Orderly-Balance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

30.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

108

144 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$2.30K

$3.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$115

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 35% $-13

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Other

3% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	-31	$-31	100¢	$-31	+$0	05-05 21:00
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	No	+22	$20	100¢	$22	+$2	05-05 18:54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	No	+21	$20	100¢	$21	+$1	05-05 19:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+21	$20	100¢	$21	+$1	05-05 22:35
Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	+22	$20	86¢	$19	$-1	05-05 03:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	1	$43	0	43	-43	Up	$-0	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$42	0	42	-42	Up	$-0	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-05 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-05 23:00
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$41	0	41	-41	open	—	05-05 21:00
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:00
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-05 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6PM ET?	1	$41	0	41	-41	open	—	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 03:00
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	1	$31	0	31	-31	open	—	05-05 21:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	1	$27	0	27	-27	Up	$-0	05-05 04:00
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	1	$23	0	23	-23	Under	$-0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$23	0	23	-23	Down	$-0	05-05 00:30
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$23	0	23	-23	Golden Knights	$-0	05-05 05:00
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	1	$23	0	23	-23	Timberwolves	$-0	05-05 04:30
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	1	$22	0	22	-22	Over	$-0	05-05 02:30
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Up	$-0	05-05 03:00
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	1	$22	0	22	-22	Over	$-0	05-05 02:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Down	$-0	05-05 03:00
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$22	0	22	-22	Knicks	$-0	05-05 03:00
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Up	$-0	05-05 04:00
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Up	$-0	05-05 01:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Up	$-0	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 20:30
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Down	$-0	05-05 00:00
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	Down	$-0	05-05 00:00
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x589b1d…
05-05 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xd1ee05…
05-05 22:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x05668c…
05-05 22:35:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa6c9ac…
05-05 22:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x4a7db7…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 5, 6PM ET?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xd772ac…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xf9e493…
05-05 21:35:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf26af0…
05-05 21:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xd70c20…
05-05 21:00:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x51a43e…
05-05 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x09c856…
05-05 19:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x42aa90…
05-05 19:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x392b25…
05-05 19:48:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf82902…
05-05 18:58:16	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x8c2f59…
05-05 18:54:10	Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xb8bea3…
05-05 18:48:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x78bfac…
05-05 18:36:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa175c2…
05-05 18:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x473721…
05-05 18:17:10	Bitcoin above 81,000 on May 5, 3PM ET?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdcac05…
05-05 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x49b909…
05-05 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6ea99d…
05-05 17:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0d0809…
05-05 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe40091…
05-05 16:37:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x044442…
05-05 16:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0ff0aa…
05-05 15:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe24733…
05-05 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa50a8f…
05-05 14:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x82d66a…
05-05 14:39:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x87fdf7…
05-05 14:39:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf0f18f…
05-05 14:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x717d40…
05-05 14:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8a0725…
05-05 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa4684a…
05-05 12:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x1def9a…
05-05 12:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7c4ff8…
05-05 11:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x893f2f…
05-05 11:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xefb5ec…
05-05 11:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0211e6…
05-05 11:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0585f8…
05-05 11:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xaaac5a…
05-05 10:31:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbfd1f4…
05-05 10:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa91061…
05-05 09:30:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x326500…
05-05 08:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe128f2…
05-05 08:41:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6fce92…
05-05 08:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2b806a…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x479aeb…
05-05 08:30:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xdc1ca6…
05-05 08:30:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x31f6f2…
05-05 08:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb46293…
05-05 08:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf2112e…
05-05 07:55:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe13ddf…
05-05 07:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x665406…
05-05 07:10:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd30d4f…
05-05 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x397683…
05-05 06:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa78a80…
05-05 06:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb6989b…
05-05 06:30:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x630ae3…
05-05 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2aa96b…
05-05 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2a82af…
05-05 06:30:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc74177…
05-05 06:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf3dbef…
05-05 06:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x60c472…
05-05 05:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe090cb…
05-05 05:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf7cb4f…
05-05 05:30:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc9395f…
05-05 05:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x837797…
05-05 05:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x745b6d…
05-05 05:00:10	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd35987…
05-05 05:00:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x12808b…
05-05 05:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x58c52b…
05-05 04:55:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0aeeb9…
05-05 04:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5c8f47…
05-05 04:30:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb1e459…
05-05 04:30:08	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3638e7…
05-05 04:30:08	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7a2aa8…
05-05 04:30:08	Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 5, 12AM ET?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa662fc…
05-05 04:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2a2846…
05-05 04:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9d77e4…
05-05 04:00:06	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa4a363…
05-05 03:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc364cb…
05-05 03:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x55089f…
05-05 03:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe39180…
05-05 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x74c207…
05-05 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x989585…
05-05 03:00:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x48d468…
05-05 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x666b8c…
05-05 03:00:10	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xdfd7b4…
05-05 03:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xf6c728…
05-05 03:00:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x06220e…
05-05 03:00:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7d955e…
05-05 03:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x236ae1…
05-05 03:00:08	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x347272…
05-05 02:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5409b5…
05-05 02:39:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3478a1…
05-05 02:30:08	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6be240…
05-05 02:30:08	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa66155…
05-05 02:30:08	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0de282…
05-05 02:30:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3d2ae7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	69	$11.1K	280	05-05 22:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	47	$8.43K	348	05-05 22:30
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	38	$1.73K	70	05-05 22:45
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	34	$1.80K	86	05-05 18:48
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	33	$2.88K	139	05-05 21:54
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	33	$609	63	05-05 21:40
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	27	$2.02K	48	05-05 22:45
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	26	$693	86	05-05 21:45