Orderly-Balance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

4,048

Trades

40,889

lifetime

Volume

$962.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-22 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 94% $-39

Other

5% 90% +$33

Sports

1% 81% $-3

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 1079 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	04-29 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$309	159	159	+0	open	—	04-30 21:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	5	$302	152	152	+0	open	—	04-27 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	11	$279	172	172	+0	Down	$-41	05-11 16:30
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	8	$254	131	131	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 14:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?	7	$247	127	127	+0	Yes	+$7	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	7	$247	127	127	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 16:00
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread away 1pt5	8	$241	125	124	+0	open	—	06-20 22:00
bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	8	$225	125	125	+0	open	—	06-20 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$209	110	109	+1	open	—	04-28 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	04-30 12:00
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET	3	$208	108	108	+0	open	—	04-29 13:00
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	04-30 06:30
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	3	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	05-01 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-28 06:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-30 21:30
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	04-29 19:00
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET	3	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	04-29 22:00
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3PM ET	3	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	04-28 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1PM ET	6	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	05-27 18:00
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	3	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	04-28 07:00
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	04-28 04:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	04-30 06:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	6	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	05-04 01:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-30 04:30
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-29 16:00
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-29 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-27 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 21:52:11	sol updown 15m 1782164700	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x82c5a0…
06-22 21:51:46	sol updown 15m 1782164700	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe0440f…
06-22 21:51:13	sol updown 15m 1782164700	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xfc7d22…
06-22 21:51:11	btc updown 15m 1782164700	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xef3c56…
06-22 21:48:40	bnb updown 5m 1782164700	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdd073f…
06-22 21:48:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xed274c…
06-22 21:45:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x8a958d…
06-22 21:43:40	solana up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8d3ac3…
06-22 21:43:11	solana up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x574232…
06-22 21:42:41	eth updown 5m 1782164400	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x733a9b…
06-22 21:42:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x28ab4a…
06-22 21:41:16	xrp up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7d18f2…
06-22 21:40:44	solana up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7602a3…
06-22 21:40:43	xrp up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x476b0d…
06-22 21:40:41	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x21bf29…
06-22 21:40:13	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xeac073…
06-22 21:40:11	btc updown 15m 1782163800	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x51f97a…
06-22 21:39:43	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x00c0de…
06-22 21:39:41	xrp up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc02192…
06-22 21:33:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x7d8f2e…
06-22 21:33:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x5ecfb5…
06-22 21:32:10	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xd3814d…
06-22 21:31:40	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x55f2f7…
06-22 21:31:10	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xcea102…
06-22 21:30:11	eth updown 15m 1782162900	Down	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xdee91c…
06-22 21:30:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa88601…
06-22 21:30:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x9118f9…
06-22 21:30:10	sol updown 15m 1782162900	Down	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x63c50a…
06-22 21:30:07	btc updown 15m 1782162900	Down	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xc5bd8e…
06-22 21:30:07	xrp updown 15m 1782162900	Down	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x0caade…
06-22 21:28:40	eth updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x11ba89…
06-22 21:27:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x16b10d…
06-22 21:27:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x55c399…
06-22 21:24:49	sol updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6df307…
06-22 21:24:46	sol updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca71f5…
06-22 21:24:44	xrp updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x81d202…
06-22 21:24:43	xrp updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x899619…
06-22 21:24:13	eth updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14af21…
06-22 21:24:11	sol updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf7bed6…
06-22 21:24:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8a6f98…
06-22 21:24:10	xrp updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd30a0a…
06-22 21:24:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x98a1a5…
06-22 21:23:47	eth updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe8d2a5…
06-22 21:23:47	btc updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x573b4d…
06-22 21:23:16	bnb updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xba4a87…
06-22 21:22:41	bnb updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2fd789…
06-22 21:22:40	btc updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7290b4…
06-22 21:22:10	btc updown 15m 1782162900	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x46f4a5…
06-22 21:21:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf143a7…
06-22 21:18:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5a0dbe…
06-22 21:13:40	btc updown 15m 1782162000	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x469d8c…
06-22 21:13:11	sol updown 15m 1782162000	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf22234…
06-22 21:13:11	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x04717c…
06-22 21:12:40	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xaa534f…
06-22 21:12:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 4pt5	Iraq	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3c425c…
06-22 21:12:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x943bb0…
06-22 21:11:13	xrp updown 15m 1782162000	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x688c08…
06-22 21:09:14	btc updown 5m 1782162300	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaa8cab…
06-22 21:09:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x36df74…
06-22 21:00:07	eth updown 15m 1782161100	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe8cc37…
06-22 21:00:07	btc updown 15m 1782161100	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xa99de8…
06-22 21:00:07	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x4bbf82…
06-22 20:57:41	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xeec00e…
06-22 20:57:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc37021…
06-22 20:56:41	btc updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xfec42a…
06-22 20:56:10	btc updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa92539…
06-22 20:54:13	eth updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe08c8c…
06-22 20:54:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc75b2d…
06-22 20:53:43	eth updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x501e1e…
06-22 20:53:41	btc updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc97d03…
06-22 20:53:16	eth updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9d4e34…
06-22 20:53:14	xrp updown 15m 1782161100	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4593af…
06-22 20:53:13	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8a4966…
06-22 20:53:11	btc updown 5m 1782161400	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x930602…
06-22 20:52:11	btc updown 5m 1782161400	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf1ec37…
06-22 20:51:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb0f68d…
06-22 20:44:40	btc updown 5m 1782160800	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5cbbf9…
06-22 20:43:11	xrp updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x689e05…
06-22 20:42:10	eth updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x83d2a3…
06-22 20:42:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x873378…
06-22 20:41:47	eth updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf21c67…
06-22 20:41:46	xrp updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x34393b…
06-22 20:39:40	btc updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xbfb417…
06-22 20:39:13	btc updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x18cd76…
06-22 20:39:11	btc updown 5m 1782160500	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x940a06…
06-22 20:39:10	sol updown 5m 1782160500	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd44a6a…
06-22 20:38:44	btc updown 15m 1782160200	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x363119…
06-22 20:38:41	eth updown 5m 1782160500	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe6efba…
06-22 20:33:10	btc updown 5m 1782160200	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x87ea06…
06-22 20:32:41	btc updown 5m 1782160200	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x783bc7…
06-22 20:30:05	eth updown 15m 1782159300	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe40cbb…
06-22 20:28:11	btc updown 5m 1782159900	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaaa10a…
06-22 20:27:41	btc updown 5m 1782159900	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x10a8f9…
06-22 20:27:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x707d8c…
06-22 20:25:43	eth updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbb729b…
06-22 20:25:17	btc updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x970eb7…
06-22 20:25:16	eth updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf511cf…
06-22 20:25:14	eth updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9d3ed7…
06-22 20:25:13	sol updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x28ef74…
06-22 20:24:41	btc updown 15m 1782159300	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x040b95…