+$430	04-12 22:34
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	2	$3.7K	2,436	2,436	+0	No	+$229	01-09 08:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	3	$3.7K	2,091	2,064	+27	No	+$319	04-27 07:12
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.3K	2,439	2,439	+0	Yes	+$1,268	04-12 22:34
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	2	$3.0K	1,992	1,963	+29	Carlos Ulberg	+$974	04-12 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	3	$2.7K	1,401	1,401	+0	Down	+$148	05-05 10:06
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$2.6K	1,559	1,559	+0	Steve Erceg	+$560	05-02 13:05
dota2 nem rnx 2026 04 14	2	$2.4K	1,390	1,378	+12	REKONIX	+$388	04-14 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:20 UTC	3	$2.3K	1,192	1,184	+8	Down	+$107	04-14 09:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,176	1,169	+7	No	+$95	04-27 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,075	1,070	+5	No	+$56	04-24 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2.0K	2,591	0	+2,591	Down	+$558	05-04 06:08
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	1	$2.0K	3,438	0	+3,438	Joe Pyfer	-$1,994	03-28 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,204	0	+2,204	Up	-$297	04-14 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$1.8K	978	978	+0	Up	-$39	05-04 05:32
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	2	$1.7K	1,064	1,064	+0	Colby Thicknesse	+$446	05-02 09:57
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	2	$1.5K	2,756	2,756	+0	open	—	05-05 10:53
nothing ever happens december	1	$1.4K	0	1,437	-1,437	Yes	-$14	01-01 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 01:13:32	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	615	17¢	$106	0x44de9c…
08-22 08:02:43	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	19¢	$38	0x44a0a7…
08-18 08:00:16	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	21¢	$60	0x8e8e80…
08-18 07:57:06	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x27eac8…
07-17 00:22:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	773	42¢	$321	0x7d4386…
06-30 09:06:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,546	19¢	$300	0xd74ebd…
06-30 09:05:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xef1d72…
06-28 11:16:26	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	63¢	$138	0x16b341…
06-28 08:57:32	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	2,396	84¢	$2,020	0x148b2c…
06-21 03:20:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	3,148	61¢	$1,934	0x3b38c0…
06-19 03:31:01	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	3,328	60¢	$2,000	0x4b73e7…
06-02 08:58:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,617	99¢	$2,599	0x736068…
05-31 22:49:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,617	84¢	$2,194	0x9ca15e…
05-30 09:08:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,247	95¢	$2,135	0x434774…
05-30 05:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x83b7c4…
05-29 03:06:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,247	89¢	$2,000	0x9defc2…
05-29 03:03:36	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	8,363	72¢	$6,000	0xfa72dc…
05-28 03:50:13	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	1,896	70¢	$1,335	0xef0739…
05-28 03:49:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	640	79¢	$504	0x00f22e…
05-28 03:49:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	372	89¢	$331	0xabf0f6…
05-28 03:49:19	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	274	93¢	$254	0x15489a…
05-27 09:31:27	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	372	70¢	$259	0xce4fa2…
05-25 05:58:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xba85fd…
05-25 05:58:36	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	640	36¢	$230	0xfc998e…
05-25 05:57:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	473	91¢	$430	0x7c3a34…
05-25 05:47:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	473	91¢	$430	0x1e20d3…
05-25 05:46:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	445	96¢	$428	0xc922c3…
05-24 04:17:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	445	90¢	$400	0xb8e7c6…
05-24 04:12:55	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	744	54¢	$401	0x397b55…
05-23 22:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	356	25¢	$89	0x45dcb0…
05-23 22:12:55	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1,488	27¢	$400	0x131c38…
05-23 02:22:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	750	12¢	$90	0xa02f6e…
05-22 23:56:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,191	16¢	$190	0xb9da66…
05-22 21:02:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	721	24¢	$173	0x87cdf4…
05-22 05:39:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,893	53¢	$1,006	0xbf168c…
05-21 09:51:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	780	70¢	$547	0xf3a9c5…
05-20 03:55:16	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	SELL	596	92¢	$550	0x7e0791…
05-19 10:04:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,461	32¢	$467	0xe04489…
05-18 07:15:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,735	29¢	$500	0x0f4a84…
05-18 07:14:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,482	70¢	$1,033	0x29c154…
05-17 10:03:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,482	67¢	$993	0xafe78d…
05-17 09:56:47	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	No	BUY	596	56¢	$333	0x24e92b…
05-17 03:39:12	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	SELL	10,009	100¢	$9,999	0x26b952…
05-17 03:28:30	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	SELL	6,400	99¢	$6,336	0x517c6a…
05-15 23:05:50	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	655	91¢	$596	0xdfa682…
05-15 21:05:49	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	725	20¢	$145	0x8ae26d…
05-15 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	709	85¢	$600	0x1e9643…
05-15 04:59:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	675	95¢	$643	0xe557d0…
05-14 09:52:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	675	66¢	$447	0xf2d49f…
05-12 09:02:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	419	14¢	$59	0xfc8fef…
05-12 08:53:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	22¢	$91	0x927a28…
05-12 08:04:48	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	652	73¢	$476	0xdbfc1c…
05-12 04:20:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,457	62¢	$897	0xf28b4b…
05-12 00:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	170	37¢	$63	0x955b9a…
05-11 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	265	53¢	$140	0x612fe9…
05-11 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	239	99¢	$237	0x303fe8…
05-11 18:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	239	75¢	$180	0x2f10e9…
05-11 18:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0xc670da…
05-11 18:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	194	70¢	$136	0x238e1b…
05-11 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	339	100¢	$339	0x90bfdb…
05-11 18:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	339	83¢	$282	0xa2c0ac…
05-11 10:57:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,263	61¢	$771	0xd3ddbe…
05-11 05:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	284	72¢	$204	0x1cfe43…
05-11 05:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	307	83¢	$254	0xfbfd9d…
05-11 05:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	257	79¢	$202	0x629622…
05-11 05:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0xd9780e…
05-11 05:03:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?	No	BUY	350	22¢	$77	0x57c35e…
05-11 05:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1,679	74¢	$1,238	0x51cc11…
05-10 09:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	711	27¢	$192	0x97d538…
05-10 09:39:52	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0xa9f2dc…
05-10 09:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,615	49¢	$792	0x4eb718…
05-10 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	450	44¢	$200	0x8a2f20…
05-10 09:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x1f3b7f…
05-10 08:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0xdf0b5d…
05-10 08:53:05	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	221	86¢	$190	0xb96120…
05-10 08:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	104	70¢	$73	0x54462f…
05-10 08:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	193	92¢	$178	0x7e1bb6…
05-10 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	193	44¢	$85	0x9c3fe1…
05-10 08:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	1,247	77¢	$960	0x2a217e…
05-10 05:45:19	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,373	73¢	$1,000	0xb81d52…
05-10 05:36:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	2,509	100¢	$2,506	0x549227…
05-10 04:36:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	2,410	18¢	$434	0xb2450b…
05-10 04:24:14	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	1,819	58¢	$1,055	0x9209ce…
05-06 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0e47eb…
05-05 10:53:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	2,494	18¢	$449	0x629116…
05-05 10:53:40	Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,756	17¢	$473	0x23504a…
05-05 10:53:18	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	4,244	18¢	$764	0x8ce255…
05-05 10:23:30	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	16,409	61¢	$10,000	0x268f1e…
05-05 10:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	1,401	100¢	$1,400	0x6a644a…
05-05 09:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	859	3¢	$30	0xa13519…
05-05 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	998	95¢	$950	0xffce2e…
05-05 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1,175	89¢	$1,046	0xffa241…
05-05 09:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	226	91¢	$206	0x6187eb…
05-05 09:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xca4654…
05-05 09:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	300	70¢	$209	0xcbf558…
05-05 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	2,088	100¢	$2,086	0xd200cb…
05-05 08:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	711	89¢	$633	0xfd8a58…
05-05 08:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	1,377	85¢	$1,167	0x6c6e43…
05-05 08:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	844	94¢	$796	0xaba2a5…
05-04 10:47:24	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x54a3c3…